Chapter I. The Home Economy

1991 ◽  
Vol 138 ◽  
pp. 6-22
Author(s):  
Nigel Pain
Keyword(s):  
North Sea ◽  
Oil Production ◽  
Recent Past ◽  
The Third

Although the data for the recent past are still somewhat patchy at the time of writing, a limited turnaround in the non-oil economy can be expected in the third quarter of the year, accompanied by a recovery in North Sea output. We expect oil production in the latter half of the year to be some 10 per cent higher than in the first half, with the reopening of fields following installation of new equipment. Growth in the onshore economy is likely to prove hesitant, with the overall level of output in the second half of the year being little changed from that in the first.

Past

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Barbara Kellerman
Keyword(s):  
Twentieth Century ◽  
Business Schools ◽  
First Century ◽  
Recent Past ◽  
Lao Tzu ◽  
Leadership And Management ◽  
The Third ◽  
The Enlightenment ◽  
Agents Of Change ◽  
The Many

The chapter focuses on how leadership was taught in the distant and recent past. The first section is on five of the greatest leadership teachers ever—Lao-tzu, Confucius, Plato, Plutarch, and Machiavelli—who shared a deep belief in the idea that leadership could be taught and left legacies that included timeless and transcendent literary masterworks. The second section explores how leadership went from being conceived of as a practice reserved only for a select few to one that could be exercised by the many. The ideas of the Enlightenment changed our conception of leadership. Since then, the leadership literature has urged people without power and authority, that is, followers, to understand that they too could be agents of change. The third section turns to leadership and management in business. It was precisely the twentieth-century failure of business schools to make management a profession that gave rise to the twenty-first-century leadership industry.

The global politics paradigm: guide to the future or only the recent past?

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert O. Keohane
Keyword(s):  
International Institutions ◽  
Global Politics ◽  
Great Power ◽  
Recent Past ◽  
Global Institutions ◽  
The Third ◽  
Authoritarian Populism ◽  
Theoretical Statement ◽  
Authority Relationships ◽  
Contemporary Reality

Abstract Michael Zürn's A Theory of Global Governance is a major theoretical statement. The first section of this essay summarizes Zürn's argument, pointing out that his Global Politics Paradigm views contestation as generated endogenously from the dilemmas and contradictions of reflexive authority relationships. Authoritative international institutions, he maintains, have difficulty maintaining their legitimacy in a world suffused with democratic values. The second section systematically compares Zürn's Global Politics Paradigm with both Realism and Cooperation Theory, arguing that the three paradigms have different scope conditions and are therefore as much complementary as competitive. The third section questions the relevance of Zürn's argument to contemporary reality. Great power conflict and authoritarian populism in formerly democratic countries generate existential threats to multilateralism and global institutions that are more serious than Zürn's legitimacy deficits.

scholarly journals "First Among Shepherds": Terry Pratchett's Tiffany Aching Series from an Arthurian Perspective

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Freya Sacksen
Keyword(s):  
Wide Spectrum ◽  
The Third ◽  
Ma Thesis ◽  
Terry Pratchett

<p>Throughout his career writing on the Discworld, Terry Pratchett employed what he referred to as ‘white knowledge’; a wide spectrum of intertextuality and allusiveness that pervaded the structure of his stories, the dialogue, the narration, and that was even discussed in scenes constructed to comment on the very absurdity of its existence. In my MA thesis, I examine closely the allusive qualities of the white knowledge present in Pratchett’s Tiffany Aching series: The Wee Free Men (2003), A Hat Full of Sky (2004), Wintersmith (2006), I Shall Wear Midnight (2010) and The Shepherd’s Crown (2015). Specifically, I analyze Pratchett’s use of the Arthurian tradition and his references to our understanding of the Arthurian tradition, as constructed by Malory, Tennyson and T. H. White. My aim is to demonstrate how Pratchett constructs Tiffany Aching as an Arthurian palimpsest, alluding to what came before whilst subverting and challenging the very texts from which she is imagined. In my first chapter I analyze the third Tiffany Aching book, Wintersmith, as an example of the Arthurian story of the Fisher King. I also argue for Tiffany Aching herself, in the first two books, existing as a subversive, humanist, reversed Fisher King, who draws strength and power from the land rather than inflicting sterility upon it.  In the second chapter I examine the Arthurian tradition of love triangles, and examine from a feminist, genderqueer perspective Pratchett’s habit of placing characters in roles outside of their traditional gender binaries. In the third chapter I look at Letitia Keepsake, a character introduced in I Shall Wear Midnight, and examine her subversive relationship to the Tennyson poem “The Lady of Shalott”.</p>

scholarly journals Using Markov Chains to Predict Productivity of Maize in Iraq for the Period (2019-2025)

