Time-varying autoregressive parameter estimation of cauchy processes by particle filters

Author(s):  
D. Gencaga ◽  
E.E. Kuruoglu ◽  
A. Ertuzun
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 168781401879559 ◽  
Author(s):  
Min Xiang ◽  
Feng Xiong ◽  
Yuanfeng Shi ◽  
Kaoshan Dai ◽  
Zhibin Ding

Engineering structures usually exhibit time-varying behavior when subjected to strong excitation or due to material deterioration. This behavior is one of the key properties affecting the structural performance. Hence, reasonable description and timely tracking of time-varying characteristics of engineering structures are necessary for their safety assessment and life-cycle management. Due to its powerful ability of approximating functions in the time–frequency domain, wavelet multi-resolution approximation has been widely applied in the field of parameter estimation. Considering that the damage levels of beams and columns are usually different, identification of time-varying structural parameters of frame structure under seismic excitation using wavelet multi-resolution approximation is studied in this article. A time-varying dynamical model including both the translational and rotational degrees of freedom is established so as to estimate the stiffness coefficients of beams and columns separately. By decomposing each time-varying structural parameter using one wavelet multi-resolution approximation, the time-varying parametric identification problem is transformed into a time-invariant non-parametric one. In solving the high number of regressors in the non-parametric regression program, the modified orthogonal forward regression algorithm is proposed for significant term selection and parameter estimation. This work is demonstrated through numerical examples which consider both gradual variation and abrupt changes in the structural parameters.


2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 463-467
Author(s):  
He Xin ◽  
Zhang Jun

Taking daily return of international crude oil spot and futures as sample, this paper analyzed the time varying and asymmetric dependence structure of them by time varying Copula-GARCH model based on sliding window and semi parameter estimation. This paper analyzed the regular changing between dependence structure of crude oil spot and futures and the return fluctuation, and confirmed that there is significant time varying asymmetric tail dependence. This paper found that the size of the sliding window had no significant influence on the conclusion, and the data of weekly return is more suitable for analysis of the trend of dependence structure of spot.


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