Nexus Between Discount Rate and Industrial Performance

2021 ◽  
pp. 097215092110287
Author(s):  
Ajab Khan

This study investigates the short-run responses and long-run performances of seven industries’ stock indices with discount rate changes in the firms listed in the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSE) between 2009 and 2018. The results indicate that short-run returns react positively to discount rate reduction, excluding the oil industry and vice versa. Therefore, long-term performance responds favourably with a reduction in the discount rate. Discount rate changes affect the apparel industry the most, while the oil industry is the least on the list. This study serves potential investors for their returns against investment among these industries. Furthermore, it works as a guideline for regulators and policymakers to manage fluctuations for a stable capital market.

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 43-54
Author(s):  
Mu’minatus Sholichah

This study discusses and analyzes from the perspective of investor optimism and long-term performance after the IPO in the Indonesian capital market. Observations will be made regarding the influence of investors on the increase in the length of shares after the IPO with control variables of company size, company age, offer size, the achievement of underwriters, profitability on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. This study uses data from 2004-2017, with 194 IPO companies from 2004-2015 in the Indonesian capital market. Testing is done by using two drunken linear regression. The results of this study indicate that investors in the Indonesian capital market not only consider irrational factors but also consider rational factors about the company's character in making decisions to buy IPO shares. The characteristics of the company include the size of the company and the size of the stock offering. This study provides benefits for IPO stock investors who rely on the benefits of initial stock investment in a relatively long period of time so as not to suffer losses


2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marjène Rabah Gana ◽  
Anis El Ammari

In this study, we examine the long-run performance of a sample of 32 Tunisian crosslisted firms on the Tunisian stock exchange over the period 1992-2006. We use several approaches and conduct robust tests. We observed a strong underperformance of 32 percent over the 36-month period following the listing, when the buy-and-hold abnormal return measure is used. The underperformance is preceded by a positive and significant return of about 20 percent on the first 5 days of listing, which persists for 6 months. We also assess the role of governance variables. The agency theory explains the behaviour of controlling stockholders when transferring stocks. Considering other control variables shows that the hypothesis of the window opportunity explains the underperformance and that the ex-ante uncertainty, measured by the age of the newly listed firm, participate in the deterioration of the long-term stock performance.


Author(s):  
Nashirah Abu Bakar ◽  
Sofian Rosbi

In the year of 2016, Malaysia faced with the challenge in instability of economic condition. This situation weakens Malaysian currency that gives direct impact to all economic sectors in Malaysia. Consequently, this situation gives significant impact on the performance of the sharia-compliant companies listed on the Malaysia Stock Exchange. Therefore, this research validates the long-term performance of share price using market adjusted buy and hold return (MABHR). Then, this study performed normality test to check the distribution of data for return and volatility. Next, correlation analysis performed to validate the relationship between return and volatility. The results show that the Solid Automotive Berhad gives the highest rate of return with respect to the market. While UMW Oil & Gas Corporation Berhad shows the lowest rate of return with respect to the market. The finding of this research helps economists to understand the market trend in empirical thinking. In addition, it also helps the investors to understand the market and make the right decision in investing during this challenging situation.


2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 58-77 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Killins ◽  
Peter V. Egly

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the long-run performance of a unique set of US domiciled firms that have bypassed the US capital markets in pursuit of their initial public offering (IPO) overseas. Additionally, this paper then tests the popular underwriter prestige impact and the window of opportunity hypothesis on this unique subset of IPOs. Design/methodology/approach Using a sample of foreign and purely domestic IPOs made by US firms from 2000 to 2011, this study investigates the long-term performance, one-, two- and three-year by using two measures (buy-and-hold return and cumulative abnormal returns) to test the long-run returns of newly listed companies. Finally, the research incorporates both the traditional matching methodology (issue year and size) along with propensity score matching methodology. Findings FIPOs of US companies underperform DIPOs and their matched DIPOs; furthermore, FIPOs underperform the index of the two listing countries they use the most (UK and Canada). Although the choice of a reputable underwriter mitigates underperformance, the choice of listing in a foreign country only may be a result of possible high valuations accorded by foreign investors who buy US-listed companies on the domestic exchange possibly for reducing exchange rate risk and gaining US diversification without incurring additional costs. It is, thus, possible that US companies that undertake Foreign IPOs not only escape potentially higher Security and Exchange Commission regulations and disclosure but also benefit from higher valuations in the foreign markets. Originality/value To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study to investigate the long-term performance of US firms bypassing the US capital markets in pursuit of their initial equity offering elsewhere. Caglio et al. (2016) investigated why firms decide to pursue such equity raising activity but fail to investigate the firms’ actual performance after issuing equity. This research fills such a gap in the literature and is important for both academics and practitioners. Practitioners can use this information in assessing the quality of such investments in the long-run, and firms can use such information when determining the different options of issuing equity. Further, regulators should be aware of the implications that increased regulations have on capital raising activities in their domestic market.


2010 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 100-125
Author(s):  
Lioniva Emasari ◽  
Dewi Tamara

We study the long-term performance of IPO share issued in Indonesia during the 1996-2001 periods. The IPOs in this period are mostly concentrated in Finance, Trade, Property and Basic Industry & Chemicals. The cumulative abnormal return (CAR) and buy-and-hold abnormal return (BHAR) in the third year are 15.83% and negative 68.02%, respectively. The CAR and BHAR in the fifth year are negative 1% and negative 139.7%, respectively. The highest CAR for 3 and 5 years are mining industry, with 289.29% and 226.80%, respectively. The lowest CAR for third year is trade, service & investment industry, with negative 59.36% and fifth year is agriculture with negative 59.72%. The lowest BHAR for third and fifth year is trade, service and investment industry with negative 113.01% and negative 230.99 respectively. The long-run performance using cumulative abnormal return is similar with the market and cannot outperform the market.  


