Indices of Total Stock Biomass in the "Northern" and Gulf of St. Lawrence Atlantic Cod (Gadus morhua) Stocks Derived from Time Series Analyses of Fixed Gear (Trap) Catches

1992 ◽  
Vol 49 (2) ◽  
pp. 202-209 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. A. Rose

The hypothesis that annual catches of fixed gear fisheries are cross-correlated with stock biomass at lags predictable on the basis of the relative ages of fish comprising the catch and biomass was verified for the trapnet fisheries of the northeastern Newfoundland "northern" (NAFO 2J3KL) and northern "Gulf" of St. Lawrence (NAFO 3Pn4RS) Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) stocks. Time series indices of stock biomass were derived from these cross-correlations. For northern cod, the index was a 3-yr weighted and lagged moving average of catch. For the years 1972–81 (the first half of the available data) the trap index (Ti) was regressed on the stock biomass (Bi) determined by sequential population models (SPA) (Ti = 0.477Bi0.638, r = 0.99, P < 0.01). Biomass forecasts for 1982–90 derived from this function (inverted) were positively correlated with recent SPA-based estimates (r = 0.94, P < 0.02). For Gulf cod, the index was a 4-yr weighted and lagged moving average of catch. This index was regressed on SPA-determined biomass for the years 1974–81 (Ti = −3.19 + 0.0217Bi, r = 0.99; P < 0.01). Biomass forecasts for 1982–90 were positively correlated with (but lower than) SPA-based biomass estimates for the Gulf stock (r = 0.91, P < 0.05).

2020 ◽  
Vol 77 (1) ◽  
pp. 113-123 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Irgens ◽  
Arild Folkvord ◽  
Håkon Otterå ◽  
Olav S. Kjesbu

Specific impacts of somatic growth, sexual maturation, and spawning events on otolith zone formation in Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) were assessed in a 33-month tank experiment, using Barents Sea cod and Norwegian coastal cod. High and low feeding ration combinations were used to mimic environmental stressors in the field. For both stocks, apparent macrostructural “spawning zones” in otoliths are registered in statutory stock monitoring programs to estimate age at maturity, thus adding key information to stock biomass assessments. We found that substantial energy investments in reproduction caused reductions in otolith growth and altered proportional width between translucent and opaque zones. These effects, however, were only statistically significant among individuals with high reproductive investments, while otoliths from individuals with low investments did not differ from the otoliths for immatures. Reproduction may thus not necessarily induce spawning zones, and alternatively, spawning zones may not necessarily reflect reproduction. Altogether, this suggests that the individual energy level, as a premise for metabolic activity, plays a key role in the formation of such zones and thus is related to environmental conditions.


1998 ◽  
Vol 55 (1) ◽  
pp. 76-85 ◽  
Author(s):  
L Fahrig ◽  
S E Pope ◽  
K M Henein ◽  
G A Rose

We compared the effects of the inshore trap and the offshore trawl fisheries on the population dynamics of the northern cod (Gadus morhua) stock using data analyses and simulation modelling. We first statistically characterized the catch versus stock biomass relationships for the two fisheries (1977-1986). We found a significant (P < 0.0001) relationship between the trawl catch at time t and the stock biomass at time t - 2. No temporal lag was evident in the trap catch versus stock biomass relationship. The variability in these two relationships was similar. We then modelled the catch and stock biomass dynamics of the two fisheries in parallel, incorporating the observed catch versus stock biomass relationships, but assuming equal mean catches, to examine the effects on cod population dynamics of the temporal lag and variability in the catch versus stock biomass relationships. The results suggest that, for the same amount of fish taken, a quota-based trawl fishery presents a much greater risk of collapse to the cod stock than does an inshore trap fishery. Current management methods overestimate the "safe" catch for the trawl fishery because they do not incorporate the consequences of the lag in the relationship between stock biomass and trawl catch.


2019 ◽  
Vol 76 (6) ◽  
pp. 937-949 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lisha Guan ◽  
Yong Chen ◽  
James A. Wilson ◽  
Timothy Waring ◽  
Lisa A. Kerr ◽  
...  

