scholarly journals Sample Size Calculations in Acute Stroke Trials: A Systematic Review of Their Reporting, Characteristics, and Relationship With Outcome

Stroke ◽  
2004 ◽  
Vol 35 (5) ◽  
pp. 1216-1224 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chris S. Weaver ◽  
Jo Leonardi-Bee ◽  
Fiona J. Bath-Hextall ◽  
Philip M.W. Bath
Stroke ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Brent Strong ◽  
John A Oostema ◽  
Nadia Nikroo ◽  
Murtaza Hussain ◽  
Mathew J Reeves

Introduction: A priori sample size determination is an essential step in designing randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Failure to reach pre-planned sample size introduces risk of both falsely negative and spuriously positive findings. We undertook a systematic review of contemporary acute stroke trials to document the prevalence and reasons for termination of trials prior to completion of enrollment. Methods: We searched MEDLINE for RCTs of acute stroke therapy published between 2013 and 2018 in 9 major journals. Manuscripts describing the final primary results of phase 3 and large phase 2 trials of any therapeutic intervention were eligible for inclusion. Study characteristics, including the presence of a data monitoring committee (DMC) and stopping rules, risk-of-bias assessment, funding sources and conflicts of interest, were abstracted from published manuscripts and trial protocols by two independent reviewers. The prevalence of and reasons for early termination were quantified. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify study-level predictors of early termination. Results: Of 756 hits, 60 were eligible for inclusion, 21 (35%) of which were terminated early. Among the trials stopped early, 10 (48%) reported stopping for benefit or newly available evidence while 11 (52%) were terminated for futility; 20 (95%) reported a DMC and 17 (81%) reported the use of a pre-specified statistical stopping rule. Factors associated with early termination included study location in North America, larger planned sample size, and industry funding (Table). Study location in North America and larger planned sample size retained statistical significance in a multivariable model. Conclusions: One in three contemporary stroke trials were terminated prior to completion of enrollment. Reasons for termination were evenly split between benefit and futility. Further study is needed to understand the reasons for and impact of early termination on study results.


Trials ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Julia M. Edwards ◽  
Stephen J. Walters ◽  
Cornelia Kunz ◽  
Steven A. Julious

Abstract Introduction Sample size calculations require assumptions regarding treatment response and variability. Incorrect assumptions can result in under- or overpowered trials, posing ethical concerns. Sample size re-estimation (SSR) methods investigate the validity of these assumptions and increase the sample size if necessary. The “promising zone” (Mehta and Pocock, Stat Med 30:3267–3284, 2011) concept is appealing to researchers for its design simplicity. However, it is still relatively new in the application and has been a source of controversy. Objectives This research aims to synthesise current approaches and practical implementation of the promising zone design. Methods This systematic review comprehensively identifies the reporting of methodological research and of clinical trials using promising zone. Databases were searched according to a pre-specified search strategy, and pearl growing techniques implemented. Results The combined search methods resulted in 270 unique records identified; 171 were included in the review, of which 30 were trials. The median time to the interim analysis was 60% of the original target sample size (IQR 41–73%). Of the 15 completed trials, 7 increased their sample size. Only 21 studies reported the maximum sample size that would be considered, for which the median increase was 50% (IQR 35–100%). Conclusions Promising zone is being implemented in a range of trials worldwide, albeit in low numbers. Identifying trials using promising zone was difficult due to the lack of reporting of SSR methodology. Even when SSR methodology was reported, some had key interim analysis details missing, and only eight papers provided promising zone ranges.