2020 ◽  
Vol 42 ◽  
pp. 99-117
Author(s):  
Idowu Daniel Onisanwa ◽  
◽  
Mercy Ojochegbe Adaji ◽  
◽  

Aim/purpose – The poor investment climate is one of the reasons advanced for the slow pace of growth in Nigeria; evidenced by the absence or inadequate amount of investible funds in the productive sectors. While the money market in Nigeria provides very limited investment options, the underdevelopment and underutilisation of the Nigerian Stock Market constitute a drawback to the investment climate. However, any economy desiring sustainable development requires a long-term source of fund. Therefore, this study ascertains the perfor-mance of the stock market and investment growth nexus in Nigeria.Design/methodology/approach – The study is based on the neoclassical growth theory with a slight modification in the wake of Levine’s specification (2003), an augmented investment growth relationship was specified. This study utilises the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) in establishing the co-integration relation between stock market development and investment growth. Gross capital formation was used as a proxy for investment growth while the stock market indicators are market capitalisation ratio, total value traded ratio and turnover ratio. The study utilises data covering 1981 to 2018, sourced from the Nigerian Stock Exchange annual reports and diverse publication of the Nigerian Bureau of Statistics.Findings – The market capitalisation ratio had a negative impact on gross capital for-mation both in the short run and the long run, but its significance is only evident in the short run. The turnover ratio had a negative and significant impact on investment growth. The total value traded ratio exerted a positive and significant impact on gross capital formation both in the short run and the long run. The coefficient of the error cor-rection term was negative and statistically significant. Research implications/limitations – The total value traded ratio enhanced investment growth in Nigeria. Both market capitalisation and turnover ratio dampen investment growth. The Stock Exchange is not efficient and does not possess the amount of liquidity required to finance long term investment need in Nigeria. Emphasis on measures geared towards increasing efficiency and liquidity should be intensified by the government. Mean-while, the sectorial analysis of the impact of stock exchange movements in Nigeria and the use of other estimation techniques may create room for more robust relationships.Originality/value/contribution – The study directly investigates the capability of the Nigerian stock market in driving investment, both in the short and long run.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuxin Wang ◽  
Guanying Wang

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to explore how the price limit policy implemented in 2014 affects initial public offering (IPO) underpricing and long-term performance in China.Design/methodology/approachThe data are the IPOs from Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) and Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SZSE) between 2004 and 2018. The data are firstly divided into the IPOs before the price limit policy and the IPOs after the price limit policy according to the time of issuance. Then the two groups are divided into 4 subsamples according to the market blocks and the P/E ratio. The authors use multiple regression models to explore the effect of price limit policy in each subsample.FindingsThe first-day price limit system for IPOs is similar to the upward fuse mechanism, the purpose of which is to suppress IPO underpricing. However, this study finds that the policy does not suppress IPO underpricing, but increases the underpricing rate in all subsamples. Besides, the long-term performance in each subsample is different from each other. Main Board stocks’ long-term performance is worse after the policy. The policy makes Small and Medium Enterprise Board (SME Board) and Growth Enterprise Market Board (GEM Board) stocks with high P/E ratios perform better in the long term. For SME Board and GEM Board stocks with low P/E ratios, the policy makes no significant effect.Practical implicationsGood policy intentions may sometimes lead to counterproductive effects. However, since the long-term performance of each subsample is different, it is difficult to judge whether the policy should continue to be implemented or cancelled. Implementing different policies for different subsamples may be a better way to solve this problem.Originality/valueThis paper contributes to the study of IPO underpricing and long-term performance from the perspective of price limit policy.


2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (4) ◽  
pp. 23-43
Author(s):  
Hossein Sayyadi Tooranloo ◽  
Salim Karimi ◽  
Khatereh Vaziri

To improve their long-term performance, organizations must maintain their business operations and practices over time. They can do so by engaging in sustainable practices aimed at meeting the interests of the enterprise, and of its suppliers, employees, and customers in the long run. Not surprisingly, the implementation of sustainability practices has expanded in the healthcare industry. Information technology (IT) is a way to promote quality, security, and efficiency in healthcare. IT brings vital information, and so important support to the care point for decision-making. It also allows the assessment of everyday quality turn into as a measured reality. In the present study, the factors affecting the sustainability of electronic supply chains in healthcare centers were identified using library methods and a keyword review of the literature. Then, the relationships between these factors were analyzed using an interpretive- structural modeling approach. The results reveal that infrastructure management and technology management should be considered the most important factors affecting the sustainability of electronic supply chains in healthcare centers.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Deng-Shan Wang ◽  
Miao Jin

This paper investigates the spending and current-account effects of a permanent terms-of-trade change in a dynamic small open economy facing an imperfect world capital market, where the households’ subjective discount rate is a function of savings. Under the assumption that the bond holdings are measured in terms of home goods, it is shown that when the discount rate is a decreasing function of savings, there does not necessarily exist a stable state; however, when the discount rate is an increasing function of savings, a saddle-path stable steady state comes into existence and the Harberger-Laursen-Metzler effect does not exist unambiguously; that is, an unanticipated permanent terms-of-trade deterioration leads to a cut in aggregate expenditure and a current-account surplus. The short-run effects obtained by the technique by Judd (1985, 1987) and Zou (1997) are consistent with the results from the long-run analysis and diagrammatic analysis.


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