Decision Support System for Enhancing Crop Productivity

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (9) ◽  
pp. 4438-4441
Author(s):  
Meeradevi ◽  
Monica R. Mundada ◽  
Hrishikesh Salpekar

Agriculture is the important aspect for the people of India. The life of large percentage of people in India is dependent on agriculture. The farmers are facing difficulty in selling their product to the markets due to lack of knowledge on crop prices. The market prices changes drastically in time. Using neural networks market price can be predicted and made available to the farmers to decide the time to sell their product. The ARIMA model is used to forecast the prices which can help the farmers to improve their economy and also the crop yield is predicted using neural network in the proposed system. So, that the user can check the yield of the crop in the particular piece of land before sowing. The prediction using the neural network model results in deciding the time to sell the prices and what will be the production of the crop over the year.

2002 ◽  
pp. 154-166 ◽  
Author(s):  
David West ◽  
Cornelius Muchineuta

Some of the concerns that plague developers of neural network decision support systems include: (a) How do I understand the underlying structure of the problem domain; (b) How can I discover unknown imperfections in the data which might detract from the generalization accuracy of the neural network model; and (c) What variables should I include to obtain the best generalization properties in the neural network model? In this paper we explore the combined use of unsupervised and supervised neural networks to address these concerns. We develop and test a credit-scoring application using a self-organizing map and a multilayered feedforward neural network. The final product is a neural network decision support system that facilitates subprime lending and is flexible and adaptive to the needs of e-commerce applications.


Author(s):  
NORMAN SCHNEIDEWIND

We adapt concepts from the field of neural networks to assess the reliability of software, employing cumulative failures, reliability, remaining failures, and time to failure metrics. In addition, the risk of not achieving reliability, remaining failure, and time to failure goals are assessed. The purpose of the assessment is to compare a criterion, derived from a neural network model, for estimating the parameters of software reliability metrics, with the method of maximum likelihood estimation. To our surprise the neural network method proved superior for all the reliability metrics that were assessed by virtue of yielding lower prediction error and risk. We also found that considerable adaptation of the neural network model was necessary to be meaningful for our application – only inputs, functions, neurons, weights, activation units, and outputs were required to characterize our application.


2020 ◽  
Vol 161 ◽  
pp. 01031
Author(s):  
Aleksandr Nikiforov ◽  
Aleksei Kuchumov ◽  
Sergei Terentev ◽  
Inessa Karamulina ◽  
Iraida Romanova ◽  
...  

In the work based on agroecological and technological testing of varieties of grain crops of domestic and foreign breeding, winter triticale in particular, conducted on the experimental field of the Smolensk State Agricultural Academy between 2015 and 2019, we present the methodology and results of processing the experimental data used for constructing the neural network model. Neural networks are applicable for solving tasks that are difficult for computers of traditional design and humans alike. Those are processing large volumes of experimental data, automation of image recognition, approximation of functions and prognosis. Neural networks include analyzing subject areas and weight coefficients of neurons, detecting conflict samples and outliers, normalizing data, determining the number of samples required for teaching a neural network and increasing the learning quality when their number is insufficient, as well as selecting the neural network type and decomposition based on the number of input neurons. We consider the technology of initial data processing and selecting the optimal neural network structure that allows to significantly reduce modeling errors in comparison with neural networks created with unprepared source data. Our accumulated experience of working with neural networks has demonstrated encouraging results, which indicates the prospects of this area, especially when describing processes with large amounts of variables. In order to verify the resulting neural network model, we have carried out a computational experiment, which showed the possibility of applying scientific results in practice.


