Investment for the Long Run: New Evidence for an Old Rule

2011 ◽  
pp. 495-508
Author(s):  
Harry M. Markowitz
Keyword(s):  
Long Run ◽  
New Evidence

Income elasticity of overnight stays over seven decades

2018 ◽  
Vol 24 (8) ◽  
pp. 1015-1028 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Falk ◽  
Xiang Lin
Keyword(s):  
Purchasing Power Parity ◽  
Travel Demand ◽  
Income Elasticity ◽  
Power Parity ◽  
Income Elasticities ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Overnight Stays ◽  
New Evidence ◽  
Specific Country

This article provides new evidence on the stability of the long-run income elasticity of tourism and travel demand by use of the recently developed smooth time-varying cointegration regression model. The estimations control for relative purchasing power parity of the source country and make use of a specific country dataset where domestic and foreign overnight stays are available over a longer period of time (Switzerland, 1934–2015). Results show that the income elasticity of foreign overnight stays peaks at approximately two in the early 1960s, drops to around one in the early 1980s and from then on remains stable until the end of the sample. Domestic income elasticity reaches its highest levels in the 1930s, then steadily falls towards one in the mid-1960s, and therefrom remains stable until 2015. Different phases in the tourism area life cycle might be a major explanatory factor for variation in income elasticities over time.

scholarly journals The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870–2015*

2019 ◽  
Vol 134 (3) ◽  
pp. 1225-1298 ◽  
Author(s):  
Òscar Jordà ◽  
Katharina Knoll ◽  
Dmitry Kuvshinov ◽  
Moritz Schularick ◽  
Alan M Taylor
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Rate Of Return ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Real Rate ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Advanced Economies ◽  
New Findings ◽  
Asset Classes ◽  
New Evidence

Abstract What is the aggregate real rate of return in the economy? Is it higher than the growth rate of the economy and, if so, by how much? Is there a tendency for returns to fall in the long run? Which particular assets have the highest long-run returns? We answer these questions on the basis of a new and comprehensive data set for all major asset classes, including housing. The annual data on total returns for equity, housing, bonds, and bills cover 16 advanced economies from 1870 to 2015, and our new evidence reveals many new findings and puzzles.

scholarly journals Expectations or macroeconomic innovations: What drives the stakeholders’ decisions? Evidence from the euro area

2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 185-189
Author(s):  
S. Ali Shah Syed ◽  
Hélène Syed Zwick
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Empirical Relationship ◽  
Equity Market ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
New Evidence

This study brings new evidence supporting the existence of the linkage between equity market and macroeconomic variables in the Euro area. Using the monthly data from January 1999 to September 2014 we show empirical relationship between stock returns and interest rate in the 19 countries using the euro. The results confirm that in Euro Area stock markets, the stockowners decisions are significantly influenced by the macroeconomic expectations, particularly the long run interest rate

scholarly journals Academic Achievement and Economic Attainment: Reexamining Associations Between Test Scores and Long-Run Earnings

AERA Open ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 233285842092898
Author(s):  
Tyler W. Watts
Keyword(s):  
Family Environment ◽  
Test Scores ◽  
Educational Interventions ◽  
Reading Scores ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Economic Attainment ◽  
Current Article ◽  
Adult Earnings ◽  
Socioemotional Skills ◽  
New Evidence

The current article reexamines the correlation between achievement test scores and earnings by providing new evidence on the association between academic skills and measures of adult earnings assessed when participants were in their 30s, 40s, and 50s. Results suggest that math and reading scores are strong predictors of economic attainment throughout participants’ careers, but these associations may also be sensitive to controls for other characteristics—including measures of the early family environment, general cognitive functioning, and socioemotional skills. Although these associations demonstrate the likely importance of achievement skills in determining labor market productivity, the variability in the achievement-to-earnings correlation suggests that researchers should apply caution when using the correlation to project the long-run effects of educational interventions.

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