Ground motion prediction equation for crustal earthquakes in Taiwan

2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (4) ◽  
pp. 2129-2164
Author(s):  
Van-Bang Phung ◽  
Chin Hsiung Loh ◽  
Shu Hsien Chao ◽  
Brian SJ Chiou ◽  
Bor-Shouh Huang
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Functional Form ◽  
Hazard Analysis ◽  
Prediction Equation ◽  
Motion Prediction ◽  
Ground Motion Prediction Equation ◽  
Ground Motion Prediction ◽  
Crustal Earthquakes ◽  
Magnitude Scaling

We develop a ground motion prediction equation (GMPE) for estimating horizontal ground motion amplitudes caused by crustal earthquakes, based on an integrated data set that includes strong motion recordings mainly from Taiwan earthquakes and only from large magnitude earthquakes in the NGA-West2 database. This GMPE is developed for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis study, which is introduced as a part of Taiwan Senior Seismic Hazard Analysis Committee Level 3 projects. The functional form developed by Chiou and Youngs was carefully studied to determine the key modeling parameters needed to regress against ground motion in the target region. Using this functional form, the GMPE achieves considerable improvement over previously developed Taiwan GMPEs. In particular, the use of a high-order function in magnitude scaling enables representation of the saturation effects of large earthquakes. Moreover, consideration of focal mechanisms, depth effects, and dip effects are used to correct the magnitude scaling; consideration of nonlinear site amplification is conditioned on VS30 and reference ground motion on rock; and consideration of basin depth effect is a function of Z1.0 in correlation with VS30. In addition, ground motion data used in this study are not only expanded by more than three times as many earthquakes and records compared with a previous Taiwan model but also provide the metadata of these records that were not available or were previously incomplete. In this study, we compare the proposed model with the NGA-West2 models and discuss the regional difference in ground motion in terms of spectral shape, magnitude scaling, distance scaling, depth scaling, style of faulting, and site effects. We provide median and single standard deviations of peak ground acceleration and 5% damped pseudospectral acceleration response ordinates of the orientation-independent average horizontal component of ground motion (RotD50) for the spectral period of 0.01–10 s.

A ground motion based procedure to identify the earthquakes that are the most relevant for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis

2021 ◽  
pp. 875529302098198
Author(s):  
John G Anderson ◽  
Fabrice Cotton ◽  
Dino Bindi
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Time Window ◽  
Hazard Analysis ◽  
Prediction Equation ◽  
Seismic Hazard Analysis ◽  
Motion Prediction ◽  
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion Prediction Equation ◽  
Ground Motion Prediction

A method is proposed to identify within seismic catalogs those earthquakes that are most relevant to the seismic hazard. The approach contrasts with the classical approach to decluster the seismic catalog with the expectation that the remaining main shocks will be the relevant events for the seismic hazard analysis. We apply a time window like in the window declustering approach of Gardner and Knopoff, but the time window is motivated by relevance to engineering. A ground motion criterion replaces the spatial window. An event in the time window is included in the “Maximum Shaking Earthquake Catalog (MSEQ catalog)” if the median ground motion at its epicenter exceeds the predicted median ground motion there from the main shock, using a locally appropriate ground motion prediction equation. Ground motion can be measured by any parameter that is estimated by a ground motion prediction equation. We consider peak acceleration and spectral amplitude (SA) at periods of 0.2, 1.0, and 3.0 s. The longer period parameters systematically remove more small events. The purpose is not to produce a declustered catalog, in which each group of physically related earthquakes is represented by its largest event. Statistical properties of the MSEQ catalog somewhat resemble the corresponding declustered catalog in three tested regions, but the MSEQ catalogs all retain more large-magnitude earthquakes. The MSEQ catalog may better represent the potential hazard in a region, and thus might be considered as an alternative to a declustered catalog in developing the seismicity model for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis.

A Ground-Motion Prediction Equation for the Western and the Southwestern Parts of China Based on Local Strong-Motion Records and an Overseas Reference Model for the Vertical Component

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hao Xing ◽  
John X. Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Ground Motion ◽  
Earthquake Engineering ◽  
Reference Model ◽  
Prediction Equation ◽  
Motion Prediction ◽  
Ground Motion Prediction Equation ◽  
Ground Motion Prediction ◽  
Magnitude Scaling ◽  
The Absolute ◽  
Standard Deviations

ABSTRACT A ground-motion prediction equation for the vertical ground motions from the western and the southwestern parts of China (referred to as SWC) is presented in this study. Based on the Xing and Zhao (2021) study, the Zhao et al. (2017) model (referred to as ZHAO2017) for the shallow crustal earthquakes in Japan was used as the reference model. We used a bilinear magnitude-scaling function hinged at a moment magnitude (Mw) of 7.1. The magnitude-scaling rate for events with Mw>7.1 was determined by records from the SWC dataset and the large events in the Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center Next Generation Attenuation-West2 dataset. Site classes (SCs) were used as the site response proxy. All other parameters were derived from the SWC dataset only. The magnitude-scaling rates for events with Mw≤7.1 in this study are larger than in the ZHAO2017 model at most periods. The absolute values of the geometric attenuation rates are larger, and the absolute values of the anelastic attenuation rates are smaller than in the ZHAO2017 model. The between-event standard deviations are smaller than in the ZHAO2017 model at short periods, and the within-event standard deviations are larger than in the ZHAO2017 model at all periods. The differences in the between-site standard deviations vary significantly from one SC to another. We also find that the between-event and within-event residuals are almost independent of magnitude and source distance. The response spectrum attenuates less rapidly than in the ZHAO2017 model at distances less than 30 km.

Ground motion prediction equation for Taiwan subduction zone earthquakes

2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (3) ◽  
pp. 1331-1358 ◽  
Author(s):  
Van-Bang Phung ◽  
Chin Hsiung Loh ◽  
Shu Hsien Chao ◽  
Norman A Abrahamson
Keyword(s):  
Shear Wave ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Wave Velocity ◽  
Shear Wave Velocity ◽  
Prediction Equation ◽  
Motion Prediction ◽  
Ground Motion Prediction Equation ◽  
Ground Motion Prediction ◽  
Magnitude Scaling ◽  
Site Term

A ground motion prediction equation (GMPE) is presented for computing the median and standard deviation of peak ground acceleration (PGA) and 5% damped pseudo-spectral acceleration (PSA) for periods between 0.01 s and 5.0 s for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) and engineering applications in Taiwan. An integrated strong motion dataset consisting of two subduction earthquake regions was selected from 3314 recordings from Taiwan with M4.5 to M7.1 and 3376 recordings from Japan with M6.5 to M9.1. This dataset was then used to validate, and refit where necessary, the function form provided by Abrahamson et al. for application to Taiwan subduction earthquakes. The proposed model accounts for the extrapolation behaviors associated with the large-magnitude scaling and the near-source scaling terms, both of which were developed empirically by using the combined Taiwan–Japan dataset. The distance attenuation and site term were developed specifically for the Taiwan region. The site term is based on two parameters; the time-averaged shear wave velocity of the top 30 m depth ( VS30) and the depth-to-the-shear wave velocity horizon of 1.0 km/s ( Z1.0).

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