2011 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. M. M. Jamal ◽  
Cuddalore Sundar

<span>This paper applies the neural network model to forecast bilateral exchange rates between the U.S. and Germany and U.S. and France. The predictions from the neural network model were compared to those based on a standard econometric model. The results suggest that the neural network model may have some advantages when frequent short term forecasts are needed.</span>


2019 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
pp. 65
Author(s):  
S. Athanassopoulos ◽  
E. Mavrommatis ◽  
K. A. Gernoth ◽  
J. W. Clark

A neural-network model is developed to reproduce the differences between experimental nuclear mass-excess values and the theoretical values given by the Finite Range Droplet Model. The results point to the existence of subtle regularities of nuclear structure not yet contained in the best microscopic/phenomenological models of atomic masses. Combining the FRDM and the neural-network model, we create a hybrid model with improved predictive performance on nuclear-mass systematics and related quantities.


Author(s):  
Hyun-il Lim

The neural network is an approach of machine learning by training the connected nodes of a model to predict the results of specific problems. The prediction model is trained by using previously collected training data. In training neural network models, overfitting problems can occur from the excessively dependent training of data and the structural problems of the models. In this paper, we analyze the effect of DropConnect for controlling overfitting in neural networks. It is analyzed according to the DropConnect rates and the number of nodes in designing neural networks. The analysis results of this study help to understand the effect of DropConnect in neural networks. To design an effective neural network model, the DropConnect can be applied with appropriate parameters from the understanding of the effect of the DropConnect in neural network models.


2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 153-166
Author(s):  
S.B. Efremov

The paper presents a neural network model for recognizing driving strategies based on the interaction of drivers in traffic flow conditions. The architecture of the model, based on self-organizing map (SOM), consisting of various neural networks based on RBF (Radial Basis Function). The purpose of this work is to describe the architecture and structure of the neural network model, which allows to recognize the strategic features of driving. Our neural network is able to identify the interaction strategies of cars (drivers) in traffic flow conditions, as well as to identify such behavioral patterns of movement that can be correlated with different types of dangerous driving. From the results of the study, it follows that neural networks of the SOM RBF type are able to recognize and classify the types of interactions in traffic conditions based on modeling the analysis of the trajectories of cars. This neural network showed a high percentage of recognition and clear clustering of similar driving strategies.


2004 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 219-233
Author(s):  
Tarun K. Sen ◽  
Parviz Ghandforoush ◽  
Charles T. Stivason

Neural networks are excellent mapping tools for complex financial data. Their mapping capabilities however do not always result in good generalizability for financial prediction models. Increasing the number of nodes and hidden layers in a neural network model produces better mapping of the data since the number of parameters available to the model increases. This is determinal to generalizabilitiy of the model since the model memorizes idiosyncratic patterns in the data. A neural network model can be expected to be more generalizable if the model architecture is made less complex by using fewer input nodes. In this study we simplify the neural network by eliminating input nodes that have the least contribution to the prediction of a desired outcome. We also provide a theoretical relationship of the sensitivity of output variables to the input variables under certain conditions. This research initiates an effort in identifying methods that would improve the generalizability of neural networks in financial prediction tasks by using mergers and bankruptcy models. The result indicates that incorporating more variables that appear relevant in a model does not necessarily improve prediction performance.


2009 ◽  
Vol 2009 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Baburaj Karanayil ◽  
Muhammed Fazlur Rahman ◽  
Colin Grantham

This paper presents a new method of online estimation of the stator and rotor resistance of the induction motor in the indirect vector-controlled drive, with artificial neural networks. The back propagation algorithm is used for training of the neural networks. The error between the rotor flux linkages based on a neural network model and a voltage model is back propagated to adjust the weights of the neural network model for the rotor resistance estimation. For the stator resistance estimation, the error between the measured stator current and the estimated stator current using neural network is back propagated to adjust the weights of the neural network. The performance of the stator and rotor resistance estimators and torque and flux responses of the drive, together with these estimators, is investigated with the help of simulations for variations in the stator and rotor resistance from their nominal values. Both types of resistance are estimated experimentally, using the proposed neural network in a vector-controlled induction motor drive. Data on tracking performances of these estimators are presented. With this approach, the rotor resistance estimation was found to be insensitive to the stator resistance variations both in simulation and experiment.


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