2015 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 199-206.e7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew McKeown ◽  
Jennifer S. Gewandter ◽  
Michael P. McDermott ◽  
Joseph R. Pawlowski ◽  
Joseph J. Poli ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lane J. Liddle ◽  
Christine A. Dirks ◽  
Brittany A. Fedor ◽  
Mohammed Almekhlafi ◽  
Frederick Colbourne

Background: As not all ischemic stroke patients benefit from currently available treatments, there is considerable need for neuroprotective co-therapies. Therapeutic hypothermia is one such co-therapy, but numerous issues have hampered its clinical use (e.g., pneumonia risk with whole-body cooling). Some problems may be avoided with brain-specific methods, such as intra-arterial selective cooling infusion (IA-SCI) into the arteries supplying the ischemic tissue.Objective: Our research question was about the efficacy of IA-SCI in animal middle cerebral artery occlusion models. We hypothesized that IA-SCI would be beneficial, but translationally-relevant study elements may be missing (e.g., aged animals).Methods: We completed a systematic review of the PubMed database following the PRISMA guidelines on May 21, 2020 for animal studies that administered IA-SCI in the peri-reperfusion period and assessed infarct volume, behavior (primary meta-analytic endpoints), edema, or blood-brain barrier injury (secondary endpoints). Our search terms included: “focal ischemia” and related terms, “IA-SCI” and related terms, and “animal” and related terms. Nineteen studies met inclusion criteria. We adapted a methodological quality scale from 0 to 12 for experimental design assessment (e.g., use of blinding/randomization, a priori sample size calculations).Results: Studies were relatively homogenous (e.g., all studies used young, healthy animals). Some experimental design elements, such as blinding, were common whereas others, such as sample size calculations, were infrequent (median methodological quality score: 5; range: 2–7). Our analyses revealed that IA-SCI provides benefit on all endpoints (mean normalized infarct volume reduction = 23.67%; 95% CI: 19.21–28.12; mean normalized behavioral improvement = 35.56%; 95% CI: 25.91–45.20; mean standardized edema reduction = 0.95; 95% CI: 0.56–1.34). Unfortunately, blood-brain barrier assessments were uncommon and could not be analyzed. However, there was substantial statistical heterogeneity and relatively few studies. Therefore, exploration of heterogeneity via meta-regression using saline infusion parameters, study quality, and ischemic duration was inconclusive.Conclusion: Despite convincing evidence of benefit in ischemic stroke models, additional studies are required to determine the scope of benefit, especially when considering additional elements (e.g., dosing characteristics). As there is interest in using this treatment alongside current ischemic stroke therapies, more relevant animal studies will be critical to inform patient studies.


Author(s):  
Brent Strong ◽  
J. Adam Oostema ◽  
Nadia Nikroo ◽  
Murtaza Hussain ◽  
Mathew J. Reeves

Background: Termination of a clinical trial before the maximum planned sample size is accrued can occur for multiple valid reasons but has implications for the interpretation of results. We undertook a systematic review of contemporary acute stroke trials to document the prevalence of and reasons for early termination. Methods: We searched MEDLINE for randomized controlled trials of acute stroke therapies published between 2013 and 2020 in 9 major clinical journals. Manuscripts describing the primary results of phase 2 and phase 3 trials of acute stroke care were included. Data on study characteristics and adherence to CONSORT reporting guidelines were abstracted and summarized using descriptive statistics. Where feasible, we compared treatment effect sizes between trials terminated early and those not terminated early. Results: Of 96 randomized controlled trials, 39 (41%) were terminated early, 84 (88%) had a data and safety monitoring board, and 57 (59%) reported a prespecified statistical stopping rule. Among the 39 trials terminated early, 10 were discontinued for benefit, 10 due to logistical issues, 8 for futility, 6 because of newly available evidence, 1 for harm, and 4 for other or a combination of reasons. The median percentage of the maximum planned sample size accrued among trials terminated early was 63% (range, 8%–89%). Only 55% of trials (53 of 96) reported whether interim efficacy analyses were conducted, as recommended by the CONSORT guidelines. When 10 endovascular therapy trials were compared according to early termination status, the effect sizes of trials terminated early for benefit were only modestly larger than those not terminated early. Conclusions: The high prevalence of early termination in combination with the wide variety of reasons underscores the necessity of meticulous trial planning and adherence to methodological and reporting guidelines for early termination. Registration: URL: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/ ; Unique identifier: CRD42019128727.


Trials ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Stavros Nikolakopoulos ◽  
Kit C B Roes ◽  
Johanna H van der Lee ◽  
Ingeborg van der Tweel

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