The Study of a Predator-Prey Model with Fear Effect Based on State-Dependent Harvesting Strategy

In presence of predator population, the prey population may significantly change their behavior. Fear for predator population enhances the survival probability of prey population, and it can greatly reduce the reproduction of prey population. In this study, we propose a predator-prey fishery model introducing the cost of fear into prey reproduction with Holling type-II functional response and prey-dependent harvesting and investigate the global dynamics of the proposed model. For the system without harvest, it is shown that the level of fear may alter the stability of the positive equilibrium, and an expression of fear critical level is characterized. For the harvest system, the existence of the semitrivial order-1 periodic solution and positive order- q ( q ≥ 1 ) periodic solution is discussed by the construction of a Poincaré map on the phase set, and the threshold conditions are given, which can not only transform state-dependent harvesting into a cycle one but also provide a possibility to determine the harvest frequency. In addition, to ensure a certain robustness of the adopted harvest policy, the threshold condition for the stability of the order- q periodic solution is given. Meanwhile, to achieve a good economic profit, an optimization problem is formulated and the optimum harvest level is obtained. Mathematical findings have been validated in numerical simulation by MATLAB. Different effects of different harvest levels and different fear levels have been demonstrated by depicting figures in numerical simulation using MATLAB.

A fractional model in exploring the role of fear in mass mortality of pelicans in the Salton Sea

The fear response is an important anti-predator adaptation that can significantly reduce prey's reproduction by inducing many physiological and psychological changes in the prey. Recent studies in behavioral sciences reveal this fact. Other than terrestrial vertebrates, aquatic vertebrates also exhibit fear responses. Many mathematical studies have been done on the mass mortality of pelican birds in the Salton Sea in Southern California and New Mexico in recent years. Still, no one has investigated the scenario incorporating the fear effect. This work investigates how the mass mortality of pelican birds (predator) gets influenced by the fear response in tilapia fish (prey). For novelty, we investigate a modified fractional-order eco-epidemiological model by incorporating fear response in the prey population in the Caputo-fractional derivative sense. The fundamental mathematical requisites like existence, uniqueness, non-negativity and boundedness of the system's solutions are analyzed. Local and global asymptotic stability of the system at all the possible steady states are investigated. Routh-Hurwitz criterion is used to analyze the local stability of the endemic equilibrium. Fractional Lyapunov functions are constructed to determine the global asymptotic stability of the disease-free and endemic equilibrium. Finally, numerical simulations are conducted with the help of some biologically plausible parameter values to compare the theoretical findings. The order $\alpha$ of the fractional derivative is determined using Matignon's theorem, above which the system loses its stability via a Hopf bifurcation. It is observed that an increase in the fear coefficient above a threshold value destabilizes the system. The mortality rate of the infected prey population has a stabilization effect on the system dynamics that helps in the coexistence of all the populations. Moreover, it can be concluded that the fractional-order may help to control the coexistence of all the populations.

Stability analysis of two predators and one prey population model with harvesting in fisheries management

The discussion is focussed in the interaction between two predators and one prey population model in fishery management. Mathematically model is built by involving harvesting with constant efforts in the two predators and one prey populations. The positive equilibrium point of the model is analyzed via linearization and Routh-Hurwitz stability criteria. From the analysis, there exists a certain condition that makes the positive equilibrium point is asymptotically stable. The stable equilibrium point is then related to the maximum profit problem. With suitable value of harvesting efforts, the maximum profit is reached and the predator and prey populations remain stable. Finally, a numerical simulation is carried out to find out how much the maximum profit is obtained and to visualize how the trajectories of predator and prey tend to the stable equilibrium point.

Analisis Kestabilan Model Predator-Prey dengan Adanya Faktor Tempat Persembunyian Menggunakan Fungsi Respon Holling Tipe III

Predation is interaction between predator and prey, where predator preys prey. So predators can grow, develop, and reproduce. In order for prey to avoid predators, then prey needs a refuge. In this thesis, a predator-prey model with refuge factor using Holling type III response function which has three populations, i.e. prey population in the refuge, prey population outside the refuge, and predator population. From the model, three equilibrium points were obtained, those are extinction of the three populations which is unstable, while extinction of predator population and coexistence are asymptotic stable under certain conditions. The numerical simulation results show that refuge have an impact the survival of the prey.

