scholarly journals Low-Level Jets over the Mid-Atlantic States: Warm-Season Climatology and a Case Study

2006 ◽  
Vol 45 (1) ◽  
pp. 194-209 ◽  
Author(s):  
Da-Lin Zhang ◽  
Shunli Zhang ◽  
Scott J. Weaver
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Great Plains ◽  
Thermal Gradient ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Time Model ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Mountainous Regions ◽  
Low Level Jets

Abstract Although considerable research has been conducted to study the characteristics of the low-level jets (LLJs) over the Great Plains states, little is known about the development of LLJs over the Mid-Atlantic states. In this study, the Mid-Atlantic LLJ and its associated characteristics during the warm seasons of 2001 and 2002 are documented with both the wind profiler data and the daily real-time model forecast products. A case study with three model sensitivity simulations is performed to gain insight into the three-dimensional structures and evolution of an LLJ and the mechanisms by which it developed. It is found that the Mid-Atlantic LLJ, ranging from 8 to 23 m s−1, appeared at an average altitude of 670 m and on 15–25 days of each month. About 90% of the 160 observed LLJ events occurred between 0000 and 0600 LST, and about 60% had southerly to westerly directions. Statistically, the real-time forecasts capture most of the LLJ events with nearly the right timing, intensity, and altitude, although individual forecasts may not correspond to those observed. For a selected southwesterly LLJ case, both the observations and the control simulation exhibit a pronounced diurnal cycle of horizontal winds in the lowest 1.5 km. The simulation shows that the Appalachian Mountains tend to produce a sloping mixed layer with northeasterly thermal winds during the daytime and reversed thermal winds after midnight. With additional thermal contrast effects associated with the Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean, the daytime low-level winds vary significantly from the east coast to the mountainous regions. The LLJ after midnight tends to be peaked preferentially around 77.5°W near the middle portion of the sloping terrain, and it decreases eastward as a result of the opposite thermal gradient across the coastline from the mountain-generated thermal gradient. Although the Mid-Atlantic LLJ is much weaker and less extensive than that over the Great Plains states, it has a width of 300–400 km (to its half-peak value) and a length scale of more than 1500 km, following closely the orientation of the Appalachians. Sensitivity simulations show that eliminating the surface heat fluxes produces the most significant impact on the development of the LLJ, then topography and the land–sea contrast, with its area-averaged intensity reduced from 12 m s−1 to about 6, 9, and 10 m s−1, respectively.

scholarly journals Convection Initiation Caused by Heterogeneous Low-Level Jets over the Great Plains

2018 ◽  
Vol 146 (8) ◽  
pp. 2615-2637 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joshua G. Gebauer ◽  
Alan Shapiro ◽  
Evgeni Fedorovich ◽  
Petra Klein
Keyword(s):  
Great Plains ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
The United States ◽  
Dimensional Structure ◽  
Nonuniform Heating ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Low Level Jets ◽  
Convection Initiation ◽  
Capping Inversion

AbstractObservations from three nights of the Plains Elevated Convection at Night (PECAN) field campaign were used in conjunction with Rapid Refresh model forecasts to find the cause of north–south lines of convection, which initiated away from obvious surface boundaries. Such pristine convection initiation (CI) is relatively common during the warm season over the Great Plains of the United States. The observations and model forecasts revealed that all three nights had horizontally heterogeneous and veering-with-height low-level jets (LLJs) of nonuniform depth. The veering and heterogeneity were associated with convergence at the top-eastern edge of the LLJ, where moisture advection was also occurring. As time progressed, this upper region became saturated and, due to its placement above the capping inversion, formed moist absolutely unstable layers, from which the convergence helped initiate elevated convection. The structure of the LLJs on the CI nights was likely influenced by nonuniform heating across the sloped terrain, which led to the uneven LLJ depth and contributed toward the wind veering with height through the creation of horizontal buoyancy gradients. These three CI events highlight the importance of assessing the full three-dimensional structure of the LLJ when forecasting nocturnal convection over the Great Plains.

The diminishing contribution of low-level jets to the U.S. Great Plains water budget

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Craig R. Ferguson
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Great Plains ◽  
Water Budget ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Water Vapor Transport ◽  
Northern Great Plains ◽  
Wind Maximum ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Low Level Jets