To evaluate the influence of spatially variable and connected recruitments at spawning component scale on complex stock dynamics, a typical agent-based complex stock was modeled based on the Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) stock in the Gulf of Maine. We simulated three scenarios with different degrees of connectivity (i.e., individual exchange) between the spatially variable recruitments of 36 spawning components within four subpopulations under the stock. Subsequently, the temporal trends were compared for different scenarios in age-1 recruitment, spawning stock biomass, and local depletion proportion of the overall complex stock and the individual subpopulations. Results show that increased recruitment connectivity from 0.1–0.2 to 0.6–0.8 between various components tends to increase the productivity and stability of a complex stock at local and global scales and reduce the proportion of depleted components due to overfishing. Moreover, depletions of less productive components may occur without a substantial reduction in the overall complex stock biomass and recruitment.


1992 ◽  
Vol 49 (12) ◽  
pp. 2588-2595 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul F. Valerio ◽  
Sally V. Goddard ◽  
Ming H. Kao ◽  
Garth L. Fletcher

Freeze resistance of eggs and larvae of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) from the northern cod stock was investigated to determine whether ice contact could affect survival during the spring spawning season off Newfoundland. Egg and larval homogenates did not appear to contain antifreeze proteins (mean freezing points −0.78 and −0.88 °C, respectively). However, cod eggs did not freeze at −1.8 °C in icy aerated seawater, could be undercooled to −4.0 °C in ice, and froze at temperatures between −4.1 and −1 7 °C; freeze resistance depended on the integrity of the chorion. Larvae withstood undercooling to −1.8 °C, provided they were not brought into direct contact with ice crystals, if directly touched with ice, larvae froze at −1.36 °C (feeding stage) or −1.34 °C (yolk-sac), approximately 0.5 °C lower than would be expected from the freezing temperatures of their body fluids. The nature of their external epithelium and delayed development of sensitive gill structures below 0 °C may contribute to larval freeze resistance. Cod eggs and larvae are found in spring off Newfoundland and Labrador, when sea temperatures can be as low as −1.8 °C and ice cover extensive. While cod eggs are remarkably freeze resistant, such environmental conditions may cause freezing mortalities in larval cod.


2018 ◽  
Vol 75 (12) ◽  
pp. 2302-2312 ◽  
Author(s):  
Victoria Neville ◽  
George Rose ◽  
Sherrylynn Rowe ◽  
Robyn Jamieson ◽  
Glenn Piercey

Stable oxygen isotope assays of otoliths (δ18Ooto) from migrant Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua Linnaeus, 1758) that overwintered in Smith Sound, Newfoundland, during 1995–2006 differed from those of nonmigrating summer residents and cod from Placentia Bay and Halibut Channel but did not differ from those of cod from the adjacent offshore Bonavista Corridor in summer. All fish sampled were of the 1990 year class (founder of the Smith Sound aggregation) at ages 8–10 years. Hence, overwintering Smith Sound and summering Bonavista Corridor cod likely experienced similar temperatures and salinities in each year of life, representing different migration stages of an intermixed group. Moreover, predictions of δ18Ooto from near-bottom ocean temperatures and salinities differed between inshore and offshore sites and, in general, matched observed signatures of inshore and offshore cod. The Bonavista Corridor cod, however, were an exception, having δ18Ooto signatures suggestive of inshore exposure. Our findings provide direct evidence of metapopulation structure in the Northern cod and are consistent with offshore rebuilding having been spurred by dispersal of cod from inshore Smith Sound.


2014 ◽  
Vol 71 (4) ◽  
pp. 784-793 ◽  
Author(s):  
Darrell R. J. Mullowney ◽  
George A. Rose

Abstract The slow recovery of the “northern” Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) stock off Newfoundland and Labrador has been ascribed to many factors. One hypothesis is poor feeding and condition as a consequence of a decline in capelin (Mallotus villosus), their former main prey. We compared the growth and condition of cod from known inshore (Smith Sound) and offshore (Bonavista Corridor) centres of rebuilding in wild subjects versus captive subjects fed an unlimited diet of oily rich fish. Wild fish in these areas have had different diets and population performance trends since stock declines in the early 1990s. Captive cod from both areas grew at the same rates and achieved equivalent prime condition, while their wild counterparts differed, with smaller sizes, lower condition in small fish, and elevated mortality levels in the offshore centre. Environmental temperature conditions did not account for the differences in performance of wild fish. Our results suggest that fish growth and condition, and hence rebuilding in the formerly large offshore spawning components of the northern cod, have been limited by a lack of capelin in their diet. Furthermore, we suggest that these groups are unlikely to rebuild until a recovery in capelin occurs.


