The Role of Productivity and Financial Frictions in the Business Cycles of a Small Open Economy: Hong Kong 1984-2011

2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 400-414
Author(s):  
Paulina Etxeberria-Garaigorta ◽  
Amaia Iza
2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 153-188 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrés Fernández ◽  
Adam Gulan

Countercyclical country interest rates have been shown to be an important characteristic of business cycles in emerging markets. In this paper we provide a microfounded rationale for this pattern by linking interest rate spreads to the dynamics of corporate leverage. For this purpose we embed a financial accelerator into a business cycle model of a small open economy and estimate it on a novel panel dataset for emerging economies that merges macroeconomic and financial data. The model accounts well for the empirically observed countercyclicality of interest rates and leverage, as well as for other stylized facts. (JEL E13, E32, E43, E44, F41, O11)


2016 ◽  
Vol 61 (05) ◽  
pp. 1550077
Author(s):  
MYUNG-SOO YIE ◽  
BYOUNG HARK YOO

We examine the role of foreign debt and financial frictions in the Korean business cycle using a small open economy DSGE (dynamic stochastic general equilibrium) model where domestic banks borrow external funds, denominated in foreign currencies, for a risk premium and make loans to domestic producers. We find that the Korean economy is ‘financially vulnerable’, which means that the risk premium increases when the domestic currency depreciates. As a result, depreciation could cause recession, rather than expansion, when there exist substantial amount of foreign debt or financial frictions. A simulation shows that the Korean business cycle would suffer less volatility with a lower steady-state level of foreign debt or no financial frictions.


1995 ◽  
Vol 39 (6) ◽  
pp. 1089-1113 ◽  
Author(s):  
Isabel Correia ◽  
João C. Neves ◽  
Sergio Rebelo

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