Abstract
Background: Predicting intensive care unit length of stay and outcome following cardiac surgery is currently based on clinical parameters. Novel biomarkers could be employed to improve the prediction models. Methods: We performed a qualitative cytokine screening array to identify highly expressed biomarkers in preoperative blood samples of cardiac surgery patients. After identification of one highly expressed biomarker, growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15), a quantitative ELISA was undertaken. Preoperative levels of GDF-15 were compared in regard to duration of intensive care stay, cardio-pulmonary bypass time and indicators of organ dysfunction.Results: Preoperatively, GDF-15 was highly expressed in addition to several less highly expressed other biomarkers. After qualitative analysis we could show that preoperatively raised levels of GDF-15 was positively associated with prolonged ICU stay exceeding 48 h (median 713 versus 1041 pg/ml, p = 0.003). It was also associated with prolonged mechanical ventilation and rates of severe sepsis but not with dialysis rates or cardio-pulmonary bypass time. In univariate regression, raised GDF-15 levels were predictive of a prolonged ICU stay (OR 1.01, 95% Confidence Interval 1 – 1.02, p= 0.029). On ROC curves, GDF-15 was found to predict prolonged ICU stay (AUC= 0.86, 95% Confidence Interval 0.71 – 0.99, p= 0.003).Conclusion: GDF-15 showed potential as predictor of prolonged intensive care stay following cardiac surgery, which might be valuable for risk stratification models.
Intraoperative base excess and carbon dioxide gap predict length of intensive care stay after cardiac surgery
