scholarly journals Disease-free survival as a surrogate endpoint for overall survival in adjuvant trials of pancreatic cancer: a meta-analysis of 20 randomized controlled trials

BMC Cancer ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Run-Cong Nie ◽  
Xue-Bin Zou ◽  
Shu-Qiang Yuan ◽  
Ying-Bo Chen ◽  
Shi Chen ◽  
...  
HPB ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 19 (11) ◽  
pp. 944-950 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fausto Petrelli ◽  
Gianluca Tomasello ◽  
Michele Ghidini ◽  
Veronica Lonati ◽  
Rodolfo Passalacqua ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kazuhiro Tanaka ◽  
Masanori Kawano ◽  
Tatsuya Iwasaki ◽  
Ichiro Itonaga ◽  
Hiroshi Tsumura

Abstract Background In randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of adjuvant treatment for malignant tumors, event-free survival (EFS) is considered the most acceptable surrogate for overall survival (OS). However, even though EFS has repeatedly been selected as a primary endpoint in RCTs of Ewing sarcoma (ES), the surrogacy of EFS for OS has not been investigated. This study aimed to evaluate the surrogacy of EFS for OS in RCTs of chemotherapy for newly diagnosed ES using a meta-analytic approach. Methods We identified seven RCTs of newly diagnosed ES through a systematic review, and a meta-analysis was performed to evaluate the efficacy and adverse events associated with chemotherapy for previously untreated ES. The correlation between EFS and OS was investigated using weighted linear regression analysis and Spearman rank correlation coefficients (ρ). The strength of the correlation was evaluated using the coefficient of determination (R2). Results A total of 3,612 patients were randomly assigned to 17 treatment arms in the eligible RCTs. The meta-analysis revealed that the hazard ratios for OS and EFS showed significantly better results in the experimental treatment groups with increasing toxicities. The correlation between the hazard ratios for EFS and OS was good (R2 = 0.747, ρ = 0.683), and the correlation tended to be more favorable in cases of localized ES (R2 = 0.818, ρ = 0.929). Conclusions Overall, the trial-level correlation between EFS and OS was good for newly diagnosed ES and was very good in cases of localized disease. EFS may be useful as a surrogate endpoint in RCTs of ES, and the surrogacy of EFS is worth verifying using individual data.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Elahe Seyed Hosseini ◽  
Ali Nikkhah ◽  
Amir Sotudeh ◽  
Marziyeh Alizadeh Zarei ◽  
Fatemeh Izadpanah ◽  
...  

Abstract Purpose An increasing number of studies have reported a significant association between long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) dysregulation and pancreatic cancers. In the present study, we aimed to gather articles to evaluate the prognostic value of long non coding RNA in pancreatic cancer. Experimental design We systematically searched all eligible articles from databases of PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus to meta-analysis of published articles and screen association of multiple lncRNAs expression with clinicopathology and/or survival of pancreatic cancer. The pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were used to analysis of overall survival, disease-free survival and progression-free survival were measured with a fixed or random effects model. Results A total of 39 articles were included in the present meta-analysis. Our results showed that dysregulation of lncRNAs were linked to overall survival (39 studies, 4736 patients HR = 0.41, 95% CI 0.25 ± 0.58, random-effects in pancreatic cancer. Moreover, altered lncRNAs were also contributed to progression-free survival (8 studies, 1180 patients HR: 1.88, 95% CI (1.35–2.62) and disease-free survival (2 studies, 285 patients, HR: 6.07, 95% CI 1.28–28.78). In addition, our findings revealed the association between dysregulated RNAs and clinicopathological features in this type of cancer. Conclusions In conclusion, dysregulated lncRNAs could be served as promising biomarkers for diagnosis and prognosis of pancreatic cancer.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kazuhiro Tanaka ◽  
Masanori Kawano ◽  
Tatsuya Iwasaki ◽  
Ichiro Itonaga ◽  
Hiroshi Tsumura

