scholarly journals Simultaneous Prediction of Remaining-Useful-Life and Failure-Likelihood with GRU-based Deep Networks for Predictive Maintenance Analysis

Author(s):  
Ali Yuce Kaleli ◽  
Aras Firat Unal ◽  
Sedat Ozer
Author(s):  
Felix Larrinaga ◽  
Javier Fernandez-Anakabe ◽  
Ekhi Zugasti ◽  
Iñaki Garitano ◽  
Urko Zurutuza ◽  
...  

This article presents the implementation of a reference architecture for cyber-physical systems to support condition-based maintenance of industrial assets. It also focuses on describing the data analysis approach to manage predictive maintenance of clutch-brake assets fleet over the previously defined MANTIS reference architecture. Proposals for both the architecture and data analysis implementation support working on Big Data scenarios, due to the usage of related technologies, such as Hadoop Distributed File System, Kafka or Apache Spark. The techniques are (1) root cause analysis powered by attribute-oriented induction clustering and (2) remaining useful life powered by time series forecasting. The work has been conducted in a real use case within the H2020 European project MANTIS.


Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (3) ◽  
pp. 932
Author(s):  
Ziqiu Kang ◽  
Cagatay Catal ◽  
Bedir Tekinerdogan

Predictive maintenance of production lines is important to early detect possible defects and thus identify and apply the required maintenance activities to avoid possible breakdowns. An important concern in predictive maintenance is the prediction of remaining useful life (RUL), which is an estimate of the number of remaining years that a component in a production line is estimated to be able to function in accordance with its intended purpose before warranting replacement. In this study, we propose a novel machine learning-based approach for automating the prediction of the failure of equipment in continuous production lines. The proposed model applies normalization and principle component analysis during the pre-processing stage, utilizes interpolation, uses grid search for parameter optimization, and is built with multilayer perceptron neural network (MLP) machine learning algorithm. We have evaluated the approach using a case study research to predict the RUL of engines on NASA turbo engine datasets. Experimental results demonstrate that the performance of our proposed model is effective in predicting the RUL of turbo engines and likewise substantially enhances predictive maintenance results.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinyu Zhao ◽  
Yunyi Kang ◽  
Hao Yan ◽  
Feng Ju

Remaining Useful Life (RUL) estimation is critical in many engineering systems where proper predictive maintenance is needed to increase a unit's effectiveness and reduce time and cost of repairing. Typically for such systems, multiple sensors are normally used to monitor performance, which create difficulties for system state identification. In this paper, we develop a semi-supervised left-to-right constrained Hidden Markov Model (HMM) model, which is effective in estimating the RUL, while capturing the jumps among states in condition dynamics. In addition, based on the HMM model learned from multiple sensors, we build a Partial Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP) to demonstrate how such RUL estimation can be effectively used for optimal preventative maintenance decision making. We apply this technique to the NASA Engine degradation data and demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.


Author(s):  
Xin Lei ◽  
Peter A. Sandborn

A simulation-based real options analysis (ROA) approach is used to determine the optimum predictive maintenance opportunity for a wind turbine with a remaining useful life (RUL) prediction. When an RUL is predicted for a subsystem in a single turbine using PHM, a predictive maintenance option is triggered that the decision-maker has the flexibility to decide if and when to exercise before the subsystem or turbine fails. The predictive maintenance value paths are simulated by considering the uncertainties in the RUL prediction and wind speed (that govern the turbine’s revenue earning potential). By valuating a series of European options expiring on all possible predictive maintenance opportunities, a series of option values can be obtained, and the optimum predictive maintenance opportunity can be determined. A case study is presented in which the ROA approach is applied to a single turbine.


Author(s):  
Youssef Maher ◽  
Boujemaa Danouj

Prognosis Health Monitoring (PHM) plays an increasingly important role in the management of machines and manufactured products in today’s industry, and deep learning plays an important part by establishing the optimal predictive maintenance policy. However, traditional learning methods such as unsupervised and supervised learning with standard architectures face numerous problems when exploiting existing data. Therefore, in this essay, we review the significant improvements in deep learning made by researchers over the last 3 years in solving these difficulties. We note that researchers are striving to achieve optimal performance in estimating the remaining useful life (RUL) of machine health by optimizing each step from data to predictive diagnostics. Specifically, we outline the challenges at each level with the type of improvement that has been made, and we feel that this is an opportunity to try to select a state-of-the-art architecture that incorporates these changes so each researcher can compare with his or her model. In addition, post-RUL reasoning and the use of distributed computing with cloud technology is presented, which will potentially improve the classification accuracy in maintenance activities. Deep learning will undoubtedly prove to have a major impact in upgrading companies at the lowest cost in the new industrial revolution, Industry 4.0.


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