A Stochastic Hierarchical Population System: Excitement, Extinction and Transition to Chaos

2021 ◽  
Vol 31 (14) ◽  
Author(s):  
Irina Bashkirtseva ◽  
Tatyana Perevalova ◽  
Lev Ryashko

A problem of the mathematical modeling and analysis of noise-induced transformations of complex oscillatory regimes in hierarchical population systems is considered. As a key example, we use a three-dimensional food chain dynamical model of the interacting prey, predator, and top predator. We perform a comparative study of the impacts of random fluctuations on three key biological parameters of prey growth, predator mortality, and the top predator growth. A detailed investigation of the stochastic excitement, noise-induced transition from order to chaos, and various scenarios of extinction is carried out. Constructive abilities of the semi-analytical method of confidence domains in the analysis of the noise-induced extinction are demonstrated.

Author(s):  
Zulqurnain Sabir

In this work, three-dimensional nonlinear food chain system is numerically treated using the computational heuristic framework of artificial neural networks (ANNs) together with the proficiencies of global and local search approaches based on genetic algorithm (GA) and interior-point algorithm scheme (IPAS), i.e. ANN–GA–IPAS. The three-dimensional food chain system consists of prey populations, specialist predator and top-predator. The formulation of an objective function using the differential system of three-species food chain and its initial conditions is presented and the optimization is performed by using the hybrid computing efficiency of GA–IPAS. The achieved numerical solutions through ANN–GA–IPAS to solve the nonlinear three-species food chain system are compared with the Adams method to validate the exactness of the designed ANN–GA–IPAS. The comparison of the results is presented to authenticate the correctness of the designed ANN–GA–IPAS for solving the nonlinear three-species food chain system. Moreover, statistical representations for 40 independent trials and 30 variables validate the efficacy, constancy and reliability of ANN–GA–IPAS.


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (Special Issue on First SACEE'19) ◽  
pp. 207-2016
Author(s):  
Guillermo Martinez ◽  
David Castillo ◽  
José Jara ◽  
Bertha Olmos

This paper presents a first approximation of the seismic vulnerability of a sixteenth century building which is part of the historical center of Morelia, Mexico. The city was declared World Heritage by United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization in 1991. The modeling and analysis of the building was carried out using a three-dimensional elastic tetrahedral finite elements model which was subjected to probabilistic seismic demands with recurrences of 500 yrs and 1000 yrs in addition to real seismic records. The model was able to correctly identify cracking pattern in different parts of the temple due to gravitational forces. High seismic vulnerability of the arched window and the walls of the middle part of the bell tower of the temple was indicated by the seismic analysis of the model.


2005 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. 803-812 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hao ZHANG ◽  
Hajime NAKAGAWA ◽  
Taisuke ISHIGAKI ◽  
Yasunori MUTO ◽  
Yasuyuki BABA

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nian-kun Ji ◽  
Shu-ying Li ◽  
Zhi-tao Wang ◽  
Ning-bo Zhao

The intercooled gas turbine obtained by adopting an indirect heat exchanger into an existing gas turbine is one of the candidates for developing high-power marine power units. To simplify such a strong coupled nonlinear system reasonably, the feasibility and availability of qualifying equivalent effectiveness as the only parameter to evaluate the intercooler behavior are investigated. Regarding equivalent effectiveness as an additional degree of freedom, the steady state model of a marine intercooled gas turbine is developed and its off-design performance is analyzed. With comprehensive considerations given to various phase missions of ships, operational flexibility, mechanical constraints, and thermal constraints, the operating curve of the intercooled gas turbine is optimized based on graphical method in three-dimensional performance space. The resulting operating curve revealed that the control strategy at the steady state conditions for the intercooled gas turbine should be variable cycle control. The necessity of integration optimization design for gas turbine and intercooler is indicated and the modeling and analysis method developed in this paper should be beneficial to it.


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