scholarly journals Nomogram to predict the outcomes of patients with microsatellite instability-high metastatic colorectal cancer receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (8) ◽  
pp. e003370
Author(s):  
Filippo Pietrantonio ◽  
Sara Lonardi ◽  
Francesca Corti ◽  
Gabriele Infante ◽  
Maria Elena Elez ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Microsatellite Instability ◽  
Disease Control ◽  
Metastatic Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Immune Checkpoint ◽  
Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors ◽  
Checkpoint Inhibitors ◽  
Free Probability ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Discriminative Ability

BackgroundThe efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in patients with microsatellite instability (MSI)-high metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) is unprecedented. A relevant proportion of subjects achieving durable disease control may be considered potentially ‘cured’, as opposed to patients experiencing primary ICI refractoriness or short-term clinical benefit. We developed and externally validated a nomogram to estimate the progression-free survival (PFS) and the time-independent event-free probability (EFP) in patients with MSI-high mCRC receiving ICIs.MethodsThe PFS and EFP were estimated using a cure model fitted on a developing set of 163 patients and validated on a set of 146 patients with MSI-high mCRC receiving anti-programmed death (ligand)1 (PD-(L)1) ± anticytotoxic T-lymphocyte antigen 4 (CTLA-4) agents. A total of 23 putative prognostic factors were chosen and then selected using a random survival forest (RSF). The model performance in estimating PFS probability was evaluated by assessing calibration (internally—developing set and externally—validating set) and quantifying the discriminative ability (Harrell C index).ResultsRFS selected five variables: ICI type (anti-PD-(L)1 monotherapy vs anti-CTLA-4 combo), ECOG PS (0 vs >0), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (≤3 vs >3), platelet count, and prior treatment lines. As both in the developing and validation series most PFS events occurred within 12 months, this was chosen as cut-point for PFS prediction. The combination of the selected variables allowed estimation of the 12-month PFS (focused on patients with low chance of being cured) and the EFP (focused on patients likely to be event-free at a certain point of their follow-up). ICI type was significantly associated with disease control, as patients receiving the anti-CTLA-4-combination experienced the best outcomes. The calibration of PFS predictions was good both in the developing and validating sets. The median value of the EFP (46%) allowed segregation of two prognostic groups in both the developing (PFS HR=3.73, 95% CI 2.25 to 6.18; p<0.0001) and validating (PFS HR=1.86, 95% CI 1.07 to 3.23; p=0.0269) sets.ConclusionsA nomogram based on five easily assessable variables including ICI treatment was built to estimate the outcomes of patients with MSI-high mCRC, with the potential to assist clinicians in their clinical practice. The web-based system ‘MSI mCRC Cure’ was released.

scholarly journals Current status and perspectives of immune checkpoint inhibitors for colorectal cancer

2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (1) ◽  
pp. 10-19
Author(s):  
Hidekazu Hirano ◽  
Atsuo Takashima ◽  
Tetsuya Hamaguchi ◽  
Dai Shida ◽  
Yukihide Kanemitsu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Microsatellite Instability ◽  
Metastatic Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Mismatch Repair ◽  
Immune Checkpoint ◽  
Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors ◽  
Checkpoint Inhibitors ◽  
Standard Of Care ◽  
High Level ◽  
Deficient Mismatch Repair