<p>In the semi-arid U.S. Great Plains, nocturnal southerly low-level jets (LLJs) serve critical roles as conveyors of remotely-sourced (i.e., Gulf of Mexico) water vapor and agents of atmospheric instability in the warm-season.  Defined by a diurnally oscillating wind maximum between 0–3 km above the surface, LLJs have been studied by meteorologists for over 60-years due to their role in severe weather outbreaks. It is only within the past decade that a subset of LLJs with especially high vertically integrated water vapor transport, termed atmospheric rivers, have drawn the attention of hydrologists.</p><p>In this study, changes in LLJ frequency and structure over the period from 1901–2010 are quantified using ECMWF’s Coupled Reanalysis of the Twentieth Century (CERA-20C). A new objective dynamical LLJ classification dataset is used to separately quantify changes in the two predominant LLJ types: synoptically coupled and uncoupled. The findings reveal that both the frequency of Great Plains LLJs and their associated precipitation have decreased significantly over the 20th century. Decreases in LLJ associated precipitation range between 10–14% of total present day May–September precipitation. The largest differences observed are attributable to uncoupled jet frequency and structural changes during July and August over the central and northern Great Plains. Overall, the results indicate the contribution of LLJs to the region’s water budget has diminished.</p>

Teleconnections Governing the Interannual Variability of Great Plains Low-Level Jets in May

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-60
Author(s):  
Shubhi Agrawal ◽  
Craig R. Ferguson ◽  
Lance Bosart ◽  
D. Alex Burrows
Keyword(s):  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Great Plains ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Low Level ◽  
South Central ◽  
Decadal Scale ◽  
Low Level Jets ◽  
Upper Level

AbstractA spectral analysis of Great Plains 850-hPa meridional winds (V850) from ECMWF’s coupled climate reanalysis of 1901-2010 (CERA-20C) reveals that their warm season (April-September) interannual variability peaks in May with 2-6 year periodicity, suggestive of an underlying teleconnection influence on low-level jets (LLJs). Using an objective, dynamical jet classification framework based on 500-hPa wave activity, we pursue a large scale teleconnection hypothesis separately for LLJs that are uncoupled (LLJUC) and coupled (LLJC) to the upper-level jet stream. Differentiating between jet types enables isolation of their respective sources of variability. In the South Central Plains (SCP), May LLJCs account for nearly 1.6 times more precipitation and 1.5 times greater V850 compared to LLJUCs. Composite analyses of May 250-hPa geopotential height (Z250) conditioned on LLJC and LLJUC frequencies highlight a distinct planetary-scale Rossby wave pattern with wavenumber-five, indicative of an underlying Circumglobal Teleconnection (CGT). An index of May CGT is found to be significantly correlated with both LLJC (r = 0.62) and LLJUC (r = −0.48) frequencies. Additionally, a significant correlation is found between May LLJUC frequency and NAO (r = 0.33). Further analyses expose decadal scale variations in the CGT-LLJC(LLJUC) teleconnection that are linked to the PDO. Dynamically, these large scale teleconnections impact LLJ class frequency and intensity via upper-level geopotential anomalies over the western U.S. that modulate near-surface geopotential and temperature gradients across the SCP.

scholarly journals Comparing two years of Saharan dust source activation obtained by regional modeling and satellite observations

2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (10) ◽  
pp. 27667-27691
Author(s):  
I. Tegen ◽  
K. Schepanski ◽  
B. Heinold
Keyword(s):  
Regional Scale ◽  
Dust Emission ◽  
Saharan Dust ◽  
Strong Increase ◽  
Dust Source ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Mountainous Regions ◽  
Emission Fluxes ◽  
Low Level Jets ◽  
The Difference

Abstract. A regional-scale dust model is used to simulate Saharan dust emissions and atmospheric distributions in the years 2007 and 2008. The model results are compared to dust source activation events compiled from infrared dust index imagery from the geostationary Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) satellite. The observed morning maximum in dust source activation frequencies indicates that the breakdown of nocturnal low-level jets is responsible for a considerable number of dust source activation events in the Sahara. The comparison shows that the time of the day of the onset of dust emission is delayed in the model compared to the observations. Also, the simulated number of dust emission events associated with nocturnal low level jets in mountainous regions is underestimated in the model. The MSG dust index observations indicate a strong increase in dust source activation frequencies in the year 2008 compared to 2007, the difference between the two years is less pronounced in the model. The quantitative comparison of simulated dust optical thicknesses with observations at stations of the sunphotometer network AERONET shows, however, good agreement for both years, indicating that the number of observed dust activation events is only of limited use for estimating actual dust emission fluxes in the Sahara.

scholarly journals Comparing two years of Saharan dust source activation obtained by regional modelling and satellite observations

2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 2381-2390 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. Tegen ◽  
K. Schepanski ◽  
B. Heinold
Keyword(s):  
Regional Scale ◽  
Dust Emission ◽  
Saharan Dust ◽  
Strong Increase ◽  
Regional Modelling ◽  
Dust Source ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Mountainous Regions ◽  
Low Level Jets ◽  
The Difference

