Sites of Synchronous Distant Metastases, Prognosis, and Nomogram for Small Cell Lung Cancer Patients with Bone Metastasis: A Large Cohort Retrospective Study

Background. Small cell lung cancer (SCLC) is often associated with metastases at the time of diagnosis, and the bone is one of the most common sites. The primary aim of this study was to investigate the site of synchronous distant metastasis to other organs in SCLC patients with bone metastasis (BM) and develop a robust predictive prognostic model. Methods. We retrospectively analyzed the data from patients diagnosed with SCLC with BM in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were used to identify independent prognostic factors. A prognostic nomogram was constructed and evaluated by calibration curves, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Then, according to the sites of metastasis and treatment modality, all patients were stratified into several subgroups. The relationship among sites of metastasis, treatment modality, and overall survival was then analyzed. Results. A total of 6253 patients were included. Independent prognostic factors for SCLC with BM were age, sex, primary site, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, brain metastasis, liver metastasis, and marital status. Calibration, ROC curves, and DCA indicated the excellent performance of the prognostic nomogram. The liver is the most common organ for extraskeletal metastases, followed by the lung. Patients with only BM had the longest mean survival time (9.30 ± 0.31 months). In the subgroup analysis, chemotherapy was an independent prognostic factor for all subgroups. In contrast, radiotherapy showed a positive effect on the prognosis of patients in all subgroups except those with bone and brain metastases and those with bone, lung, and brain metastases. Conclusions. The prognostic nomogram is expected to be an accurate and personalized tool for predicting the prognosis of SCLC patients with BM. Additionally, the determination of the sites of synchronous extraskeletal metastases and the associated prognosis helps in treatment selection.

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Outcome of patients with small-cell lung cancer: effect of changes in staging procedures and imaging technology on prognostic factors over 14 years.

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.1990.8.6.1042 ◽

1990 ◽

Vol 8 (6) ◽

pp. 1042-1049 ◽

Cited By ~ 42

Author(s):

M P Dearing ◽

S M Steinberg ◽

R Phelps ◽

M J Anderson ◽

J L Mulshine ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Lung Cancer ◽

Prognostic Factors ◽

Brain Metastases ◽

Small Cell Lung Cancer ◽

Cell Lung Cancer ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Small Cell ◽

Small Cell Lung ◽

Limited Stage ◽

The Impact

In a study of 411 patients with small-cell lung cancer (SCLC) entered on therapeutic clinical trials between 1973 and 1987, we analyzed whether changes in the prognostic importance of pretreatment factors had occurred during the 14-year time period. After adjusting for other prognostic factors, brain involvement was associated with shorter survival in patients treated before December 1979 (P = .024) but not in patients treated thereafter (P = .54). The patients diagnosed before 1979 had brain metastases documented by radionuclide scan while computed cranial tomography (CCT) was more commonly used after 1979. Patients who had brain metastases diagnosed by radionuclide scan lived a shorter period of time than patients who had the diagnosis made by the more sensitive CCT scan (P = .031). In contrast, Cox proportional hazards modeling showed that liver metastases in patients were associated with shorter survival in patients treated after 1979 (P = .0007) but not in patients treated before then (P = .30). A larger proportion of patients had a routine liver biopsy before 1979 than after 1979 when more patients had the liver staged with less sensitive imaging studies and biochemical parameters. Patients with SCLC whose cancer was confined to the thorax but had medical or anatomic contraindications to intensive chest radiotherapy had similar survival compared with patients with limited-stage SCLC who were treated with combination chemotherapy alone (P = .68). From these data we conclude: (1) the sensitivity of the staging procedures used can affect the impact on survival of cancer involvement of a given site; and (2) patients with cancer confined to their chest with medical or anatomic contraindications to chest radiotherapy do not have a shorter survival than patients with limited-stage disease treated with chemotherapy alone.

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