Bayesian Approach for Two-Phase Degradation Data Based on Change-Point Wiener Process With Measurement Errors

2018 ◽  
Vol 67 (2) ◽  
pp. 688-700 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pingping Wang ◽  
Yincai Tang ◽  
Suk Joo Bae ◽  
Ancha Xu
2018 ◽  
Vol 170 ◽  
pp. 244-256 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pingping Wang ◽  
Yincai Tang ◽  
Suk Joo Bae ◽  
Yong He

2017 ◽  
Vol 66 (4) ◽  
pp. 1345-1360 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dejing Kong ◽  
Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan ◽  
Lirong Cui

2015 ◽  
Vol 134 ◽  
pp. 66-74 ◽  
Author(s):  
Suk Joo Bae ◽  
Tao Yuan ◽  
Shuluo Ning ◽  
Way Kuo

Author(s):  
Zhiao Zhao ◽  
Yong Zhang ◽  
Guanjun Liu ◽  
Jing Qiu

Sample allocation and selection technology is of great significance in the test plan design of prognostics validation. Considering the existing researches, the importance of prognostics samples of different moments is not considered in the degradation process of a single failure. Normally, prognostics samples are generated under the same time interval mechanism. However, a prognostics system may have low prognostics accuracy because of the small quantity of failure degradation and measurement randomness in the early stage of a failure degradation process. Historical degradation data onto equipment failure modes are collected, and the degradation process model based on the multi-stage Wiener process is established. Based on the multi-stage Wiener process model, we choose four parameters to describe different degradation stages in a degradation process. According to four parameters, the sample selection weight of each degradation stage is calculated and the weight of each degradation stage is used to select prognostics samples. Taking a bearing wear fault of a helicopter transmission device as an example, its degradation process is established and sample selection weights are calculated. According to the sample selection weight of each degradation process, we accomplish the prognostics sample selection of the bearing wear fault. The results show that the prognostics sample selection method proposed in this article has good applicability.


Mathematics ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (5) ◽  
pp. 474 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Rizwan Khan ◽  
Biswajit Sarkar

Airborne particulate matter (PM) is a key air pollutant that affects human health adversely. Exposure to high concentrations of such particles may cause premature death, heart disease, respiratory problems, or reduced lung function. Previous work on particulate matter ( P M 2.5 and P M 10 ) was limited to specific areas. Therefore, more studies are required to investigate airborne particulate matter patterns due to their complex and varying properties, and their associated ( P M 10 and P M 2.5 ) concentrations and compositions to assess the numerical productivity of pollution control programs for air quality. Consequently, to control particulate matter pollution and to make effective plans for counter measurement, it is important to measure the efficiency and efficacy of policies applied by the Ministry of Environment. The primary purpose of this research is to construct a simulation model for the identification of a change point in particulate matter ( P M 2.5 and P M 10 ) concentration, and if it occurs in different areas of the world. The methodology is based on the Bayesian approach for the analysis of different data structures and a likelihood ratio test is used to a detect change point at unknown time (k). Real time data of particulate matter concentrations at different locations has been used for numerical verification. The model parameters before change point ( θ ) and parameters after change point ( λ ) have been critically analyzed so that the proficiency and success of environmental policies for particulate matter ( P M 2.5 and P M 10 ) concentrations can be evaluated. The main reason for using different areas is their considerably different features, i.e., environment, population densities, and transportation vehicle densities. Consequently, this study also provides insights about how well this suggested model could perform in different areas.


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