scholarly journals Triglyceride-glucose index and the risk of stroke and its subtypes in the general population: an 11-year follow-up

2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Anxin Wang ◽  
Guangyao Wang ◽  
Qian Liu ◽  
Yingting Zuo ◽  
Shuohua Chen ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index was recently suggested to be a reliable surrogate marker of insulin resistance. We aim to investigate the associations between baseline and long-term TyG index with subsequent stroke and its subtypes in a community-based cohort. Methods A total of 97,653 participants free of history of stroke in the Kailuan Study were included. TyG index was calculated as ln (fasting triglyceride [mg/dL] × fasting glucose [mg/dL]/2). Baseline TyG index was measured during 2006–2007. Updated cumulative average TyG index used all available TyG index from baseline to the outcome events of interest or the end of follow up. The outcome was the first occurrence of stroke, including ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage and subarachnoid hemorrhage. The associations of TyG index with outcomes were explored with Cox regression. Results During a median of 11.02 years of follow-up, 5122 participants developed stroke of whom 4277 were ischemic stroke, 880 intracerebral hemorrhage, and 144 subarachnoid hemorrhage. After adjusting for confounding variables, compared with participants in the lowest quartile of baseline TyG index, those in the third and fourth quartile were associated with an increased risk of stroke (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.22, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12–1.33, and adjusted HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.21–1.44, respectively, P for trend < 0.001). We also found a linear association between baseline TyG index with stroke. Similar results were found for ischemic stroke. However, no significant associations were observed between baseline TyG index and risk of intracranial hemorrhage. Parallel results were observed for the associations of updated cumulative average TyG index with outcomes. Conclusions Elevated levels of both baseline and long-term updated cumulative average TyG index can independently predict stroke and ischemic stroke but not intracerebral hemorrhage in the general population during an 11-year follow-up.

Neurology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 94 (9) ◽  
pp. e968-e977 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicolas Raposo ◽  
Andreas Charidimou ◽  
Duangnapa Roongpiboonsopit ◽  
Michelle Onyekaba ◽  
M. Edip Gurol ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTo investigate whether acute convexity subarachnoid hemorrhage (cSAH) associated with acute lobar intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) increases the risk of ICH recurrence in patients with cerebral amyloid angiopathy (CAA).MethodsWe analyzed data from a prospective cohort of consecutive survivors of acute spontaneous lobar ICH fulfilling the Boston criteria for possible or probable CAA (CAA-ICH). We analyzed baseline clinical and MRI data, including cSAH (categorized as adjacent or remote from ICH on a standardized scale), cortical superficial siderosis (cSS), and other CAA MRI markers. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to assess the association between cSAH and recurrent symptomatic ICH during follow-up.ResultsWe included 261 CAA-ICH survivors (mean age 76.2 ± 8.7 years). Of them, 166 (63.6%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 57.7%–69.5%) had cSAH on baseline MRI. During a median follow-up of 28.3 (interquartile range 7.2–57.0) months, 54 (20.7%) patients experienced a recurrent lobar ICH. In Cox regression, any cSAH, adjacent cSAH, and remote cSAH were independent predictors of recurrent ICH after adjustment for other confounders, including cSS. Incidence rate of recurrent ICH in patients with cSAH was 9.9 per 100 person-years (95% CI 7.3–13.0) compared with 1.2 per 100 person-years (95% CI 0.3–3.2) in those without cSAH (adjusted hazard ratio 7.5, 95% CI 2.6–21.1).ConclusionIn patients with CAA-related acute ICH, cSAH (adjacent or remote from lobar ICH) is commonly observed and heralds an increased risk of recurrent ICH. cSAH may help stratify bleeding risk and should be assessed along with cSS for prognosis and clinical management.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Melvin Parasram ◽  
Neal S. Parikh ◽  
Alexander E. Merkler ◽  
Judy H. Ch’ang ◽  
Babak B . Navi ◽  
...  

<b><i>Introduction:</i></b> Non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is associated with poor long-term functional outcomes, but the risk of ischemic stroke among SAH survivors is poorly understood. <b><i>Objectives:</i></b> The aim of this study was to evaluate the risk of ischemic stroke among survivors of SAH. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> We performed a retrospective cohort study using claims data from Medicare beneficiaries from 2008 to 2015. The exposure was a diagnosis of SAH, while the outcome was an acute ischemic stroke, both identified using previously validated <i>ICD-9-CM</i> diagnosis codes. We used Cox regression analysis adjusting for demographics and stroke risk factors to evaluate the association between SAH and long-term risk of ischemic stroke. <b><i>Results:</i></b> Among 1.7 million Medicare beneficiaries, 912 were hospitalized with non-traumatic SAH. During a median follow-up of 5.2 years (IQR, 2.7–6.7), the cumulative incidence of ischemic stroke was 22 per 1,000 patients per year among patients with SAH, and 7 per 1,000 patients per year in those without SAH. In adjusted Cox models, SAH was associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke (HR, 2.0; 95% confidence interval, 1.4–2.8) as compared to beneficiaries without SAH. Similar results were obtained in sensitivity analyses, when treating death as a competing risk (sub HR, 3.0; 95% CI, 2.8–3.3) and after excluding ischemic stroke within 30 days of SAH discharge (HR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1–2.3). <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> In a large, heterogeneous national cohort of elderly patients, survivors of SAH had double the long-term risk of ischemic stroke. SAH survivors should be closely monitored and risk stratified for ischemic stroke.


Stroke ◽  
2001 ◽  
Vol 32 (suppl_1) ◽  
pp. 363-363
Author(s):  
Yousef M Mohammad ◽  
Adnan Qureshi ◽  
M Fareed K Suri ◽  
Zulfiqar Ali ◽  
Lee R Guterman ◽  
...  

