COMPARISON OF TECHNOLOGY FORECASTING METHODS FOR MULTI-NATIONAL ENTERPRISES: THE CASE FOR A DECISION-FOCUSED SCENARIO APPROACH

2007 ◽  
pp. 409-423 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oliver Yu
Keyword(s):  
Technology Forecasting ◽  
Forecasting Methods ◽  
Scenario Approach

Technology Forecasting Methods with Emphasis on Bibliographic Analysis and Curve Fitting: A Photocatalytic Case Example

2012 ◽  
Vol 442 ◽  
pp. 144-148 ◽  
Author(s):  
Promsak Jaranyagorn ◽  
Chuvej Chansa Ngavej
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Curve Fitting ◽  
New Products ◽  
Technology Change ◽  
Technology Forecasting ◽  
Bibliographic Analysis ◽  
Strategic Direction ◽  
Forecasting Methods ◽  
Trend Forecasting ◽  
Good Forecast

Technology forecasting methods can be applied to make sure we know the potential direction, characteristic, state and effect of technology change. A good forecast can maximize gain and minimize loss from future conditions Nowadays, many companies invest a great deal in R&D to develop competitive new products and technology. Globalization and the rate of technological change in highly competitive market mean that companies need to consider increasing the R&D budgets and ensuring the money is spent efficiently and effectively. Technology forecasting is very useful for decision making in managerial issues. It can help government manage their public agendas and budgetary constraints and for business strategic direction and prioritizing R&D projects. This paper explores the technology forecasting methods and demonstrates the use of bibliographic analysis and curve fitting with Bass diffusion and exponential models for trend forecasting of titanium dioxide photocatalyst as a case example.

scholarly journals Introduction to Technology Forecasting and Assessment methods

2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (02) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ramasubramanian V. ◽  
Mir Asif Iquebal ◽  
Mrinmoy Ray ◽  
Sarika . ◽  
R. S. Tomar
Keyword(s):  
Technology Assessment ◽  
Short Review ◽  
Assessment Methods ◽  
Technology Forecasting ◽  
Forecasting Methods ◽  
Different Types ◽  
The Future ◽  
Technological Forecast

A technological forecast is a prediction of the future characteristics of useful machines, procedures or techniques. Owing to its importance, this article discusses Technology Forecasting (TF) starting from its various definitions, necessity, a short review on the existing work, more particularly in the field of agriculture. Thereafter, it proceeds to explain the different types of classifications under which the various Technology Forecasting methods can be categorised. It also gives a brief account on various technology assessment methods available in the literature.

Low-Carbon Russia: Prospects after the Crisis

2009 ◽  
pp. 107-120 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. Bashmakov
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Potential Energy ◽  
Greenhouse Gas Emissions ◽  
Greenhouse Gas ◽  
Low Carbon ◽  
Modeling Tools ◽  
Gas Emissions ◽  
Scenario Approach

On the eve of the worldwide negotiations of a new climate agreement in December 2009 in Copenhagen it is important to clearly understand what Russia can do to mitigate energy-related greenhouse gas emissions in the medium (until 2020) and in the long term (until 2050). The paper investigates this issue using modeling tools and scenario approach. It concludes that transition to the "Low-Carbon Russia" scenarios must be accomplished in 2020—2030 or sooner, not only to mitigate emissions, but to block potential energy shortages and its costliness which can hinder economic growth.

Survey of Long-Term Technology Forecasting Methodologies

2002 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. C. Oliver ◽  
B. Balko ◽  
A. Seraphin ◽  
A. Calhoun
Keyword(s):  
Technology Forecasting
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