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
L.A.F. Al-Ani ◽  
A.D.K. Alhiyali
Keyword(s):  
Markov Chains ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Unit Area ◽  
Recent Past ◽  
Predictive Values ◽  
The Third ◽  
Predictive Methods ◽  
Horizontal Expansion ◽  
Predicted Values ◽  
The Impact

The research aims to predict the productivity of one of the most important major crops in Iraq, which is Maize, using Markov chains, which is one of the most important predictive methods that depend on relatively recent historical data and based mainly on previous data that is not far away. This is the advantage that Markov chains have, as relying on somewhat old historical data may negatively affect the predicted values. The results of the research showed the superiority of the third state to predict the productivity of Maize depending on the availability of Markov chains prediction conditions for this state. The results of the research also showed the continued decline in productivity for the coming years, as well as the impact of the predictive values on changes in the cultivated area more than changes in production, which confirms the existence of horizontal expansion at the expense of vertical expansion, that is, there is no intensification of production per unit area. The research also found that the actual values of productivity have approached the estimated values of the following years, and the matter applies to the convergence of these results for the subsequent years with the previous years, which confirms the accuracy of the method of Markov chains, in other words that what happened in the recent past had a clear impact in the future near.

Skepticism, reason, and decision

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Tung-Ying Wu
Keyword(s):  
Decision Theory ◽  
Decision Problem ◽  
Ethical Theory ◽  
Ideal Observer ◽  
University Of Missouri ◽  
The Third ◽  
History Of ◽  
The University ◽  
The Ideal

[ACCESS RESTRICTED TO THE UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI AT AUTHOR'S REQUEST.] "This dissertation is a combination of three different projects. The first project investigates the history of philosophy: Kant's refutation of idealism. In this project I propose a more plausible interpretation of Kant's argument against idealism. Next, the second project investigates ethical theory: the ideal observer view. There, I criticize an argument for ideal observer view as untenable. Finally, the third project investigates decision theory: the decision problem: Psycho Buttons. I argue that causal decision theory supplemented with Full Information does not lead to intransitivity in Psycho Buttons. In this chapter I present an introduction to each project." --Introduction

Parting Shots

Last Words ◽  
2019 ◽  
pp. 101-126
Author(s):  
Sebastian Sobecki
Keyword(s):  
The Third ◽  
John Holland

In the third chapter I argue that the Libelle (1436–7) was written by Richard Caudray, clerk of the council until 1435, thereafter secretary to John Holland, admiral of England, and dean of St Martin le Grand in London. The Libelle, I maintain, is not an attempt to mask his identity; on the contrary, the intended recipients were council members and, together with the approving authority, John Hungerford, all of them were familiar with the author. The textual ‘I’ of the Libelle is Caudray, and the poem is an example of an instance of indexical and self-referential writing misread as deliberately anonymous.

Translating Identity-Based Motivation to Intervention: Pathways to Success from School to Jobs and Life

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daphna Oyserman
Keyword(s):  
Academic Outcomes ◽  
Control School ◽  
Educational Success ◽  
The Third ◽  
The Core ◽  
Identity Based ◽  
Own Name ◽  
Made In

In this chapter I describe the school-to-jobs intervention, a brief inter¬vention that translates the components of identity-based motivation (IBM) into a testable, usable, feasible, and scalable intervention for use in schools and other settings to improve academic outcomes. To develop the intervention, I took the core IBM principles and translated them into a framework and set of activities that have coherence and meaning. These core principles, as detailed in Chapter 1, are that identities, strategies, and interpretations of difficulty matter when they come to mind and seem relevant to the situation at hand. Because thinking is for doing, context matters, and identities, strategies, and interpretations of difficulty can be dynamically constructed given situational constraints and affordances. Therefore the framework and set of activities I developed were sensitive to the context in which education and educational success or failure occurs, the processes by which children succeed or fail to attain their school-success goals, and the action children need to take if they are to succeed. The intervention was fully tested twice (Oyserman, Bybee, & Terry, 2006; Oyserman, Terry, & Bybee, 2002), using random assignment to control (school as usual) and intervention conditions so that it would be possible to know whether the effects were due to the intervention and not to other differences in the children themselves. Importantly, the tested intervention was manualized and fidelity to both manual and underlying theorized process was also tested. In these ways, the intervention stands as a model for development. STJ is currently being used in England and in Singapore. Each country gives the intervention its own name to fit the context. This chapter is divided into three parts. In the first part, I outline the choices I made in developing the intervention. In the second part, I outline the sequenced activities that constitute the intervention (they are detailed in the manual that forms Chapter 4). In the third part, I describe the evidence that the intervention succeeded in changing academic outcomes and that changes occurred through the process predicted by IBM.

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