Abstract Background In randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of adjuvant treatment for malignant tumors, event-free survival (EFS) is considered the most acceptable surrogate for overall survival (OS). However, even though EFS has repeatedly been selected as a primary endpoint in RCTs of Ewing sarcoma (ES), the surrogacy of EFS for OS has not been investigated. This study aimed to evaluate the surrogacy of EFS for OS in RCTs of chemotherapy for newly diagnosed ES using a meta-analytic approach. Methods We identified seven RCTs of newly diagnosed ES through a systematic review, and a meta-analysis was performed to evaluate the efficacy and adverse events associated with chemotherapy for previously untreated ES. The correlation between EFS and OS was investigated by weighted linear regression analysis and Spearman rank correlation coefficients (ρ). The strength of the correlation was evaluated using the coefficient of determination (R2). Results A total of 3,612 patients were randomly assigned to 17 treatment arms in the eligible RCTs. The meta-analysis demonstrated that the hazard ratios for OS and EFS showed significantly better results in the experimental treatment groups with increasing toxicities. The correlation between the hazard ratios for EFS and OS was good (R2 = 0.747, ρ = 0.683), and the correlation tended to be more favorable in cases of localized ES (R2 = 0.818, ρ = 0.929). Conclusions Overall, the trial-level correlation between EFS and OS was good for newly diagnosed ES and was very good in cases of localized disease. Given the rare occurrence of ES and difficulty in conducting large-scale RCTs, EFS may be useful as a surrogate endpoint in RCTs of ES. The surrogacy of EFS is worth verifying using individual data.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
pp. 175883591878850 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katrin M. Sjoquist ◽  
Sarah J. Lord ◽  
Michael L. Friedlander ◽  
Robert John Simes ◽  
Ian C. Marschner ◽  
...  

Background: Progression-free survival (PFS) has been adopted as the primary endpoint in many randomized controlled trials, and can be determined much earlier than overall survival (OS). We investigated whether PFS is a good surrogate endpoint for OS in trials of first-line treatment for epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC), and whether this relationship has changed with the introduction of new treatment types. Methods: In a meta-analysis, we identified summary data [hazard ratio (HR) and median time] from published randomized controlled trials. Linear regression was used to assess the association between treatment effects on PFS and OS overall, and for subgroups defined by treatment type, postprogression survival (PPS) and established prognostic factors. Results: Correlation between HRs for PFS and OS, in 26 trials with 30 treatment comparisons comprising 24,870 patients, was modest ( r2 = 0.52, weighted by trial sample size). The correlation diminished with recency: preplatinum/paclitaxel era, r2 = 0.66; platinum/paclitaxel, r2 = 0.44; triplet combinations, r2 = 0.22; biologicals, r2 = 0.30. The median PPS increased over time for the experimental ( Ptrend = 0.03) and control arms ( Ptrend = 0.003). The difference in median PPS between treatment arms strongly correlated with the difference in median OS ( r2 = 0.83). In trials where the control therapy had median PPS of less than 18 months, correlation between PFS and OS was stronger ( r2 = 0.64) than where the median PPS was longer ( r2 = 0.48). Conclusions: In EOC, correlation in the relative treatment effect between PFS and OS in first-line platinum-based chemotherapy randomized controlled trials is moderate and has weakened with increasing availability of effective salvage therapies.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kazuhiro Tanaka ◽  
Masanori Kawano ◽  
Tatsuya Iwasaki ◽  
Ichiro Itonaga ◽  
Hiroshi Tsumura

Abstract BackgroundIn randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of adjuvant treatment for malignant tumors, event-free survival (EFS) is considered the most acceptable surrogate for overall survival (OS). However, even though EFS has repeatedly been selected as a primary endpoint in RCTs of Ewing sarcoma (ES), the surrogacy of EFS for OS has not been investigated. This study aimed to evaluate the correlation between EFS and OS in RCTs of chemotherapy for newly diagnosed ES using a meta-analytic approach.MethodsWe identified seven RCTs of newly diagnosed ES through a systematic review, and a meta-analysis was performed to evaluate the efficacy and adverse events associated with chemotherapy for previously untreated ES. The correlation between EFS and OS was investigated using weighted linear regression analysis and Spearman rank correlation coefficients (ρ). The strength of the correlation was evaluated using the coefficient of determination (R2). ResultsA total of 3,612 patients were randomly assigned to 17 treatment arms in the eligible RCTs. The meta-analysis revealed that the hazard ratios for OS and EFS showed significantly better results in the experimental treatment groups with increasing toxicities. The correlation between the hazard ratios for EFS and OS was good (R2 = 0.747, ρ = 0.683), and the correlation tended to be more favorable in cases of localized ES (R2 = 0.818, ρ = 0.929). ConclusionsOverall, the trial-level correlation between EFS and OS was good for newly diagnosed ES and was very good in cases of localized disease. EFS may be a useful endpoint in RCTs of ES chemotherapy, and it is worth verifying using individual patient data.


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