OPTIMAL TRANSITION DYNAMICS IN THE LEONTIEF TWO-SECTOR GROWTH MODEL WITH DURABLE CAPITAL: THE CASE OF CAPITAL INTENSIVE CONSUMPTION GOODS

2009 ◽  
Vol 60 (4) ◽  
pp. 490-511 ◽  
Author(s):  
MINAKO FUJIO
Author(s):  
Murat Nişancı ◽  
Selahattin Sarı ◽  
Aslı Cansın Doker ◽  
Ahmet Alkan Çelik

The growth model developed by Lewis depends on availability of cheap and sustainable labor and this can be explained by a country on the path of industrialization, rural / urban population in the agricultural sector / industry is the labor store. In this approach, which is based on in particular the labor-intensive growth model, the labor demand that the investments will need, will be met by the rural labor store. In Lewis's model, it is important to prevent uncontrolled migration to the urban area in order for the mechanism to function. This, however, is only possible with a very authoritarian government aspect. In this framework, China's industrialization process is worthy of examination in the Lewis model's perspective. In the study, urbanization and its dynamics were analyzed in China between 1960 and 2015 by RStduio programming. Thus, research has been conducted on how long the industrialization of China, which constitutes the dynamics of economic development, can be sustained by the function of rural workforce storage. According to the analysis by the HoltWinters method, it can be said that the Chinese economy's growth form based on the labor store will continue for the next 20 years. However, according to findings, it can be argued that when China reaches the limits of this growth form, socio-economic inertia will become inevitable if it does not push the capital-intensive and transition to technology-containing growth phase.


Author(s):  
S. Afontsev

As a consequence of the global crisis, a major shift to the new growth model is under way in the world economy. The article analyses principal changes in the role of resources, technologies, institutions, and economic policies in shaping new growth patterns in developed as well as developing markets. With human capital and capital intensive technologies replacing cheap labor and natural resources as principal sources of comparative advantage, global economy is likely to be rebalanced in favor of richer countries. The resulting adjustment calls for more flexible regulatory rules and social institutions, while growth-friendly economic policies at subnational level are expected to complement (and sometimes substitute for) more traditional national policies.


2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Liuchun Deng ◽  
Minako Fujio ◽  
M. Ali Khan

Abstract We study the two-sector Robinson-Shinkai-Leontief (RSL) model of discrete-time optimal economic growth for the case of capital-intensive consumption goods. We frame the model in the context of Nishimura’s oeuvre, and more specifically, relate it to its neoclassical cousin: the Uzawa-Srinivasan continuous-time version studied in Haque, W. 1970. “Sceptical Notes on Uzawa’s ‘Optimal Growth in a Two-Sector Model of Capital Accumulation’, and a Precise Characterization of the Optimal Path.” The Review of Economic Studies 37: 377–394. We take Fujio’s identification of the marginal rate of transformation ζ of capital goods today into capital goods tomorrow (Fujio, M. 2006. Optimal Transition Dynamics in the Leontief Two-Sector Growth Model. Ph.D. thesis, The Johns Hopkins University), and using a mix of the Bellman-Blackwell methods of dynamic programming and the value-loss approach of Brock-Mitra, pin down the optimal policy for a specific subset of the parameter space. We discern a bifurcation pattern with respect to the discount factor that echoes the results of Benhabib, J., and K. Nishimura. 1979. “The Hopf Bifurcation and the Structure and Stability of Closed Orbits with Heterogeneous Steady States in Multi-Sector Models of Optimal Growth.” Journal of Economic Theory 21: 421–444 for the neoclassical model, and Khan, M. A., and T. Mitra. 2005. “On Choice of Technique in the Robinson-Solow-Srinivasan Model.” International Journal of Economic Theory 1: 83–110 for the RSS model. We also study the optimal policy correspondence for a general parameter set.


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