Incorporating Energy Criteria in Intermodal Transportation Policy Decisions

Author(s):  
Nancy L. Bester

Regional and local governments are collectively responsible for maintaining the economic health of their communities and managing traffic congestion, air quality, land use, and other related growth-management issues. Yet global climate change and air quality problems result from the consumption of energy in the production of goods and services that help sustain the economy. Public policy solutions to such problems are often difficult to design because of the interrelated nature of the environment, economic activities, and the infrastructure that links them together. A conceptual framework for thinking about the market behavior of consumers and producers as cost minimizers and offering a new way to design public policies using economic and energy efficiency goals is presented for the use of public-policy makers. Production theory can be used to explain how land, vehicles, infrastructure, and energy are combined to produce transportation goods and services. Heat and waste by-products from the production process act as the precursors of air pollution and other global climate-change problems. If public policies are designed to minimize such problems, policy analysis methods need to include those factors that help determine the cost and benefits of prospective policy alternatives, as well as information on how the net benefits of such policies are redistributed in society. A list of criteria to use in selecting analysis methods for this purpose is suggested.

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 2183-2231 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. F. Lam ◽  
J. S. Fu ◽  
S. Wu ◽  
L. J. Mickley

Abstract. Simulations of present and future average regional ozone and PM2.5 concentrations over the United States were performed to investigate the potential impacts of global climate change and emissions on regional air quality using CMAQ. Various emissions and climate conditions with different biogenic emissions and domain resolutions were implemented to study the sensitivity of future air quality trends from the impacts of changing biogenic emissions. A comparison of GEOS-Chem and CMAQ was performed to investigate the effect of downscaling on the prediction of future air quality trends. For ozone, the impacts of global climate change are relatively smaller when compared to the impacts of anticipated future emissions reduction, except for the Northeast area, where increasing biogenic emissions due to climate change have stronger positive effects (increases) to the regional ozone air quality. The combination effect from both climate change and emission reductions leads to approximately a 10% or 5 ppbv decrease of the maximum daily average eight-hour ozone (MDA8) over the Eastern United States. For PM2.5, the impacts of global climate change have shown insignificant effect, where as the impacts of anticipated future emissions reduction account for the majority of overall PM2.5 reductions. The annual average 24-h PM2.5 of the future-year condition was found to be about 40% lower than the one from the present-year condition, of which 60% of its overall reductions are contributed to by the decrease of SO4 and NO3 particulate matters. Changing the biogenic emissions model increases the MDA8 ozone by about 5–10% or 3–5 ppbv in the Northeast area. Conversely, it reduces the annual average PM2.5 by 5% or 1.0 μg/m3 in the Southeast region.


2015 ◽  
Vol 93 (1) ◽  
pp. 73-95 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anne Dorothée Slovic ◽  
Maria Aparecida de Oliveira ◽  
João Biehl ◽  
Helena Ribeiro

Author(s):  
Libby Robin

As global climate change shifts seasonal patterns, local and uncertain seasons of Australia have global relevance. Australia’s literature tracks extreme local weather events, exploring ‘slow catastrophes’ and ‘endurance.’ Humanists can change public policy in times when stress is a state of life, by reflecting on the psyches of individuals, rather than the patterns of the state. ‘Probable’ futures, generated by mathematical models that predict nature and economics, have little to say about living with extreme weather. Hope is not easily modelled. The frameworks that enable hopeful futures are qualitatively different. They can explore the unimaginable by offering an ‘interior apprehension.’


2008 ◽  
Vol 8 (14) ◽  
pp. 3973-3983 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Tagaris ◽  
K.-J. Liao ◽  
K. Manomaiphiboon ◽  
S. He ◽  
J.-H. Woo ◽  
...  

Abstract. Potential impacts of global climate and emissions changes on regional air quality over southern (western and eastern) Canada and northern Mexico are examined by comparing future summers' (i.e., 2049–2051) average regional O3 and PM2.5 concentrations with historic concentrations (i.e., 2000–2002 summers). Air quality modeling was conducted using CMAQ and meteorology downscaled from the GISS-GCM using MM5. Emissions for North America are found using US EPA, Mexican and Canadian inventories and projected emissions following CAIR and IPCC A1B emissions scenario. Higher temperatures for all sub-regions and regional changes in mixing height, insolation and precipitation are forecast in the 2049-2051 period. Future emissions are calculated to be lower over both Canadian sub-regions, but higher over northern Mexico. Global climate change, alone, is predicted to affect PM2.5 concentrations more than O3 for the projections used in this study: average daily maximum eight (8) hour O3 (M8hO3) concentrations are estimated to be slightly different in all examined sub-regions while average PM2.5 concentrations are estimated to be higher over both Canadian sub-regions (8% over western and 3% over eastern) but 11% lower over northern Mexico. More days are forecast where M8hO3 concentrations are over 75 ppb in all examined sub-regions but the number of days where PM2.5 concentration will be over 15 μg/m3 is projected higher only over western Canada. Climate change combined with the projected emissions lead to greater change in pollutant concentrations: average M8hO3 concentrations are simulated to be 6% lower over western Canada and 8% lower over eastern Canada while average PM2.5 concentrations are simulated to be 5% lower over western Canada and 11% lower over eastern Canada. Although future emissions over northern Mexico are projected higher, pollutant concentrations are simulated to be lower due to US emissions reductions. Global climate change combined with the projected emissions will decrease average M8hO3 4% and PM2.5 17% over northern Mexico. Significant reductions in the number of days where M8hO3 concentrations are over 75 ppb and PM2.5 concentration over 15 μg/m3 are also projected with a significant reduction in peak values.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document