1995 ◽  
Vol 52 (1) ◽  
pp. 223-232 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ransom A. Myers ◽  
N. J. Barrowman

Large biases can occur in parameter estimates for stock–recruitment models because the stock sizes are not chosen independently, being correlated with variability in recruitment. We examine the importance of this "time series bias" by a comprehensive analysis of available stock–recruitment data and the use of simulations. For semelparous species, i.e., species that reproduce only once, time series bias is important for all populations for which we had data. For iteroparous species, i.e., species that reproduce more than once, large biases occur if the populations are exploited at close to the maximum that is biologically possible. Notably, when there is autocorrelation in natural mortality, for univoltine species, the direction of bias is reversed due to model misspecification. Given moderate sample sizes and moderate levels of exploitation, time series bias is small for species such as Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua), for which α, the slope of the relationship between recruitment and number of spawners as the number of spawners goes to zero, is large. Time series bias will usually be important in species such as hakes (Merluccius) for which α appears to be relatively small.


2008 ◽  
Vol 65 (3) ◽  
pp. 523-534 ◽  
Author(s):  
Geir Ottersen

The oldest and largest individuals are disappearing from many fish stocks worldwide as a result of overexploitation. This has been suggested to impair recruitment through decreasing the reproductive capacity of the spawners and increasing the mortality rate of the offspring. By using a time series on spawners biomass by age class for Arcto-Norwegian cod (Gadus morhua) from 1913–2004, I have documented pronounced changes in the spawning stock, including a trend towards younger fish, a less diverse distribution across ages, and a declining proportion of repeat spawners. Despite the total spawning stock biomass (SSB) being at similar levels now as in 1933, the mean age in the SSB has declined from 10–12.5 years to 7–8 years during the study period, and the percentage of fish of age 10 or above in the SSB has decreased from ~97% to ~10%. Contrary to earlier theoretical and experimental studies, no clear link between age structure and recruitment was found here. Recruitment to the Arcto-Norwegian cod stock may thus be more robust towards spawner juvenation than expected, possibly because of strong recruitment compensation.


2010 ◽  
Vol 218 (3) ◽  
pp. 166-174 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michaela Schmidt ◽  
Franziska Perels ◽  
Bernhard Schmitz

The aim of the study is to combine and compare person-oriented and nomothetic approaches to analyze longitudinal data with time series analyses and hierarchical linear modeling (HLM). Based on the evaluation of an intervention study both approaches were used to compare individual and group data. In this study, a training was implemented to foster students’ self-regulation and selected results were presented at the individual and group level for the variables planning and motivation. To analyze data with time series analysis, cross-correlations and trend analyses were conducted. Cross-correlations revealed similar results on the aggregated and individual level whereas trend analysis indicated different results of these two levels. Results of HLM analyses for longitudinal data suggested that students’ motivation has more influence than the type of training group on students’ planning. The findings demonstrate that individual and group-level results differ and that both methods have different focuses. This means that it is useful to combine time series analyses and HLM approaches when analyzing longitudinal data.


1998 ◽  
Vol 55 (6) ◽  
pp. 1430-1442 ◽  
Author(s):  
David A Methven ◽  
David C Schneider

Habitat and size of juvenile Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) change substantially during the first 3 years after settlement, and hence, cohort size cannot be followed using a single gear. We investigated whether catch could be calibrated across gear types by deploying pairs of gears repeatedly in the same habitat. As expected, size selectivity differed substantially among gears. Trawls and seines generally collected individuals <200 mm. Gillnets and jiggers collected individuals >150 mm. Size modes, corresponding to age-classes, were common to catches of most gears. Highest catches were taken by trawls and seines. Gillnet catches were orders of magnitude lower. Standardized catches could not be calibrated across pairs of gears deployed in the same habitat at approximately the same time. However, it was possible to identify spatial depth gradients and diel changes in catch that were independent of gear. Consistent spatial and temporal patterns across gears were interpreted as characteristic of fish populations, not just of gears. Density in coastal habitats was higher at night and was higher at 4-7 m than at greater depths. These results, in conjunction with other studies, establish that coastal depths of 4-7 m represent the centre, and not the edge, of the distribution of age 0 cod in Newfoundland during autumn. Hence nursery areas during the early 1990s, a time of historically low spawning stock biomass, must be identified as the coastal zone, not offshore.


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