DEALING WITH CHINA'S FUTURE POPULATION DECLINE: A PROPOSAL FOR REPLACING LOW BIRTH RATES WITH SUSTAINABLE RATES

2009 ◽  
Vol 41 (5) ◽  
pp. 693-696 ◽  
Author(s):  
SHIXIONG CAO ◽  
XIUQING WANG

SummaryDecreasing population levels due to declining birth rates are becoming a potentially serious social problem in developed and rapidly developing countries. China urgently needed to reduce birth rates so that its population would decline to a sustainable level, and the family planning policy designed to achieve this goal has largely succeeded. However, continuing to pursue this policy is leading to serious, unanticipated problems such as a shift in the country's population distribution towards the elderly and increasing difficulty supporting that elderly population. Social and political changes that promoted low birth rates and the lack of effective policies to encourage higher birth rates suggest that mitigating the consequences of the predicted population decline will depend on a revised approach based on achieving sustainable birth rates.

2021 ◽  
Vol 257 ◽  
pp. 03054
Author(s):  
Shixin Huo

Background. In the 1970s and 1980s, China implemented the family planning policy, which increased the proportion of the working age population by controlling the population fertility rate, bringing a demographic dividend to China at that time. Because of the implementation of family planning policy, China has stepped into an aging society in advance. The aging of population has a profound impact on all aspects of society. This paper has a strong practical significance for the study of the impact of aging of population on labor cost. Methods. Based on the theories of population transformation, population dividend and market supply-demand equilibrium, this paper uses the methods of literature review and statistical analysis to look up the relevant data of Hebei Provincial Bureau of statistics and National Bureau of statistics, and uses Stata16 to analyze the correlation and significance test between the elderly population coefficient and labor cost. Finally, it analyzes the relationship between the aging population and labor supply and demand the influence path is discussed. Results. The results show that there is a significant positive correlation between the elderly population coefficient and labor cost. Conclusion. The aging of population structure makes the supply of young and middle-aged labor insufficient. At the same time, due to the strong demand of the old industry, the demand for labor increases. The imbalance of supply and demand leads to the increase of labor cost. The aging of the population indirectly increases the number of years of education for the labor force, the increase of the labor force’s investment in its own human capital and the gradual improvement of the current social security system, which also increases the labor cost from the side.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 105-114
Author(s):  
Ainul Mardhiah ◽  
Nova Hasbani Prima Dewi ◽  
Aminy Aminy

