Long short-term memory neural network-based multi-level model for smart irrigation

2020 ◽  
Vol 34 (36) ◽  
pp. 2050418
Author(s):  
Ravneet Kaur Sidhu ◽  
Ravinder Kumar ◽  
Prashant Singh Rana

Rice is a staple food crop around the world, and its demand is likely to rise significantly with growth in population. Increasing rice productivity and production largely depends on the availability of irrigation water. Thus, the efficient application of irrigation water such that the crop doesn’t experience moisture stress is of utmost importance. In the present study, a long short-term memory (LSTM)-based neural network with logistic regression has been used to predict the daily irrigation schedule of drip-irrigated rice. The correlation threshold of 0.75 was used for the selection of features, which helped in limiting the number of input parameters. Also, a dataset based on the recommendation of a domain expert, and another used by the tool Agricultural Production Systems Simulator (APSIM) was used for comparison. Field data comprising of weather station data and past irrigation schedules has been used to train the model. Grid search algorithm has been used to optimize the hyperparameters of the model. Nested cross-validation has been used for validating the results. The results show that the correlation-based selected dataset is as effective as the domain expert-recommended dataset in predicting the water requirement using LSTM as the base model. The models were evaluated on different parameters and a multi-criteria decision evaluation (Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution [TOPSIS]) was used to find the best performing.

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 130
Author(s):  
Gwo-Ching Liao

Load forecasting (LF) is essential in enabling modern power systems’ safety and economical transportation and energy management systems. The dynamic balance between power generation and load in the optimization of power systems is receiving increasing attention. The intellectual development of information in the power industry and the data acquisition system of the smart grid provides a vast data source for pessimistic load forecasting, and it is of great significance in mining the information behind power data. An accurate short-term load forecasting can guarantee a system’s safe and reliable operation, improve the utilization rate of power generation, and avoid the waste of power resources. In this paper, the load forecasting model by applying a fusion of Improved Sparrow Search Algorithm and Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network (ILSTM-NN), and then establish short-term load forecasting using this novel model. Sparrow Search Algorithm is a novel swarm intelligence optimization algorithm that simulates sparrow foraging predatory behavior. It is used to optimize the parameters (such as weight, bias, etc.) of the ILSTM-NN. The results of the actual examples are used to prove the accuracy of load forecasting. It can improve (decrease) the MAPE by about 20% to 50% and RMSE by about 44.1% to 52.1%. Its ability to improve load forecasting error values is tremendous, so it is very suitable for promoting a domestic power system.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 104
Author(s):  
Dana-Mihaela Petroșanu ◽  
Alexandru Pîrjan

The accurate forecasting of the hourly month-ahead electricity consumption represents a very important aspect for non-household electricity consumers and system operators, and at the same time represents a key factor in what regards energy efficiency and achieving sustainable economic, business, and management operations. In this context, we have devised, developed, and validated within the paper an hourly month ahead electricity consumption forecasting method. This method is based on a bidirectional long-short-term memory (BiLSTM) artificial neural network (ANN) enhanced with a multiple simultaneously decreasing delays approach coupled with function fitting neural networks (FITNETs). The developed method targets the hourly month-ahead total electricity consumption at the level of a commercial center-type consumer and for the hourly month ahead consumption of its refrigerator storage room. The developed approach offers excellent forecasting results, highlighted by the validation stage’s results along with the registered performance metrics, namely 0.0495 for the root mean square error (RMSE) performance metric for the total hourly month-ahead electricity consumption and 0.0284 for the refrigerator storage room. We aimed for and managed to attain an hourly month-ahead consumed electricity prediction without experiencing a significant drop in the forecasting accuracy that usually tends to occur after the first two weeks, therefore achieving a reliable method that satisfies the contractor’s needs, being able to enhance his/her activity from the economic, business, and management perspectives. Even if the devised, developed, and validated forecasting solution for the hourly consumption targets a commercial center-type consumer, based on its accuracy, this solution can also represent a useful tool for other non-household electricity consumers due to its generalization capability.


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