Multiple Evaluation in the Future Population Distribution for Sustainable City

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shota Tamura ◽  
Takahiro Tanaka
Keyword(s):  
Population Distribution ◽  
Sustainable City ◽  
The Future ◽  
Future Population

scholarly journals The relative (un)certainty of subnational population decline

2017 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael P. Cameron
Keyword(s):  
Nobel Prize ◽  
Population Decline ◽  
Nobel Prize Winner ◽  
Niels Bohr ◽  
Costs And Benefits ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
The Future ◽  
Future Population

“Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future.” This quote is attributed to Danish physicist and Nobel prize winner Niels Bohr, but the difficulty of making predictions does not stop us from making forecasts of economic, demographic, and other variables. Investors, businesses, policy makers and others use these forecasts to inform their decisions about investments and policy settings where understanding of the future trajectory and levels of costs and benefits are essential. One key example is forecasts of future population. The size and distribution (whether geographic, age, ethnic, or some other distribution) of the future population is a critical input into urban and other planning. Understanding the methods and limitations of forecasts is an important but often underappreciated task for planners and policymakers.

scholarly journals Projecting population distribution under depopulation conditions in Japan: scenario analysis for future socio-ecological systems

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 295-311 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keiko Hori ◽  
Osamu Saito ◽  
Shizuka Hashimoto ◽  
Takanori Matsui ◽  
Rumana Akter ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Urban Areas ◽  
Population Distribution ◽  
Natural Capital ◽  
Simulated Population ◽  
Projection Model ◽  
Distribution Maps ◽  
Scenario Analyses ◽  
Population Loss ◽  
Density Population ◽  
Future Population

AbstractThis study develops a projection model of future population distribution on the basis of Japan’s current depopulation trend and applies this model to scenario analyses that assume population compactification and dispersion. The model enables a description of population migration at two levels. First, municipal populations are projected using the cohort-component method, and second, the spatial distribution of populations within municipalities is projected at a 500 m grid resolution with the use of the gravity model. Based on the Japanese depopulation context and the country’s National Spatial Strategy, the compact scenario predicts the formation of medium-scale regional urban areas (population centers located across Japan) and the concentration of people on high-density population areas within municipalities. Meanwhile, the dispersed scenario predicts the formation of more but smaller regional urban areas and the dispersion of the population to low-density areas. The simulated population distribution for 2050 reveals spatial change in population density and age structure, as well as an abundance of areas that were inhabited in 2015 but will be zero population areas by 2050. Overlay analysis of future land use maps and the simulated population distribution maps can contribute toward identifying areas where natural capital such as farmland and forest plantation should be managed but where there will be significant population loss by 2050.

Scenarios for the Future Population of Sydney

2002 ◽  
Vol 33 (3) ◽  
pp. 263-280 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter McDonald ◽  
Rebecca Kippen
Keyword(s):  
The Future ◽  
Future Population

The Future Population and Labour Force of Canada: Projections to the Year 2051

1981 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 485
Author(s):  
Gordon W. Davies ◽  
Frank T. Denton ◽  
Christine H. Feaver ◽  
Byron G. Spencer
Keyword(s):  
Labour Force ◽  
The Future ◽  
Future Population

scholarly journals The Ghana Library Services

1996 ◽  
Vol 1995 ◽  
pp. xxv-xxvi ◽  
Author(s):  
Evelyn JA Evans
Keyword(s):  
Future Development ◽  
Educational System ◽  
Communication Systems ◽  
Population Distribution ◽  
Library Services ◽  
Local Authorities ◽  
Preliminary Work ◽  
The Future ◽  
Looking Back ◽  
General Standard

Looking back over the steps undertaken before the Ghana Library Services were established, it seems very important that so much preliminary work was embarked on. First a country-wide survey was made, and a detailed plan worked out of the future development, taking into account the educational system, the general standard of literacy and the rate of its increase, the languages in common use, population distribution, the transport and communication systems, the demand - as opposed to the need - for books, the pattern of local authorities and their view on the principles of library provision and - very importantly - who would ultimately be responsible for the financial needs of the library system, the purpose of the library provision and what it hoped to achieve, the resources needed for the Services and draft estimates for the first five years.

DEALING WITH CHINA'S FUTURE POPULATION DECLINE: A PROPOSAL FOR REPLACING LOW BIRTH RATES WITH SUSTAINABLE RATES

2009 ◽  
Vol 41 (5) ◽  
pp. 693-696 ◽  
Author(s):  
SHIXIONG CAO ◽  
XIUQING WANG
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Family Planning ◽  
Elderly Population ◽  
Population Distribution ◽  
Population Decline ◽  
The Elderly ◽  
Birth Rates ◽  
Planning Policy ◽  
The Family ◽  
Future Population

SummaryDecreasing population levels due to declining birth rates are becoming a potentially serious social problem in developed and rapidly developing countries. China urgently needed to reduce birth rates so that its population would decline to a sustainable level, and the family planning policy designed to achieve this goal has largely succeeded. However, continuing to pursue this policy is leading to serious, unanticipated problems such as a shift in the country's population distribution towards the elderly and increasing difficulty supporting that elderly population. Social and political changes that promoted low birth rates and the lack of effective policies to encourage higher birth rates suggest that mitigating the consequences of the predicted population decline will depend on a revised approach based on achieving sustainable birth rates.

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