The family planning program also aims to improve the quality of the family in order to generate a sense of security, peace and hope of a better future in realizing the prosperity of birth and inner happiness. Allegedly the factor causing EFA participation in the family planning program is characteristic. The purpose of this research is to know the relationship of attitude and characteristic of Elderly Age Couple (PUS) with participation in family planning program at UPT Puskesmas Sungai Raya Sungai Raya District, East Aceh regency 2018. The research design used was analytic survey with cross sectional design. The population of this study is all Pairs Age of Fertile located in Work Area UPT Sungai Raya Public Health Service Center in January to December 2017 which amounted to 1897 people. Sampling using Slovin formula, obtained as many as 95 samples. The study was conducted from 7-17 July 2018 using questionnaires by interview. Statistical test using chi-square test. Result of research indicate that majority of fertile couple couples (PUS) participate in family planning program as much as 67 respondents (70,5%). Statistically there is relationship of attitude and characteristic of Elderly Age Couple (EFA) with non participation in family planning program in Working Area of UPT Puskesmas Sungai Raya Sungai Raya District of East Aceh Regency 2018 with p value <0,1. It is recommended that the family planning program holders in UPT Puskesmas Sungai Raya Sungai Raya District of East Aceh District to invite cross-sectoral figures to hold meetings to create mini workshop plans at least once a month to increase the participation of the Elderly Age Couple (PUS) in family planning programs. Keyword : Family Planning Program, Attitudes, CharacteristicsABSTRAKProgram KB juga bertujuan untuk meningkatkan kualitas keluarga agar dapat timbul rasa aman, tentram, dan harapan masa depan yang lebih baik dalam mewujudkan kesejahteraan lahir dan kebahagiaan batin. Diduga faktor yang menyebabkan ketidakikutsertaan PUS dalam program KB adalah karakteristik. Tujuan penelitian ini untuk mengetahui hubungan sikap dan karakteristik Pasangan Usia Subur (PUS) dengan keikutsertaan dalam program KB di Wilayah Kerja UPT Puskesmas Sungai Raya Kecamatan Sungai Raya Kabupaten Aceh Timur tahun 2018. Desain penelitian yang digunakan adalah survei analitik dengan rancangan bedah lintang. Populasi dari penelitian ini adalah seluruh Pasangan Usia Subur yang berada di Wilayah Kerja UPT Puskesmas Sungai Raya pada bulan Januari sampai dengan Desember tahun 2017 yang berjumlah 1.897 orang. Pengambilan sampel menggunakan rumus Slovin, didapatkan sebanyak 95 sampel. Penelitian dilaksanakan dari tanggal 7-17 Juli tahun 2018 menggunakan kuesioner dengan cara wawancara. Uji statistik menggunakan uji chi-square. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa mayoritas Pasangan Usia Subur (PUS) ikut serta dalam program KB yaitu sebanyak 67 responden (70,5%). Secara statistik ada hubungan sikap dan karakteristik Pasangan Usia Subur (PUS) dengan ketidakikutsertaan dalam program KB di Wilayah Kerja UPT Puskesmas Sungai Raya Kecamatan Sungai Raya Kabupaten Aceh Timur tahun 2018 dengan p value < 0,1. Sebaiknya pemegang program KB di UPT Puskesmas Sungai Raya Kecamatan Sungai Raya Kabupaten Aceh Timur agar mengajak tokoh lintas sektor agar mengadakan pertemuan untuk membuat rencana loka karya mini setidaknya satu bulan sekali untuk meningkatkan keikutsertaan Pasangan Usia Subur (PUS) dalam program KB.Kata Kunci : Program KB, Sikap, Karakteristik


2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 (6) ◽  
pp. 97-124
Author(s):  
Irina Kalabikhina ◽  
Denis Mokrensky

In this paper we present the results of the analysis of the population change in nonmetropolitan city municipalities by components and concentration of population in the municipalities were investigated, their typologization was developed in accordance with the contribution of various components to population dynamics. The article discusses the limitations of municipal statistics. The methods of average values, the balance equation, and the measures of population concentration are used. The main conclusions confirm the trends of population decline at the second stage of demographic policy, territorial unevenness and concentration of population in administrative centers and the closest settlements to them. Less than 2% of the municipalities in question demonstrate both natural and migratory growth, and in 70% of municipalities both migration and natural components make a contribution to population reduction. The relatively high proportion of the elderly population was observed in the studied municipalities; crude birth and death rates were worse than the average in the district.


1990 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 143-157 ◽  
Author(s):  
Quanhe Yang

SummaryThis paper examines the changing nuptiality pattern of rural China, particularly rural Anhui in relation to the planned social changes since 1949 and their effect on fertility. The data are from the 1/1000 Fertility Survey of China, conducted by the Family Planning Commission in 1982. Before the family planning programme was introduced to rural Anhui (1972), the changing nuptiality pattern was indirectly affected by the planned social changes; after 1972, the substantial increase in age at first marriage was mainly due to the family planning programme. More recently, the centrally controlled social structure is loosening, due to the economic reform and the nuptiality pattern seems to join the 1972 trend, suggesting that the dramatic change of nuptiality pattern during the early 1970s to early 1980s was a temporary one. But its effect on fertility is clear, and the shortening interval between marriage and first birth may bring difficulties for future population control in rural China.


Author(s):  
Carmelo Gómez Martínez ◽  
Elena Carrasco Martínez ◽  
Inmaculada Martínez Escámez ◽  
Pedro Andreo Muñoz

Within the elderly population, the specific circumstances that some of the elderly find themselves due to certain socio-cultural factors make them more likely to be abused while residing in assisted living residences, due to the facts that the abuse is coming from the organisation it is unlikely to be reported, or brought to the attention of others, making it difficult to detect and, as a result, an issue not often discussed. We intend to investigate these possibilities; however, due to lack of information on this subject, we aim to address this issue by investigating the number of elderly people living in nursing homes who have suffered abuse due to agents outside of the organisation, such as the family, other residents and Friends. A brief questionnaire was created on an Excel Spreadsheet for the collection of data for this study, these questionnaires where then passed on the social workers of 4 assisted living residences, in the geographical scope of the Murcia region. The data collected correspond to the time period between January and December 2013. The results lead us to believe that the principal risk factors associated with this type of abuse is being a woman, a widow and with and age of about 80 years. Psychological abuse from family members was the most frequently reported type of abuse in the study.


