scholarly journals THE VAR AT RISK

2010 ◽  
Vol 13 (04) ◽  
pp. 503-506 ◽  
Author(s):  
ALFRED GALICHON

I show that the structure of the firm is not neutral with respect to regulatory capital budgeted under rules which are based on the Value-at-Risk. Indeed, when a holding company has the liberty to divide its risk into as many subsidiaries as needed, and when the subsidiaries are subject to capital requirements according to the Value-at-Risk budgeting rule, then there is an optimal way to divide risk which is such that the total amount of capital to be budgeted by the shareholder is zero. This result may lead to regulatory arbitrage by some firms.

This chapter examines the advantages and disadvantages of the risk estimate approach—Value-at-Risk (VaR) which has been extensively embraced by regulators and practitioners in financial markets under the Basel II & III framework as the basis of risk measurement, both for the purpose of ensuring regulatory capital adequacy, and risk management and strategic planning at industry level.


Author(s):  
Emese Lazar ◽  
Ning Zhang

This chapter presents a preliminary analysis on how some market risk measures dramatically increased during the COVID-19 pandemic, with measures computed over longer horizons experiencing more pronounced effects. We provide examples when regulatory market risk measurement proved to be suboptimal, overestimating risk. A further issue was the large number of Value-at-Risk ‘exceptions’ during the first few months of the crisis, which normally leads to overinflated bank capital requirements. The current regulatory framework should address these problems by suggesting improvements to the calculation of risk measures and/or by modifying the rules which determine capital requirements to make them appropriate and realistic in crisis situations.


2019 ◽  
Vol 24 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. J. Richards ◽  
I. D. Currie ◽  
T. Kleinow ◽  
G. P. Ritchie

AbstractThe Age-Period-Cohort-Improvement (APCI) model is a new addition to the canon of mortality forecasting models. It was introduced by Continuous Mortality Investigation as a means of parameterising a deterministic targeting model for forecasting, but this paper shows how it can be implemented as a fully stochastic model. We demonstrate a number of interesting features about the APCI model, including which parameters to smooth and how much better the model fits to the data compared to some other, related models. However, this better fit also sometimes results in higher value-at-risk (VaR)-style capital requirements for insurers, and we explore why this is by looking at the density of the VaR simulations.


2012 ◽  
Vol 49 (2) ◽  
pp. 364-384 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anne-Laure Fougeres ◽  
Cecile Mercadier

The modeling of insurance risks has received an increasing amount of attention because of solvency capital requirements. The ruin probability has become a standard risk measure to assess regulatory capital. In this paper we focus on discrete-time models for the finite time horizon. Several results are available in the literature to calibrate the ruin probability by means of the sum of the tail probabilities of individual claim amounts. The aim of this work is to obtain asymptotics for such probabilities under multivariate regular variation and, more precisely, to derive them from extensions of Breiman's theorem. We thus present new situations where the ruin probability admits computable equivalents. We also derive asymptotics for the value at risk.


2008 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 149
Author(s):  
Keith Pilbeam ◽  
Rehan Noronha
Keyword(s):  
At Risk ◽  

2020 ◽  
Vol 50 (3) ◽  
pp. 1065-1092
Author(s):  
Jun Cai ◽  
Tiantian Mao

AbstractIn this study, we propose new risk measures from a regulator’s perspective on the regulatory capital requirements. The proposed risk measures possess many desired properties, including monotonicity, translation-invariance, positive homogeneity, subadditivity, nonnegative loading, and stop-loss order preserving. The new risk measures not only generalize the existing, well-known risk measures in the literature, including the Dutch, tail value-at-risk (TVaR), and expectile measures, but also provide new approaches to generate feasible and practical coherent risk measures. As examples of the new risk measures, TVaR-type generalized expectiles are investigated in detail. In particular, we present the dual and Kusuoka representations of the TVaR-type generalized expectiles and discuss their robustness with respect to the Wasserstein distance.


2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 127-136 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stavros Stavroyiannis

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the value-at-risk and related measures for the Bitcoin and to compare the findings with Standard and Poor’s SP500 Index, and the gold spot price time series. Design/methodology/approach A GJR-GARCH model has been implemented, in which the residuals follow the standardized Pearson type-IV distribution. A large variety of value-at-risk measures and backtesting criteria are implemented. Findings Bitcoin is a highly volatile currency violating the value-at-risk measures more than the other assets. With respect to the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision Accords, a Bitcoin investor is subjected to higher capital requirements and capital allocation ratio. Practical implications The risk of an investor holding Bitcoins is measured and quantified via the regulatory framework practices. Originality/value This paper is the first comprehensive approach to the risk properties of Bitcoin.


2005 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 223
Author(s):  
Claudio H. da S. Barbedo ◽  
Gustavo S. Araújo ◽  
João Maurício S. Moreira ◽  
Ricardo S. Maia Clemente

This paper examines capital requirement for financial institutions in order to cover market risk stemming from exposure to foreign currencies. The models examined belong to two groups according to the approach involved: standardized and internal models. In the first group, we study the Basel model and the model adopted by the Brazilian legislation. In the second group, we consider the models based on the concept of value at risk (VaR). We analyze the single and the double-window historical model, the exponential smoothing model (EWMA) and a hybrid approach that combines features of both models. The results suggest that the Basel model is inadequate to the Brazilian market, exhibiting a large number of exceptions. The model of the Brazilian legislation has no exceptions, though generating higher capital requirements than other internal models based on VaR. In general, VaR-based models perform better and result in less capital allocation than the standardized approach model applied in Brazil.


2014 ◽  
Vol 64 (Supplement-2) ◽  
pp. 257-274
Author(s):  
Eliška Stiborová ◽  
Barbora Sznapková ◽  
Tomáš Tichý

The market risk capital charge of financial institutions has been mostly calculated by internal models based on integrated Value at Risk (VaR) approach, since the introduction of the Amendment to Basel Accord in 1996. The internal models should fulfil several quantitative and qualitative criteria. Besides others, it is the so called backtesting procedure, which was one of the main reasons why the alternative approach to market risk estimation — conditional Value at Risk or Expected Shortfall (ES) — were not applicable for the purpose of capital charge calculation. However, it is supposed that this approach will be incorporated into Basel III. In this paper we provide an extensive simulation study using various sets of market data to show potential impact of ES on capital requirements.


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