scholarly journals Toward the use of neural networks for influenza prediction at multiple spatial resolutions

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (25) ◽  
pp. eabb1237
Author(s):  
Emily L. Aiken ◽  
Andre T. Nguyen ◽  
Cecile Viboud ◽  
Mauricio Santillana
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Real Time ◽  
The United States ◽  
Network Approach ◽  
Internet Search ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Neural Network Approach ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Search Data

Mitigating the effects of disease outbreaks with timely and effective interventions requires accurate real-time surveillance and forecasting of disease activity, but traditional health care–based surveillance systems are limited by inherent reporting delays. Machine learning methods have the potential to fill this temporal “data gap,” but work to date in this area has focused on relatively simple methods and coarse geographic resolutions (state level and above). We evaluate the predictive performance of a gated recurrent unit neural network approach in comparison with baseline machine learning methods for estimating influenza activity in the United States at the state and city levels and experiment with the inclusion of real-time Internet search data. We find that the neural network approach improves upon baseline models for long time horizons of prediction but is not improved by real-time internet search data. We conduct a thorough analysis of feature importances in all considered models for interpretability purposes.

scholarly journals Multiclass ECG Signal Analysis Using Global Average-Based 2-D Convolutional Neural Network Modeling

Electronics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 170
Author(s):  
Muhammad Wasimuddin ◽  
Khaled Elleithy ◽  
Abdelshakour Abuzneid ◽  
Miad Faezipour ◽  
Omar Abuzaghleh
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Convolutional Neural Network ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Signal Analysis ◽  
Neural Network Modeling ◽  
Ecg Signal ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods

Cardiovascular diseases have been reported to be the leading cause of mortality across the globe. Among such diseases, Myocardial Infarction (MI), also known as “heart attack”, is of main interest among researchers, as its early diagnosis can prevent life threatening cardiac conditions and potentially save human lives. Analyzing the Electrocardiogram (ECG) can provide valuable diagnostic information to detect different types of cardiac arrhythmia. Real-time ECG monitoring systems with advanced machine learning methods provide information about the health status in real-time and have improved user’s experience. However, advanced machine learning methods have put a burden on portable and wearable devices due to their high computing requirements. We present an improved, less complex Convolutional Neural Network (CNN)-based classifier model that identifies multiple arrhythmia types using the two-dimensional image of the ECG wave in real-time. The proposed model is presented as a three-layer ECG signal analysis model that can potentially be adopted in real-time portable and wearable monitoring devices. We have designed, implemented, and simulated the proposed CNN network using Matlab. We also present the hardware implementation of the proposed method to validate its adaptability in real-time wearable systems. The European ST-T database recorded with single lead L3 is used to validate the CNN classifier and achieved an accuracy of 99.23%, outperforming most existing solutions.

Exploring the Relationship Between Chlorophyll-a and Other Water Quality Parameters by Using Machine Learning Methods:A Case Study of Lake Erie

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xue Hu ◽  
Jinhui Jeanne Huang ◽  
Yu Li
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
United States ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Water Quality ◽  
Chlorophyll A ◽  
Lake Erie ◽  
The United States ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Input Variables

<p>Chlorophyll a (CHLA) is a key water quality indicator for the eutrophication of Lake Erie. In order to better predict the concentration of CHLA, this study divided Lake Erie into the United States and Canada according to national boundaries, and found the input variables most relevant to CHLA. It is concluded that the United States is total phosphorus (TP), and Canada is total nitrogen (TN), and it is analyzed that industrial and agricultural pollution around Lake Erie has caused excessive TP and TN content. The study used machine learning methods to model the water quality of the two parts respectively. The data used in the modelling was obtained from the Canadian Environment and Climate Change Agency for Lake Erie between 2000 and 2018. Several neural network (NN) models and other machine learning methods are used for data analysis, including standard neural network (NN) models, simple recurrent neural network (SRN) models, backpropagation neural network (BPNN) models, jump connections neural network (JCNN) model, random forest (RF) and support vector machine (SVM). At the same time, the most suitable combinations of input variables for CHLA prediction was found. The United States was TP, TN, DO, and T, and Canada was TP, TN, PH, and DO. Combining this result with the environmental protection policies of the United States and Canada, recommendations for improving the pollutant content of Lake Erie were proposed. This will help reduce the risk of eutrophication in Lake Erie.</p>

scholarly journals Possibility of Autonomous Estimation of Shiba Goat’s Estrus and Non-Estrus Behavior by Machine Learning Methods

