A Nonparametric Surrogate Model for Stochastic Crosstalk Analysis Including Confidence Bounds

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paolo Manfredi ◽  
Riccardo Trinchero
Keyword(s):  
Surrogate Model ◽  
Confidence Bounds

Large-sample confidence intervals of information-theoretic measures in linguistics

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 19-54
Author(s):  
Ryan Ka Yau Lai ◽  
Youngah Do
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Corpus Linguistics ◽  
Delta Method ◽  
Confidence Bounds ◽  
Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Information Theoretic ◽  
Leibler Divergence ◽  
Information Theoretic Measures ◽  
Data Points ◽  
Measure Of Uncertainty

This article explores a method of creating confidence bounds for information-theoretic measures in linguistics, such as entropy, Kullback-Leibler Divergence (KLD), and mutual information. We show that a useful measure of uncertainty can be derived from simple statistical principles, namely the asymptotic distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and the delta method. Three case studies from phonology and corpus linguistics are used to demonstrate how to apply it and examine its robustness against common violations of its assumptions in linguistics, such as insufficient sample size and non-independence of data points.

Surrogate Model Development for Naturally Ventilated Office Buildings

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcelo Salles Olinger ◽  
Ana Paula Melo ◽  
Letícia Oliveira Neves ◽  
Roberto Lamberts
Keyword(s):  
Surrogate Model ◽  
Model Development ◽  
Office Buildings

scholarly journals Updated Kriging-Assisted Shape Optimization of a Gravity Dam

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 87
Author(s):  
Yongqiang Wang ◽  
Ye Liu ◽  
Xiaoyi Ma
Keyword(s):  
Surrogate Model ◽  
Computational Cost ◽  
Region Of Interest ◽  
Optimization Procedure ◽  
Optimal Shape ◽  
Small Sample ◽  
Gravity Dam ◽  
Kriging Surrogate Model ◽  
Gravity Dams ◽  
Sample Set

The numerical simulation of the optimal design of gravity dams is computationally expensive. Therefore, a new optimization procedure is presented in this study to reduce the computational cost for determining the optimal shape of a gravity dam. Optimization was performed using a combination of the genetic algorithm (GA) and an updated Kriging surrogate model (UKSM). First, a Kriging surrogate model (KSM) was constructed with a small sample set. Second, the minimizing the predictor strategy was used to add samples in the region of interest to update the KSM in each updating cycle until the optimization process converged. Third, an existing gravity dam was used to demonstrate the effectiveness of the GA–UKSM. The solution obtained with the GA–UKSM was compared with that obtained using the GA–KSM. The results revealed that the GA–UKSM required only 7.53% of the total number of numerical simulations required by the GA–KSM to achieve similar optimization results. Thus, the GA–UKSM can significantly improve the computational efficiency. The method adopted in this study can be used as a reference for the optimization of the design of gravity dams.

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