Abstract. A regional-scale dust model is used to simulate Saharan dust emissions and atmospheric distributions in the years 2007 and 2008. The model results are compared to dust source activation events compiled from infrared dust index imagery from the geostationary Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) satellite. The observed morning maximum in dust source activation frequencies indicates that the breakdown of nocturnal low level jets is an important mechanism for dust source activation in the Sahara. The comparison shows that the time of the day of the onset of dust emission is delayed in the model compared to the observations. Also, the simulated number of dust emission events associated with nocturnal low level jets in mountainous regions is underestimated in the model. The MSG dust index observations indicate a strong increase in dust source activation frequencies in the year 2008 compared to 2007. The difference between the two years is less pronounced in the model. Observations of dust optical thickness, e.g. at stations of the sunphotometer network AERONET, do not show such increase, in agreement with the model results. This indicates that the number of observed dust activation events is only of limited use for estimating actual dust emission fluxes in the Sahara. The ability to reproduce interannual variability of Saharan dust with models remains an important challenge for understanding the controls of the atmospheric dust load.

scholarly journals LGM Summer Climate on the Southern Margin of the Laurentide Ice Sheet: Wet or Dry?*

2005 ◽  
Vol 18 (16) ◽  
pp. 3317-3338 ◽  
Author(s):  
David H. Bromwich ◽  
E. Richard Toracinta ◽  
Robert J. Oglesby ◽  
James L. Fastook ◽  
Terence J. Hughes
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Conditions ◽  
Great Plains ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Thermal Gradient ◽  
Mesoscale Model ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Laurentide Ice Sheet ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Summer Climate ◽  
Southern Margin

Abstract Regional climate simulations are conducted using the Polar fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University (PSU)–NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5) with a 60-km horizontal resolution domain over North America to explore the summer climate of the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM: 21 000 calendar years ago), when much of the continent was covered by the Laurentide Ice Sheet (LIS). Output from a tailored NCAR Community Climate Model version 3 (CCM3) simulation of the LGM climate is used to provide the initial and lateral boundary conditions for Polar MM5. LGM boundary conditions include continental ice sheets, appropriate orbital forcing, reduced CO2 concentration, paleovegetation, modified sea surface temperatures, and lowered sea level. The simulated LGM summer climate is characterized by a pronounced low-level thermal gradient along the southern margin of the LIS resulting from the juxtaposition of the cold ice sheet and adjacent warm ice-free land surface. This sharp thermal gradient anchors the midtropospheric jet stream and facilitates the development of synoptic cyclones that track over the ice sheet, some of which produce copious liquid precipitation along and south of the LIS terminus. Precipitation on the southern margin is orographically enhanced as moist southerly low-level flow (resembling a contemporary Great Plains low-level jet configuration) in advance of the cyclone is drawn up the ice sheet slope. Composites of wet and dry periods on the LIS southern margin illustrate two distinctly different atmospheric flow regimes. Given the episodic nature of the summer rain events, it may be possible to reconcile the model depiction of wet conditions on the LIS southern margin during the LGM summer with the widely accepted interpretation of aridity across the Great Plains based on geological proxy evidence.

scholarly journals A 20-Year Climatology of Nocturnal Convection Initiation over the Central and Southern Great Plains during the Warm Season

2017 ◽  
Vol 145 (5) ◽  
pp. 1615-1639 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dylan W. Reif ◽  
Howard B. Bluestein
Keyword(s):  
Great Plains ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Thunderstorm Activity ◽  
Surface Boundary ◽  
Initiation Time ◽  
Southern Great Plains ◽  
Surface Data ◽  
Convection Initiation ◽  
Storm Characteristics

Abstract A nocturnal maximum in rainfall and thunderstorm activity over the central Great Plains has been widely documented, but the mechanisms for the development of thunderstorms over that region at night are still not well understood. Elevated convection above a surface frontal boundary is one explanation, but this study shows that many thunderstorms form at night without the presence of an elevated frontal inversion or nearby surface boundary. This study documents convection initiation (CI) events at night over the central Great Plains from 1996 to 2015 during the months of April–July. Storm characteristics such as storm type, linear system orientation, initiation time and location, and others were documented. Once all of the cases were documented, surface data were examined to locate any nearby surface boundaries. The event’s initiation location relative to these boundaries (if a boundary existed) was documented. Two main initiation locations relative to a surface boundary were identified: on a surface boundary and on the cold side of a surface boundary; CI events also occur without any nearby surface boundary. There are many differences among the different nocturnal CI modes. For example, there appear to be two main peaks of initiation time at night: one early at night and one later at night. The later peak is likely due to the events that form without a nearby surface boundary. Finally, a case study of three nocturnal CI events that occurred during the Plains Elevated Convection At Night (PECAN) field project when there was no nearby surface boundary is discussed.

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