Animals ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 771
Author(s):  
Toshiya Arakawa
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Markov Models ◽  
Tracking System ◽  
Video Tracking ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods

Mammalian behavior is typically monitored by observation. However, direct observation requires a substantial amount of effort and time, if the number of mammals to be observed is sufficiently large or if the observation is conducted for a prolonged period. In this study, machine learning methods as hidden Markov models (HMMs), random forests, support vector machines (SVMs), and neural networks, were applied to detect and estimate whether a goat is in estrus based on the goat’s behavior; thus, the adequacy of the method was verified. Goat’s tracking data was obtained using a video tracking system and used to estimate whether they, which are in “estrus” or “non-estrus”, were in either states: “approaching the male”, or “standing near the male”. Totally, the PC of random forest seems to be the highest. However, The percentage concordance (PC) value besides the goats whose data were used for training data sets is relatively low. It is suggested that random forest tend to over-fit to training data. Besides random forest, the PC of HMMs and SVMs is high. However, considering the calculation time and HMM’s advantage in that it is a time series model, HMM is better method. The PC of neural network is totally low, however, if the more goat’s data were acquired, neural network would be an adequate method for estimation.

Landslide susceptibility mapping based on convolutional neural network and conventional machine learning methods

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Liu ◽  
Xin Yang ◽  
Chong Xu ◽  
Luyao Li ◽  
Xiangqiang Zeng
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Convolutional Neural Network ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Conventional Machine

Abstract Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) is a useful tool to estimate the probability of landslide occurrence, providing a scientific basis for natural hazards prevention, land use planning, and economic development in landslide-prone areas. To date, a large number of machine learning methods have been applied to LSM, and recently the advanced Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) has been gradually adopted to enhance the prediction accuracy of LSM. The objective of this study is to introduce a CNN based model in LSM and systematically compare its overall performance with the conventional machine learning models of random forest, logistic regression, and support vector machine. Herein, we selected the Jiuzhaigou region in Sichuan Province, China as the study area. A total number of 710 landslides and 12 predisposing factors were stacked to form spatial datasets for LSM. The ROC analysis and several statistical metrics, such as accuracy, root mean square error (RMSE), Kappa coefficient, sensitivity, and specificity were used to evaluate the performance of the models in the training and validation datasets. Finally, the trained models were calculated and the landslide susceptibility zones were mapped. Results suggest that both CNN and conventional machine-learning based models have a satisfactory performance (AUC: 85.72% − 90.17%). The CNN based model exhibits excellent good-of-fit and prediction capability, and achieves the highest performance (AUC: 90.17%) but also significantly reduces the salt-of-pepper effect, which indicates its great potential of application to LSM.

Detecting Items with the Biggest Weight Based on Neural Network and Machine Learning Methods

2020 ◽  
pp. 383-396
Author(s):  
Vitaliy Danylyk ◽  
Victoria Vysotska ◽  
Vasyl Lytvyn ◽  
Svitlana Vyshemyrska ◽  
Iryna Lurie ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods

scholarly journals A Comparison of Machine Learning Methods in a High-Dimensional Classification Problem

2014 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 82-96 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marijana Zekić-Sušac ◽  
Sanja Pfeifer ◽  
Nataša Šarlija
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Classification Accuracy ◽  
Classification Problem ◽  
High Dimensional ◽  
Nearest Neighbour ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Dimensional Classification ◽  
Artificial Neural

Abstract Background: Large-dimensional data modelling often relies on variable reduction methods in the pre-processing and in the post-processing stage. However, such a reduction usually provides less information and yields a lower accuracy of the model. Objectives: The aim of this paper is to assess the high-dimensional classification problem of recognizing entrepreneurial intentions of students by machine learning methods. Methods/Approach: Four methods were tested: artificial neural networks, CART classification trees, support vector machines, and k-nearest neighbour on the same dataset in order to compare their efficiency in the sense of classification accuracy. The performance of each method was compared on ten subsamples in a 10-fold cross-validation procedure in order to assess computing sensitivity and specificity of each model. Results: The artificial neural network model based on multilayer perceptron yielded a higher classification rate than the models produced by other methods. The pairwise t-test showed a statistical significance between the artificial neural network and the k-nearest neighbour model, while the difference among other methods was not statistically significant. Conclusions: Tested machine learning methods are able to learn fast and achieve high classification accuracy. However, further advancement can be assured by testing a few additional methodological refinements in machine learning methods.

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