2011 ◽  
Vol 5 (11) ◽  
pp. 2660
Author(s):  
Roberta De Souza Pereira da Silva Ramos ◽  
Anna Karla de Oliveira Tito Borba ◽  
Márcia Carrera Campos Leal ◽  
Ana Paula de Oliveira Marques ◽  
Vânia Pinheiro Ramos

ABSTRACTObjective: to identify in scientific publications the health education actions concerned with the elderly population in the Family Health Strategy (FHS). Method: this is an integrative review with search in the scientific literature published from 2000 to 2010 in the databases of the website Virtual Health Library (VHL): LILACS (Latin American and Caribbean Health Sciences Literature), MEDLINE (National Library of Medicine, United States), IBECS (Índice Bibliografico Espanol en Ciencias de la Salud), and SciELO (Scientific Electronic Library Online), besides the specialized area of BIREME – BDENF (Nursing Database), according to the following stages: establishment of the guiding question (What is the importance of the health education actions for the elderly population in the Family Health Strategy?) and aims of the review; establishment of inclusion and exclusion criteria for papers (sample selection); definition of the information to be extracted from the papers selected; analysis of results; presentation and discussion of results; and, finally, presentation of the review. Inclusion criteria: full text available online  and papers concerning health education activities, involving the elderly public, developed in the FHS. For this study, the concept of elderly from the World Health Organization (WHO) was adopted: person aged 60 years or over in developing countries. Results: the final sample consisted of  nine papers, which presented variety of themes, ranging from studies that applied and evaluated the educative activities to those which pointed them proposals. Conclusion: it was found an incipience in papers portraying the performance of educative practices aimed at the elderly population and the predominance of the biomedical paradigm in the health education activities. Descriptors: health education; elderly; Family Health Program.RESUMOObjetivo: identificar em publicações científicas as ações de educação em saúde voltadas para população idosa na Estratégia de Saúde da Família (ESF). Método: trata-se de revisão integrativa com busca na literatura científica publicada de 2000 a 2010 nas bases de dados do sítio Biblioteca Virtual em Saúde (BVS): LILACS (Literatura Latino-Americana e do Caribe em Ciências da Saúde), MEDLINE (National Library of Medicine, Estados Unidos), IBECS (Índice Bibliográfico Español en Ciencias de la Salud) e SciELO (Scientific Electronic Library Online) além da área especializada da BIREME - BDENF (Base de Dados de Enfermagem), cumprindo as seguintes etapas: estabelecimento da questão norteadora (Qual a importância das ações de educação em saúde para população idosa na Estratégia Saúde da Família?) e objetivos da revisão; estabelecimento de critérios de inclusão e exclusão de artigos (seleção da amostra); definição das informações a serem extraídas dos artigos selecionados; análise dos resultados; apresentação e discussão dos resultados; e, por último, apresentação da revisão. Critérios para inclusão: texto completo acessível on-line e artigos de atividades de educação em saúde, voltadas para o público idoso, desenvolvidas na ESF. Para este estudo, adotou-se o conceito de idoso da Organização Mundial de Saúde (OMS): pessoa com 60 anos ou mais em países em desenvolvimento. Resultados: a amostra final consistiu em nove artigos, os quais demonstraram variedade temática, desde estudos que aplicaram e avaliaram as atividades educativas até aqueles que as apontaram como propostas. Conclusão: constata-se uma incipiência em artigos que retratam a realização de práticas educativas voltadas à população idosa e a predominância do paradigma biomédico nas atividades de educação em saúde. Descritores: educação em saúde; idoso; Programa Saúde da Família.RESUMEN Objetivo: identificar en publicaciones científicas las acciones de educación en salud dirigidas a la población anciana en la Estrategia de Salud de la Familia (ESF). Método: esta es una revisión integradora con búsqueda en la literatura científica publicada de 2000 hasta 2010 en las bases de datos del sitio Biblioteca Virtual en Salud (BVS): LILACS (Literatura Latinoamericana y del Caribe en Ciencias de la Salud), MEDLINE (National Library of Medicine, Estados Unidos), IBECS (Índice Bibliográfico Español en Ciencias de la Salud) y SciELO (Scientific Electronic Library Online), además de la área especializada de la BIREME – BDENF (Base de Datos de Enfermería), cumpliendo las siguientes etapas: establecimiento de la cuestión orientadora (¿Cual es la importancia de las acciones de educación en salud para la población anciana en la Estrategia Salud de la Familia?) y objetivos de la revisión; establecimiento de criterios de inclusión y exclusión de artículos (selección de la muestra); definición de las informaciones que serán extraídas de los artículos seleccionados; análisis de los resultados; presentación y discusión de los resultados; y, por último, presentación de la revisión. Criterios para inclusión: texto completo accesible online y artículos de actividades de educación en salud, dirigidas para el público anciano, desarrolladas en la ESF. Para este estudio, fue adoptado el concepto de anciano de la Organización Mundial de la Salud (OMS): persona con 60 años o más en países en desarrollo. Resultados: la muestra final consistió en nueve artículos, los cuales demostraron variedad temática,  desde estudios que aplicaron y evaluaron las actividades educativas hasta aquellos que las apuntaron cómo propuestas. Conclusión: se constata una insipiencia en artículos que retratan la realización de prácticas educativas dirigidas a la población anciana y la predominancia del paradigma biomédico en las actividades de educación en salud. Descriptores: educación en Salud; anciano; Programa Salud de la Familia.


