scholarly journals Spatio-temporal Analysis and Machine Learning for Traffic Accidents Prediction

Author(s):  
Diena Al-Dogom ◽  
Nour Aburaed ◽  
Mina Al-Saad ◽  
Saeed Almansoori
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. e452101220804
Author(s):  
Cecilia Cordeiro da Silva ◽  
Clarisse Lins de Lima ◽  
Ana Clara Gomes da Silva ◽  
Giselle Machado Magalhães Moreno ◽  
Anwar Musah ◽  
...  

Dengue has become a challenge for many countries. Arboviruses transmitted by Aedes aegypti spread rapidly over the last decades. The emergence chikungunya fever and zika in South America poses new challenges to vector monitoring and control. This situation got worse from 2015 and 2016, with the rapid spread of chikungunya, causing fever and muscle weakness, and Zika virus, related to cases of microcephaly in newborns and the occurrence of Guillain-Barret syndrome, an autoimmune disease that affects the nervous system. The objective of this work was to construct a tool to forecast the distribution of arboviruses transmitted by the mosquito Aedes aegypti by implementing dengue, zika and chikungunya transmission predictors based on machine learning, focused on multilayer perceptrons neural networks, support vector machines and linear regression models. As a case study, we investigated forecasting models to predict the spatio-temporal distribution of cases from primary health notification data and climate variables (wind velocity, temperature and pluviometry) from Recife, Brazil, from 2013 to 2016, including 2015’s outbreak. The use of spatio-temporal analysis over multilayer perceptrons and support vector machines results proved to be very effective in predicting the distribution of arbovirus cases. The models indicate that the southern and western regions of Recife were very susceptible to outbreaks in the period under investigation. The proposed approach could be useful to support health managers and epidemiologists to prevent outbreaks of arboviruses transmitted by Aedes aegypti and promote public policies for health promotion and sanitation.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (12) ◽  
pp. 752
Author(s):  
Anna Kovacs-Györi ◽  
Alina Ristea ◽  
Clemens Havas ◽  
Michael Mehaffy ◽  
Hartwig H. Hochmair ◽  
...  

Urban systems involve a multitude of closely intertwined components, which are more measurable than before due to new sensors, data collection, and spatio-temporal analysis methods. Turning these data into knowledge to facilitate planning efforts in addressing current challenges of urban complex systems requires advanced interdisciplinary analysis methods, such as urban informatics or urban data science. Yet, by applying a purely data-driven approach, it is too easy to get lost in the ‘forest’ of data, and to miss the ‘trees’ of successful, livable cities that are the ultimate aim of urban planning. This paper assesses how geospatial data, and urban analysis, using a mixed methods approach, can help to better understand urban dynamics and human behavior, and how it can assist planning efforts to improve livability. Based on reviewing state-of-the-art research the paper goes one step further and also addresses the potential as well as limitations of new data sources in urban analytics to get a better overview of the whole ‘forest’ of these new data sources and analysis methods. The main discussion revolves around the reliability of using big data from social media platforms or sensors, and how information can be extracted from massive amounts of data through novel analysis methods, such as machine learning, for better-informed decision making aiming at urban livability improvement.


2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 25-45
Author(s):  
Michail Vaitis ◽  
Dimitris Kavroudakis ◽  
Nikoletta Koukourouvli ◽  
Dimitrios Simos ◽  
Georgios Sarigiannis

Road traffic accidents come at a high price: 1.25 million road traffic deaths occurred globally in 2013. As the road network and the environmental conditions contribute significantly in the cause of accidents, it is crucial to understand where and when they occur, in order to plan actions for road safety improvement. For this reason, the Region of the North Aegean, Greece, in collaboration with the University of the Aegean, has established a spatial database and a web-based geographic information system (webGIS) for the registration, storage, visualization and analysis of the traffic accidents occurred in its jurisdiction. In this article, besides the development and operation of the system, the authors present a spatio-temporal analysis of the data collected since 2004 for the island of Lesvos. Hot spots and risky periods were identified, leading to useful conclusions and directions for road safety improvements.


2006 ◽  
Vol 163 (suppl_11) ◽  
pp. S48-S48
Author(s):  
V D Lima ◽  
I A Kopec ◽  
S B Sheps ◽  
S A Marion ◽  
Y C MacNab

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