Determinants of Income Velocity in the United Kingdom: Multivariate Granger Causality

1993 ◽  
Vol 37 (2) ◽  
pp. 40-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
Augustine C. Arize
Keyword(s):  
United Kingdom ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Money Growth ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
Interest Rate Volatility ◽  
Growth Volatility

Using cointegration and multivariate causality approach, this paper examines the determinants of income velocity in the United Kingdom over the period, 1973Q1–1990Q2. The results suggest that changes in interest rate, interest rate volatility, real exchange rate and money growth volatility provide information that helps predict future movements in income velocity.

scholarly journals EXCHANGE RATE AND INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL IN G7 ECONOMIES

2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 263-286
Author(s):  
Peter Golit ◽  
Afees Salisu ◽  
Akinwunmi Akintola ◽  
Faustina Nsonwu ◽  
Itoro Umoren
Keyword(s):  
United Kingdom ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Structural Breaks ◽  
G7 Countries ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
The Exchange Rate

We offer new insights on the dynamics of the exchange rate–interest rate differentialfor the case of G7 economies. We show that the nexus is better considered using anasymmetric model, as suggested by a host of previous studies. In addition, we find therole of accounting for structural breaks to be prominent. We also show differences in thenexus between euro and non-euro G7 countries, suggesting heterogeneous monetarypolicies. Thus, we document the strongest evidence for the sticky price hypothesis inJapan and lesser evidence in the euro countries and the United Kingdom, with Canadaconsistently revealing evidence for the flexible price hypothesis.

Forecasting interest rate volatility of the United Kingdom: evidence from over 150 years of data

2019 ◽  
Vol 47 (6) ◽  
pp. 1128-1143
Author(s):  
Hossein Hassani ◽  
Mohammad Reza Yeganegi ◽  
Juncal Cuñado ◽  
Rangan Gupta
Keyword(s):  
United Kingdom ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
Interest Rate Volatility

scholarly journals Exchange Rate Volatility and Foreign Direct Investment

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 38
Author(s):  
Samuel Erasmus Alnaa ◽  
Ferdinand Ahiakpor
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
External Factors ◽  
Conditional Heteroskedasticity ◽  
Data Set

The paper seeks to determine the effect of exchange rate volatility on foreign direct investment in Ghana from 1986 to 2017. The study adopted the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity model to fit the data set from 1986-2017. The results indicate that, previous quarter information can influence current quarter volatility in Foreign Direct Investment. Real exchange rate, gross domestic product and treasure bill rate considered as external factors, are all found to be significant. This shows that, volatility from these factors can spillover to volatility in foreign direct investment.  To ensure stable inflow of foreign direct investment, we recommend that policies should gear towards stability in the forex market and interest rate among others.

Carry Trade, Exchange Rates, and the Balance-of-Payments

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nelson H. Barbosa-Filho
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Forward Rate ◽  
Spot Rate ◽  
Financial Constraint ◽  
Carry Trade ◽  
The Real

Abstract This paper presents a partial equilibrium model that integrates interest rate arbitrage with the balance-of-payments constraint to determine the real exchange rate. The sequential logic is the following: (i) carry-trade determines the term premium, with the spot rate showing greater volatility than the forward rate, (ii) uncovered interest rate parity determines the spot rate based on the real exchange rate consistent with a financial constraint, defined as a stable ratio of foreign reserves to foreign debt; and (iii) the trade balance consistent with the financial constraint determines the long-run real exchange rate for a given ratio of domestic to foreign income.

scholarly journals Dynamic Relationship between RMB Exchange Rate and Interest Rate Based on VAR-DCC-GARCH Model

2020 ◽  
Vol 214 ◽  
pp. 03018
Author(s):  
Xuhang Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Garch Model ◽  
Nominal Exchange Rate ◽  
Practical Significance ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
Interest Rate Volatility

Based on the daily data of Shibor and nominal exchange rate from 2006 to 2019, this paper constructs VAR model and uses Granger causality test and impulse response model to analyze the dynamic relationship between exchange rate and interest rate. Based on the DCC-GARCH model, this paper analyzes the correlation between exchange rate volatility and interest rate volatility, and concludes that there is a weak negative correlation between exchange rate and interest rate. Both exchange rate and monetary policy will have an important impact on China’s economic environment, so it is of great practical significance to study the joint impact of exchange rate and monetary policy.

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