Simulation of the Mean-Zero-Up-Crossing Wave Period Using Artificial Neural Networks Trained With Simulated Annealing Algorithm

Author(s):  
H. Bazargan ◽  
H. Bahai ◽  
F. Aryana ◽  
S. F. Yasseri

The aim of this work is to simulate the 3-houly mean zero-up-crossing wave periods (Tzs) of the sea-states of a future period for a location in the North East Pacific. Seven multi-layer artificial neural networks (ANNs) were trained with simulated annealing algorithm. The output of each ANN was used for estimating each of the 7 parameters of a new distribution, described in Appendix A, called hepta-parameter spline proposed for the conditional distribution of the Tz given some significant wave heights and mean zero-up-crossing wave periods. After estimating the parameters of the conditional distributions, the Tzs have been forecasted from the hepta-parameter spline distributions corresponding to the Tzs of the period.

2018 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 1382-1387 ◽  
Author(s):  
Syaifulnizam Abd Manaf ◽  
Norwati Mustapha ◽  
Md. Nasir Sulaiman ◽  
Nor Azura Husin ◽  
Mohd Radzi Abdul Hamid

Author(s):  
J. V. Ratnam ◽  
Masami Nonaka ◽  
Swadhin K. Behera

AbstractThe machine learning technique, namely Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), is used to predict the surface air temperature (SAT) anomalies over Japan in the winter months of December, January and February for the period 1949/50 to 2019/20. The predictions are made for the four regions Hokkaido, North, Central and West of Japan. The inputs to the ANN model are derived from the anomaly correlation coefficients among the SAT anomalies over the regions of Japan and the global SAT and sea surface temperature anomalies. The results are validated using anomaly correlation coefficient (ACC) skill scores with the observation. It is found that the ANN predictions over Hokkaido have higher ACC skill scores compared to the ACC scores over the other three regions. The ANN predicted SAT anomalies are compared with that of ensemble mean of 8 of the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) models besides comparing them with the persistent anomalies. The ANN predictions over all the four regions have higher ACC skill scores compared to the NMME model skill scores in the common period of 1982/83 to 2018/19. The ANN predicted SAT anomalies also have higher Hit rate and lower False alarm rate compared to the NMME predicted SAT anomalies. All these indicate that the ANN model is a promising tool for predicting the winter SAT anomalies over Japan.


2014 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 65-82 ◽  
Author(s):  
Victor Kurbatsky ◽  
Denis Sidorov ◽  
Nikita Tomin ◽  
Vadim Spiryaev

The problem of forecasting state variables of electric power system is studied. The paper suggests data-driven adaptive approach based on hybrid-genetic algorithm which combines the advantages of genetic algorithm and simulated annealing algorithm. The proposed method has two stages. At the first stage the input signal is decomposed into orthogonal basis functions based on the Hilbert-Huang transform. The genetic algorithm and simulated annealing algorithm are applied to optimal training of the artificial neural network and support vector machine at the second stage. The results of applying the developed approach for the short-term forecasts of active power flows in the electric networks are presented. The best efficiency of proposed approach is demonstrated on real retrospective data of active power flow forecast using the hybrid-genetic support vector machine algorithm.


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