Abstract Immunotherapy, especially immune checkpoint inhibitors, has revolutionized the standard-of-care of multiple types of tumors. For colorectal cancer, the clinical development of immune checkpoint inhibitors is mainly separated according to the status of microsatellite instability or mismatch repair in a tumor. High-level microsatellite instability/deficient mismatch repair metastatic colorectal cancer generally has a tumor microenvironment with infiltration of T cells, associated with a favorable response to immune checkpoint inhibitors. Immune checkpoint inhibitors, including pembrolizumab (anti-PD-1 inhibitor) and nivolumab (anti-PD-1 inhibitor) with or without ipilimumab (anti-CTLA-4 inhibitor), have been integrated into the standard-of-care for high-level microsatellite instability/deficient mismatch repair metastatic colorectal cancer. Conversely, limited T-cell infiltration in the tumor microenvironment of microsatellite stable/proficient mismatch repair metastatic colorectal cancer, which constitutes the majority of metastatic colorectal cancer, is assumed to be a major resistant mechanism to immune checkpoint inhibitors. Currently, clinical trials to improve the clinical activity of immune checkpoint inhibitors by immunomodulation are ongoing for metastatic colorectal cancer. Furthermore, immune checkpoint inhibitors are under development in neoadjuvant and/or adjuvant setting. Here, we review the existing clinical data with ongoing trials and discuss the future perspectives with a focus on the immunotherapy of colorectal cancer.

Microsatellite instability status in metastatic colorectal cancer and effect of immune checkpoint inhibitors on survival in MSI-high metastatic colorectal cancer.

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e15106-e15106 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wataru Okamoto ◽  
Yoshiaki Nakamura ◽  
Manabu Shiozawa ◽  
Yoshito Komatsu ◽  
Tadamichi Denda ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Microsatellite Instability ◽  
Metastatic Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Immune Checkpoint ◽  
Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Checkpoint Inhibitors ◽  
Survival Rates ◽  
Gene Mutations ◽  
Poorly Differentiated

e15106 Background: Tumor mismatch repair (MMR) predicts benefit of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). We conducted a large-scale prospective observational trial on microsatellite instability (MSI) status in mCRC: SCRUM-Japan GI-SCREEN CRC-MSI. Methods: mCRC patients (pts) appropriate for systemic chemotherapy were eligible. Paired tumor and normal DNA extracted from FFPE samples were analyzed by the MSI Analysis System, which includes 5 mononucleotide markers. Tumors exhibiting ≥2 unstable markers were defined as MSI-H, while those with ≤1 were labelled MSI-L/MSS. Results: From 2/2016 to 3/2018, 1,711 pts were enrolled, and 1,696 samples were submitted. MSI status was determined in 1,676 pts (98.8%); 51 pts (3.0%) were MSI-H. For MSI-H vs. MSI-L/MSS pts: Median age (years) 64/64; male gender (%) 51.0 vs. 43.8, p=0.31; right-sided primary (%) 70.6 vs. 25.0, p<0.001; and poorly differentiated histology (%) 33.3 vs. 8.9, p<0.001. Of the 864 pts who received parallel NGS testing, median tumor mutation burdens (TMB) in MSI-H and MSI-L/MSS were 32.8 and 12.6 mt/Mb, p<0.001. High TMB, defined as >20 mt/Mb, was observed in 27/29 (93.1%) MSI-H pts. The frequency of representative gene mutations (%) for MSI-H vs. MSI-L/MSS pts were: TP53 17.2 vs. 66.1, p<0.001; PIK3CA 48.3 vs. 13.2, p<0.001; BRAF 34.5 vs. 7.5, p<0.001; MSH2 17.2 vs. 0, p<0.001; CTNNB1 17.2 vs. 0.6, p<0.001; and ERBB2 10.3 vs. 1.4, p<0.001. ERBB2 amplification was detected only in MSI-L/MSS pts (2.3%). Two-year survival rates from first-line systemic therapy in 389 pts with MSI-L/MSS, 5 pts with MSI-H treated with ICI in any-line, and 5 pts with MSI-H not treated with ICI, were 77.7, 100, and 33.3%, respectively. Conclusions: MSI-H mCRC tumors were more frequent in right-sided colon primaries and with poorly differentiated histology. Median TMB was significantly greater in MSI-H pts, and a very high burden was frequently seen. Survival in MSI-H mCRC was poor before ICIs; these agents may improve outcomes for MSI-H pts. Clinical trial #UMIN000020437.

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