scholarly journals Analysis of an SEIR Epidemic Model with Saturated Incidence and Saturated Treatment Function

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinhong Zhang ◽  
Jianwen Jia ◽  
Xinyu Song

The dynamics of SEIR epidemic model with saturated incidence rate and saturated treatment function are explored in this paper. The basic reproduction number that determines disease extinction and disease survival is given. The existing threshold conditions of all kinds of the equilibrium points are obtained. Sufficient conditions are established for the existence of backward bifurcation. The local asymptotical stability of equilibrium is verified by analyzing the eigenvalues and using the Routh-Hurwitz criterion. We also discuss the global asymptotical stability of the endemic equilibrium by autonomous convergence theorem. The study indicates that we should improve the efficiency and enlarge the capacity of the treatment to control the spread of disease. Numerical simulations are presented to support and complement the theoretical findings.

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 101-113
Author(s):  
Amit Kumar Chakraborty ◽  
M. A. Haque ◽  
M. A. Islam

Dengue is one of the major health problems in Bangladesh and many people are died in recent years due to the severity of this disease. Therefore, in this paper, a SIRS model for the human and SI model for vector population with saturated incidence rate and constant treatment function has been presented to describe the transmission of dengue. The equilibrium points and the basic reproduction number have been computed. The conditions which lead the disease free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium have been determined. The local stability for the equilibrium points has been established based on the eigenvalues of the Jacobian matrix and the global stability has been analyzed by using the Lyapunov function theory. It is found that the stability of equilibrium points can be controlled by the reproduction number. In order to calculate the infection rate, data for infected human populations have been collected from several health institutions of Bangladesh. Numerical simulations of various compartments have been generated using MATLAB to investigate the influence of the key parameters for the transmission of the disease and to support the analytical results. The effect of treatment function over the infected compartment has been illustrated. The sensitivity of the reproduction number concerning the parameters of the model has been analyzed. Finally, the most sensitive parameter that has the highest effect over reproduction number has been identified.


2016 ◽  
Vol 09 (05) ◽  
pp. 1650068 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Altaf Khan ◽  
Yasir Khan ◽  
Sehra Khan ◽  
Saeed Islam

This study considers SEIVR epidemic model with generalized nonlinear saturated incidence rate in the host population horizontally to estimate local and global equilibriums. By using the Routh–Hurwitz criteria, it is shown that if the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text], the disease-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable. When the basic reproduction number exceeds the unity, then the endemic equilibrium exists and is stable locally asymptotically. The system is globally asymptotically stable about the disease-free equilibrium if [Formula: see text]. The geometric approach is used to present the global stability of the endemic equilibrium. For [Formula: see text], the endemic equilibrium is stable globally asymptotically. Finally, the numerical results are presented to justify the mathematical results.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Xiangsen Liu ◽  
Binxiang Dai

An SIR epidemic model with saturated treatment function and nonlinear pulse vaccination is studied. The existence and stability of the disease-free periodic solution are investigated. The sufficient conditions for the persistence of the disease are obtained. The existence of the transcritical and flip bifurcations is considered by means of the bifurcation theory. The stability of epidemic periodic solutions is discussed. Furthermore, some numerical simulations are given to illustrate our results.


Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (9) ◽  
pp. 1459
Author(s):  
Isnani Darti ◽  
Agus Suryanto

A SIR epidemic model that describes the dynamics of childhood disease with a saturated incidence rate and vaccination program at a constant rate was investigated. For the continuous model we first show its basic properties, namely, the non-negativity and boundedness of solutions. Then we investigate the existence and both local and global stability of the equilibrium points. It was found that the existence and stability properties of equilibrium points fully determined the basic reproduction number. We also propose and analyze a discrete-time analogue of the continuous childhood diseases by applying a nonstandard finite difference method. It is shown that our discrete model preserves the dynamical properties of the corresponding continuous model, such as the positivity solutions, the population conservation law, the existence of equilibrium points and their global stability properties.


2010 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 299-306 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Kaddar

We formulate a delayed SIR epidemic model by introducing a latent period into susceptible, and infectious individuals in incidence rate. This new reformulation provides a reasonable role of incubation period on the dynamics of SIR epidemic model. We show that if the basic reproduction number, denoted, R0, is less than unity, the diseasefree equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable. Moreover, we prove that if R0 > 1, the endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable. In the end some numerical simulations are given to compare our model with existing model.


Author(s):  
Mahmoud A. M. Abdelaziz ◽  
Ahmad Izani Ismail ◽  
Farah A. Abdullah ◽  
Mohd Hafiz Mohd

AbstractIn this paper, a discrete-time fractional-order SIR epidemic model with saturated treatment function is investigated. The local asymptotic stability of the equilibrium points is analyzed and the threshold condition basic reproduction number is derived. Backward bifurcation is shown when the model possesses a stable disease-free equilibrium point and a stable endemic point coexisting together when the basic reproduction number is less than unity. It is also shown that when the treatment is partially effective, a transcritical bifurcation occurs at $\Re_{0}=1$ and reappears again when the effect of delayed treatment is getting stronger at $\Re_{0}<1$. The analysis of backward and forward bifurcations associated with the transcritical, saddle-node, period-doubling and Neimark–Sacker bifurcations are discussed. Numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the complex dynamical behaviors of the model. By carrying out bifurcation analysis, it is shown that the delayed treatment parameter ε should be less than two critical values ε1 and ε2 so as to avoid $\Re_{0}$ belonging to the dangerous range $\left[ \Re_{0},1\right]$. The results of the numerical simulations support the theoretical analysis.


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