scholarly journals The Behavior of an SVIR Epidemic Model with Stochastic Perturbation

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanan Zhao ◽  
Daqing Jiang

We discuss a stochastic SIR epidemic model with vaccination. We investigate the asymptotic behavior according to the perturbation and the reproduction numberR0. We deduce the globally asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium whenR0≤ 1and the perturbation is small, which means that the disease will die out. WhenR0>1, we derive that the disease will prevail, which is measured through the difference between the solution and the endemic equilibrium of the deterministic model in time average. The key to our analysis is choosing appropriate Lyapunov functions.

2016 ◽  
Vol 09 (03) ◽  
pp. 1650042 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanan Zhao ◽  
Daqing Jiang

In this paper, we introduce stochasticity into an SIR epidemic model with vaccination. The stochasticity in the model is a standard technique in stochastic population modeling. When the perturbations are small, by the method of stochastic Lyapunov functions, we carry out a detailed analysis on the dynamical behavior of the stochastic model regarding of the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text]. If [Formula: see text], the solution of the model is oscillating around a steady state, which is the disease-free equilibrium of the corresponding deterministic model. If [Formula: see text], there is a stationary distribution and the solution has the ergodic property, which means that the disease will prevail.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaodong Wang ◽  
Chunxia Wang ◽  
Kai Wang

AbstractIn this paper, we study a novel deterministic and stochastic SIR epidemic model with vertical transmission and media coverage. For the deterministic model, we give the basic reproduction number $R_{0}$ R 0 which determines the extinction or prevalence of the disease. In addition, for the stochastic model, we prove existence and uniqueness of the positive solution, and extinction and persistence in mean. Furthermore, we give numerical simulations to verify our results.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoming Fan

We discuss multigroup SIRS (susceptible, infectious, and recovered) epidemic models with random perturbations. We carry out a detailed analysis on the asymptotic behavior of the stochastic model; when reproduction numberℛ0>1, we deduce the globally asymptotic stability of the endemic equilibrium by measuring the difference between the solution and the endemic equilibrium of the deterministic model in time average. Numerical methods are employed to illustrate the dynamic behavior of the model and simulate the system of equations developed. The effect of the rate of immunity loss on susceptible and recovered individuals is also analyzed in the deterministic model.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 32
Author(s):  
Guiro Aboudramane ◽  
Dramane Ouedraogo ◽  
Harouna Ouedraogo

In this paper, we construct a backward difference scheme for a class of general SIR epidemic model with general incidence function f. We use the step size h > 0, for the discretization. The dynamical properties are investigated (positivity and the boundedness of solution). By constructing the Lyapunov function, under the conditions that function f satisfies some assumptions. The global stabilities of equilibria are obtained. If the basic reproduction number R0<1, the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. If R0>1, the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sibaliwe Maku Vyambwera ◽  
Peter Witbooi

We propose a stochastic compartmental model for the population dynamics of tuberculosis. The model is applicable to crowded environments such as for people in high density camps or in prisons. We start off with a known ordinary differential equation model, and we impose stochastic perturbation. We prove the existence and uniqueness of positive solutions of a stochastic model. We introduce an invariant generalizing the basic reproduction number and prove the stability of the disease-free equilibrium when it is below unity or slightly higher than unity and the perturbation is small. Our main theorem implies that the stochastic perturbation enhances stability of the disease-free equilibrium of the underlying deterministic model. Finally, we perform some simulations to illustrate the analytical findings and the utility of the model.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wencai Zhao ◽  
Juan Li ◽  
Xinzhu Meng

SIR epidemic model with nonlinear pulse vaccination and lifelong immunity is proposed. Due to the limited medical resources, vaccine immunization rate is considered as a nonlinear saturation function. Firstly, by using stroboscopic map and fixed point theory of difference equations, the existence of disease-free periodic solution is discussed, and the globally asymptotical stability of disease-free periodic solution is proven by using Floquet multiplier theory and differential impulsive comparison theorem. Moreover, by using the bifurcation theorem, sufficient condition for the existence of positive periodic solution is obtained by choosing impulsive vaccination period as a bifurcation parameter. Lastly, some simulations are given to validate the theoretical results.


Automatica ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 48 (1) ◽  
pp. 121-131 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chunyan Ji ◽  
Daqing Jiang ◽  
Qingshan Yang ◽  
Ningzhong Shi

2012 ◽  
Vol 28 (12) ◽  
pp. 2545-2560 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chun Yan Ji ◽  
Da Qing Jiang ◽  
Ning Zhong Shi

2009 ◽  
Vol 2009 ◽  
pp. 1-17 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaohong Tian ◽  
Rui Xu

We investigate the stability of an SIR epidemic model with stage structure and time delay. By analyzing the eigenvalues of the corresponding characteristic equation, the local stability of each feasible equilibrium of the model is established. By using comparison arguments, it is proved when the basic reproduction number is less than unity, the disease free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. When the basic reproduction number is greater than unity, sufficient conditions are derived for the global stability of an endemic equilibrium of the model. Numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the theoretical results.


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