scholarly journals Political Risk Paths in International Construction Projects: Case Study from Chinese Construction Enterprises

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tengyuan Chang ◽  
Xiaopeng Deng ◽  
Bon-Gang Hwang ◽  
Xiaojing Zhao

International construction enterprises (ICEs) have been plagued with political risks in the global market. To ensure the success of political risk management, it is necessary to comprehend the political risks in international construction projects. This study aims at exploring the political risk paths in international construction projects. The preliminary political risk factors and paths were proposed from the literature review. A survey questionnaire was developed to collect political risk cases faced by Chinese construction enterprises (CCEs) performing international construction projects, and 264 valid cases were received and analyzed for this study. Adopting the confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) method, 6 macrofactors (“sociopolitical stability” (A), “legal and regulatory” (B), “social safety” (C), “economy performance” (D), “attitude towards foreigners” (E), and “international environment” (F)) and 2 microfactors (“low exposure” (G) and “capability of enterprises” (H)) were identified. Moreover, the results of path analysis illustrated that 7 factors (A, B, C, D, E, G, and H) had the significant direct negative effect on “risk consequences” and 3 factors (A, D, and F) had the indirect negative effect on “risk consequences.” The findings from this study help practitioners gain an in-depth understanding of political risks in international construction projects and provide a useful reference for ICEs to manage political risks when venturing outside their home countries.

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tengyuan Chang ◽  
Bon-Gang Hwang ◽  
Xiaopeng Deng ◽  
Xianbo Zhao

International construction projects are plagued with political risk, and international construction enterprises (ICEs) must manage this risk to survive. However, little attention has been devoted to political risk management strategies in international construction projects. To fill this research gap, a total of 27 possible strategies were identified through a comprehensive literature review and validated by a pilot survey with 10 international experts. Appraisals of these 27 strategies by relevant professionals were collected using questionnaires, 155 of which were returned. Exploratory factor analysis was conducted to explore the interrelationships among these 27 strategies. The results show that all of the 27 strategies are important for political risk management in international construction projects. Moreover, these 27 strategies were clustered into six components, namely, (1) making correct decisions, (2) conducting favorable negotiations, (3) completing full preparations, (4) shaping a good environment, (5) reducing unnecessary mistakes, and (6) obtaining a reasonable response. The 6 components can be regarded as 6 typical management techniques that contribute to political risk management in the preproject phase, project implementation phase, and postevent phases. The findings may help practitioners gain an in-depth understanding of political risk management strategies in international construction projects and provide a useful reference for ICEs to manage political risks when venturing outside their home countries.


2021 ◽  
pp. 191-208 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chunling Wei ◽  
Xiaopeng Deng ◽  
Tengyuan Chang ◽  
Amin Mahmoudi ◽  
Safi Ullah

The current study aims to provide an overview of the research on political risk using the Web of Science(WoS)database as well as summarize research results and put forward some suggestions for research directions of political risk in international construction projects. It is the first time scientometric analysis of political risk research is executed. In this regard, the papers related to political risk in the WoS database have been retrieved and the literature is sorted out by visual and content analysis methods. Visual analysis is used to analyze the research overview, knowledge base, and research hotspots of this field. The content analysis method is adopted to expound the current research focus from three perspectives inducing the influence of political risk, risk assessment, and risk management measures. The results show that in the political risk context, the number of publications has experienced an increasing trend in recent years. Based on the existing literature on political risk for all companies, this overview provides some suggestions to address the political risk in international construction projects in the future. The results contribute to the scholars understanding of the research overview, research hotspots, and future research directions of political risk research in construction projects.


2018 ◽  
Vol 25 (3) ◽  
pp. 317-334 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaopeng Deng ◽  
Sui Pheng Low ◽  
Xianbo Zhao ◽  
Tengyuan Chang

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to explore the micro-level variables contributing to political risks in international construction projects. Design/methodology/approach A total of 25 micro-level variables were identified from the literature review, and a questionnaire survey was performed with 138 professionals from both academia and industry. Then, the Spearman rank correlation was used to test whether there was agreement on ranking between the two respondent groups. Furthermore, the 25 variables were grouped into six underlying factors through the exploratory factor analysis. Findings The results indicated that the most critical variables were “project desirability to the host country,” “relationship with governments,” “misconduct of contractors,” “public opposition to the project,” “experiential knowledge of political risks” and “advantageous conditions of contract.” In addition, the opinions within each group were consistent and there was no significant disagreement on the rankings of variables between academics and practitioners. However, the academic and practitioner groups held different opinions on some individual variables. The impact direction of the variables was associated with confusion among the respondents. Originality/value The findings presented in this paper can help international construction enterprises effectively manage political risks in international construction projects.


Author(s):  
Ye. Bolotina ◽  
◽  
O. Shubna ◽  
A. Borodai ◽  
N. Steshenko ◽  
...  

The article considers the specifics of the functioning of TNCs, their current activities in the investment market. TNCs are currently one of the most important actors in international economic relations. The investment activity of transnational corporations has a direct impact on the balance of payments, production volumes, foreign trade turnover, employment, and the competitiveness of the host economy. The key features of political risk management of TNCs are identified and characterized. The political risks of TNCs are related to their interpretation, classification and methods. The means of reducing the degree of risk include: risk avoidance, retention, risk transfer. Ways to reduce the degree of risk include: diversification, acquisition of additional information, limitation, insurance, hedging. It has been proven that the main advantage of risk communications as an effective ancillary way to manage the political risks of TNCs at the state level, especially in the early stages of public policy making, is that it allows decision makers to better and timely inform stakeholders about risks. and to effectively exchange data between different parts of the public administration system, including effective mitigation measures. The main directions for TNC investment in 2018 are analyzed. The negative consequences of TNCs and ways to overcome them are identified.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Bechir Ben Ghozzi ◽  
Hasna Chaibi

PurposeThe authors provide a comparative analysis between emerging and developed financial markets in terms of the effects of political risks on stock market returns and volatility. The authors also examine whether this impact depends on the nature of political risks. Therefore, this study aims to detect which financial markets are the most profitable and the riskiest in terms of political risks.Design/methodology/approachThe authors investigate the impact of political risks on the excess stock market return and its conditional volatility using the generalized ARCH model for a sample of 46 developed and emerging markets over a period ranging from 1995 to 2019. In order to test how the nature of political risks affects equity excess returns and volatility differently in different markets, the authors employ (1) a composite political risk score, (2) the four subgroups of political risks as defined by Bekaert et al. (2005, 2014) and (3) the individual dimensions of political risks.FindingsThe findings indicate that the composite political risk is priced into both stock markets. The effect of political risks is positive for excess returns and negative for volatility. The authors show that the political risk leads to more volatility in developed markets. Nevertheless, the effect of individual components varies according to the market category.Practical implicationsThe authors provide a framework for predicting market returns and volatility using changes in the political risk of the country. The findings help investors make investment decisions based on the political decisions of governments. In other words, investors should consider political uncertainty when determining their expected earnings.Originality/valueThe authors engage monthly panel data methodology in terms of the political risk stock market relationship. In addition, the authors consider recent and very long data covering the period 1995–2019. Furthermore, this study combines three various political risk measures, and both equity returns and volatility.


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