scholarly journals ℓp-Norm Multikernel Learning Approach for Stock Market Price Forecasting

2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xigao Shao ◽  
Kun Wu ◽  
Bifeng Liao

Linear multiple kernel learning model has been used for predicting financial time series. However,ℓ1-norm multiple support vector regression is rarely observed to outperform trivial baselines in practical applications. To allow for robust kernel mixtures that generalize well, we adoptℓp-norm multiple kernel support vector regression (1≤p<∞) as a stock price prediction model. The optimization problem is decomposed into smaller subproblems, and the interleaved optimization strategy is employed to solve the regression model. The model is evaluated on forecasting the daily stock closing prices of Shanghai Stock Index in China. Experimental results show that our proposed model performs better thanℓ1-norm multiple support vector regression model.

Author(s):  
Yumei Liu ◽  
Ningguo Qiao ◽  
Congcong Zhao ◽  
Jiaojiao Zhuang ◽  
Guangdong Tian

Accurate vibration time series modeling can mine the internal law of data and provide valuable references for reliability assessment. To improve the prediction accuracy, this study proposes a hybrid model – called the AR–SVR–CPSO hybrid model – that combines the auto regression (AR) and support vector regression (SVR) models, with the weights optimized by the chaotic particle swarm optimization (CPSO) algorithm. First, the auto regression model with the difference method is employed to model the vibration time series. Second, the support vector regression model with the phase space reconstruction is constructed for predicting the vibration time series once more. Finally, the predictions of the AR and SVR models are weighted and summed together, with the weights being optimized by the CPSO. In addition, the data collected from the reliability test platform of high-speed train transmission systems and the “NASA prognostics data repository” are used to validate the hybrid model. The experimental results demonstrate that the hybrid model proposed in this study outperforms the traditional AR and SVR models.


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