Author(s):  
Arthur do Nascimento Ferreira Barros ◽  
◽  
Lucas Libini Ramos dos Santos ◽  
Raul Antonio de Lemos Bernardo ◽  
Louise de Oliveira Xavier ◽  
...  

We aim to verify if there is an association between the level of corruption and the lethality on countries due to COVID-19 pandemic. Previous studies provide evidence that corruption can harm health outcomes, especially in developing and under-developing countries where resources are already scarce. We apply a strictly quantitative approach using dispersion graphics analysis and Pearson’s correlation on 171 countries. On countries from America, Africa, Asia and Oceania we observed that as more corrupt the country, higher its lethality, although in Europe this association is inverted. We attribute this last result to the continent possess the elderly population among other continents, the fact that countries loosened to earlier measures of physical distancing and cases of corruption were reported in some countries with a low perception of corruption. Therefore, corruption remains an issue that needs more understanding so we can decrease its effects on health outcomes and save lives, particularly in countries with weak healthcare systems. Besides, the next pandemic is coming and we need to be prepared. Keywords: Corruption, Healthcare system, Health outcomes, COVID-19, Lethality.


Patan Pragya ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-18
Author(s):  
Gokarna Raj Aryal

Elderly citizens are the sources of knowledge, experiences and collections of different ideas in every society or nation. If we use their ability, long experiences and their conscience, our society or nation will be benefitted to reform national development and prosperity. Ageing population is a global phenomenon and the number is rapidly increasing in developing countries as compared to developed countries. The government of Nepal has declared that people with 60 years or more are elderly citizens. The growth rate of the elderly population is faster than that of the total population in Nepal. The observation shows that the proportion of elderly population is high in mountain and hilly regions as compared to Terai. However, it is noted that female elderly population is the highest among three ecological regions. The growing numbers of ageing population is a major concern in most of the developing countries like Nepal. The social, economic and demographic impacts of ageing population possess both opportunities and challenges to every society. In this situation, the Government of Nepal should attempt to enhance the self-reliance and provide social security of its elderly people to facilitate their continuous participation in society. The Government of Nepal has introduced the universal old aged allowances program since 1994/95 as a non-contributing social assistance to elderly citizens with 70 years or more. The starting allowances are nominal. At present context, it is not a sufficient amount for the elderly citizens but they have little support to health care, medicine, entertainment and desired foods and fruits. Likewise, the Government should establish old age homes, day care and ageing centers and parks for entertainment.


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