Influence of In-State Election Poll Reports on Candidate Preference in 1972

1976 ◽  
Vol 53 (3) ◽  
pp. 457-462 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harold de Bock
Keyword(s):  
Presidential Election ◽  
Candidate Preference ◽  
Election Poll ◽  
Preference Intensity

In a one-sided presidential election, in-state election poll reports may cause the underdog to suffer a loss in preference intensity and turnout motivation.

scholarly journals The 2012 US Presidential Election Polls And Stock Returns

2015 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 66 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tamir Levy ◽  
Joseph Yagil
Keyword(s):  
New York ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
New York Times ◽  
Democratic Candidate ◽  
Election Poll ◽  
Us Presidential Election ◽  
Mitt Romney ◽  
Election Polls ◽  
The Relationship

<p class="ber"><span lang="EN-GB">This study investigates the relationship between daily US presidential election poll results and stock returns. The sample consists of the daily presidential election polls published in the New-York Times for the period between May 31 and November 5, 2012. They include the percentage of support for the Democratic candidate, Barack Obama, and the Republican candidate, Mitt Romney. The findings indicate that stock returns are positively related to the poll results that support the candidate favored to win the election.</span></p>

Crystallization Effect of Television Broadcasts on Nigerian Voters During a Presidential Election

2021 ◽  
pp. 18-39
Author(s):  
Stella Amara Aririguzoh
Keyword(s):  
Political Party ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Survey Method ◽  
Ogun State ◽  
Candidate Preference ◽  
Crystallization Effect

Television is popularly used to offer information to viewers during elections. There will always be citizens who register to participate in an election and then refuse to take further steps, like casting their votes. This study sought to find out if television broadcasts made citizens like these experience the crystallization effect. This effect causes uninterested citizens to make crystal clear choices on particular contestants. This study sought to find out about the crystallization effect on voters in Ado Odo/Ota communities in Ogun State of Nigeria during the 2007 Nigerian presidential election. The survey method was used to get required data from 782 respondents who were not members of any political party, had no candidate preference, and were yet to decide on who to vote for in this election. It seems plain from this study that television broadcasts sharpened these citizens' decisions to make specific choices. These undecided, indifferent, or neutral voters had their ideas crystallized or decisively formed to vote for specific candidates after exposure to television broadcasts.

The RAND Continuous 2012 Presidential Election Poll

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tania Gutsche ◽  
Arie Kapteyn ◽  
Erik Meijer ◽  
Bas Weerman
Keyword(s):  
Presidential Election ◽  
Election Poll

The RAND Continuous 2012 Presidential Election Poll

2014 ◽  
Vol 78 (S1) ◽  
pp. 233-254 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tania L. Gutsche ◽  
Arie Kapteyn ◽  
Erik Meijer ◽  
Bas Weerman
Keyword(s):  
Presidential Election ◽  
Election Poll

Voter Turnout and Preference Aggregation

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 548-586
Author(s):  
Kei Kawai ◽  
Yuta Toyama ◽  
Yasutora Watanabe
Keyword(s):  
Low Income ◽  
Voter Turnout ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Correlation Structure ◽  
Preference Aggregation ◽  
Aggregation Of Preferences ◽  
High Preference ◽  
Us Presidential Election ◽  
Preference Intensity

We study how voter turnout affects the aggregation of preferences in elections. Under voluntary voting, election outcomes disproportionately aggregate the preferences of voters with low voting cost and high preference intensity. We show identification of the correlation structure among preferences, costs, and perceptions of voting efficacy, and explore how the correlation affects preference aggregation. Using 2004 US presidential election data, we find that young, low-income, less-educated, and minority voters are underrepresented. All of these groups tend to prefer Democrats, except for the less educated. Democrats would have won the majority of the electoral votes if all eligible voters had turned out. (JEL D12, D72)

Authoritarianism and Candidate Preference

1965 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 603-604 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jerry Higgins
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Scale Score ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Candidate Preference

20 male, Caucasian undergraduates were administered the California F scale of authoritarianism and subsequently asked for their preference between the two major candidates in the 1964 United States presidential election. Splitting the sample at the median F-scale score, it was found that the higher scorers preferred Goldwater over Johnson, while the lower scorers preferred Johnson over Goldwater.

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