THE STABILITY OF THE CRITICAL POINTS OF THE GENERALIZED GAUSE TYPE PREDATOR-PREY FISHERY MODELS WITH PROPORTIONAL HARVESTING AND TIME DELAY

In the marine ecosystem, the time delay or lag may occur in the predator response function, which measures the rate of capture of prey by a predator. This is because, when the growth of the prey population is null at the time delay period, the predator’s growth is affected by its population and prey population densities only after the time delay period. Therefore, the generalized Gause type predator-prey fishery models with a selective proportional harvesting rate of fish and time lag in the Holling type II predator response function are proposed to simulate and solve the population dynamical problem. From the mathematical analysis of the models, a certain dimension of time delays in the predator response or reaction function can change originally stable non-trivial critical points to unstable ones. This is due to the existence of the Hopf bifurcation that measures the critical values of the time lag, which will affect the stabilities of the non-trivial critical points of the models. Therefore, the effects of increasing and decreasing the values of selective proportional harvesting rate terms of prey and predator on the stabilities of the non-trivial critical points of the fishery models were analysed. Results have shown that, by increasing the values of the total proportion of prey and predator harvesting denoted by qx Ex and qy Ey respectively, within the range 0.3102 ≤ qx Ex ≤ 0.9984 and 0.5049 ≤ qy Ey ≤ 0.5363, the originally unstable non-trivial critical points of the fishery models can be stable.

Dynamics Analysis of Modified Leslie-Gower Model with Simplified Holling Type IV Functional Response

In this paper, the modified Leslie-Gower predator-prey model with simplified Holling type IV functional response is discussed. It is assumed that the prey population is a dangerous population. The equilibrium point of the model and the stability of the coexistence equilibrium point are analyzed. The simulation results show that both prey and predator populations will not become extinct as time increases. When the prey population density increases, there is a decrease in the predatory population density because the dangerous prey population has a better ability to defend itself from predators when the number is large enough.

Forecasting the Number of Tuberculosis (TBC) Using Fuzzy Prey Predator

Tuberculosis (TB or TB) is an infectious disease caused by the bacteriumMycobacterium tuberculosis. Tuberculosis (TB) is still a major health problem in theworld, so from this it is necessary to forecast to determine the increase in the number ofTB diseases, and later can be taken in prevention. This study uses the Fuzzy preypredator method. The data source used is data on TB patients at Batumarmar HealthCenter. From the results of this study, it was found that the population of Prey andPredator was sought for stability, so that after applying the fuzzy prey predator model,convergent results were obtained. Prey population and Predator population decreasedfor one month, afterwards covergen.

Dynamics of a Predator-Prey Population in the Presence of Resource Subsidy under the Influence of Nonlinear Prey Refuge and Fear Effect

In this work, our aim is to investigate the impact of a non-Kolmogorov predator-prey-subsidy model incorporating nonlinear prey refuge and the effect of fear with Holling type II functional response. The model arises from the study of a biological system involving arctic foxes (predator), lemmings (prey), and seal carcasses (subsidy). The positivity and asymptotically uniform boundedness of the solutions of the system have been derived. Analytically, we have studied the criteria for the feasibility and stability of different equilibrium points. In addition, we have derived sufficient conditions for the existence of local bifurcations of codimension 1 (transcritical and Hopf bifurcation). It is also observed that there is some time lag between the time of perceiving predator signals through vocal cues and the reduction of prey’s birth rate. So, we have analyzed the dynamical behaviour of the delayed predator-prey-subsidy model. Numerical computations have been performed using MATLAB to validate all the analytical findings. Numerically, it has been observed that the predator, prey, and subsidy can always exist at a nonzero subsidy input rate. But, at a high subsidy input rate, the prey population cannot persist and the predator population has a huge growth due to the availability of food sources.