P133 Background and Purpose: Isolated systolic hypertension (ISH) is frequently observed in elderly persons. The effect of ISH on the long-term risk for stroke and stroke subtypes is unclear. We performed this study to evaluate the long-term risk of stroke in persons with ISH. METHODS: We evaluated the incidence of stroke and stroke subtypes(ischemic and hemorrhagic) in a nationally representative cohort of 14,047 adults who participated in the First National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey during the 20-year follow-up. ISH was defined as a systolic blood pressure(BP)>160mmHg and diastolic BP<90mmHg. RESULTS: A total of 376 persons with ISH, 8985 persons with normotension, and 4686 persons with classic hypertension were followed. During the follow-up period, the annual incidences of ischemic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage for patients with ISH were 1.7% and .05% respectively. After adjusting for differences in age, race,and gender, the risk for ischemic stroke was increased in persons with ISH compared to persons with normotension (odds ratio [OR]=1.6, 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.1 to 2.2). The increased risk was similar to persons with classic hypertension (OR=1.3, 95% CI=1.03 to 1.6). The risk of intracerebral hemorrhage was increased in persons with classic hypertension (OR=3.0, 95% CI=1.5 to 7.1) but not in persons with ISH (OR=0.7, 95% CI=0.1 to 2.3). CONCLUSION: Persons with ISH are at increased risk for ischemic stroke, similar to those with classic hypertension.


2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xue Tian ◽  
Yingting Zuo ◽  
Shuohua Chen ◽  
Qian Liu ◽  
Boni Tao ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The triglyceride–glucose (TyG) index, which is a simple surrogate marker of insulin resistance, has been suggested as a contributor of cardiovascular disease. However, evidence on the effect of long-term elevation of the TyG index exposure on myocardial infarction (MI) is limited. The current study aimed to evaluate the association of baseline and long-term elevation of the TyG index exposure with the risk of MI. Methods A total of 98,849 participants without MI at baseline (2006) were enrolled from the Kailuan study. The baseline TyG index was calculated as ln [fasting triglyceride (mg/dL) × fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2]. The long-term TyG index was characterized in two ways as follows. The updated mean TyG index was calculated as the mean of TyG index at all previous visits before MI occurred or the end of follow-up; alternatively, the TyG index was calculated as the number of visits with a high TyG index in 2006, 2008, and 2010, ranging from 0 (no exposure) to 3 (had high TyG index at all three study visits). Hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) was estimated using multivariable Cox proportion hazard models. Results During a median follow-up of 11.03 years, 1555 incident MI occurred. In the multivariable-adjusted model, the risk of MI increased with quartiles of the baseline and updated mean TyG index, the HR in quartile 4 versus quartile 1 was 2.08 (95% CI,1.77–2.45) and 1.58 (1.18–2.12), respectively. Individuals with a high TyG index at all three visits had a 2.04-fold higher risk (95% CI, 1.63–2.56) of MI compared with no exposure. Subgroup analyses showed that the associations were more pronounced in women than in men (Pinteraction = 0.0411). Conclusions Elevated levels of the baseline and long-term TyG index are associated with an increased risk of MI. This finding indicates that the TyG index might be useful in identifying people at high risk of developing MI.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Man Li ◽  
Shu-xia Wang ◽  
Yong-kang Su ◽  
Jin Sun ◽  
An-hang Zhang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Risk assessment is essential for the primary prevention of cardiovascular death among general population. Although studies have shown that waist circumference (WC) is positively associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular death among the general population, few studies have investigated the prognostic value of WC during a long-term follow up and the risk threshold of WC remains controversial. We aimed to investigate whether higher level of WC measurements was able to predict mortality in general population.Methods: In this prospective cohort study, a total of 1521 consecutive subjects free of clinical cardiovascular disease were included. The end point was cardiovascular death. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to evaluate the cumulative risk of outcome at different WC levels, and compared by log-rank tests. Univariate and multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models were used to investigate the association between WC and outcomes.Results: During a median follow up of 9.2 years, there were 265 patients died. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates indicated that the patients with higher levels of WC (WC> 94cm) had a significantly increased risk of cardiovascular death (log-rank p<0.001). After adjustment for potential confounders, multiple COX regression models showed that higher level of WC was an independent predictor in developing cardiovascular death (HR 3.02; 95% CI: 1.88–3.83; p<0.001). We saw a significant increase of (area under the curve) AUC in ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curve after addition of WC to a clinical model, for long-term cardiovascular death the increase of AUC 0.766 vs 0.642 (95% CI: 0.787–0.846 p<0.001). The addition of WC to established risk factors significantly improved risk prediction of cardiovascular death (net reclassification index, and integrated discrimination improvement, all p<0.05).Conclusion: Higher level of WC is significantly associated with long-term cardiovascular death. WC may provide incremental prognostic value beyond traditional risks factors.


Stroke ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 52 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Melvin Parasram ◽  
Neal S Parikh ◽  
Alexander E Merkler ◽  
Babak B Navi ◽  
Hooman Kamel ◽  
...  

Background and Purpose: Non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is associated with poor long-term functional outcomes, but the risk of ischemic stroke among SAH survivors is poorly understood. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study using claims data from Medicare beneficiaries from 2008-2015. The exposure was a diagnosis of SAH, while the outcome was an acute ischemic stroke. The exposure and outcomes were identified using previously validated ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes. We excluded patients with prevalent ischemic stroke at the time of SAH diagnosis and those which occurred in the first 90 days after SAH discharge to avoid inclusion of stroke occurring as a medical or procedural complication of SAH. We used Cox regression adjusting for demographics and stroke risk factors to evaluate the association between SAH and long-term risk of ischemic stroke. Results: Among 1.3 million Medicare beneficiaries, 3,171 (0.18%) were diagnosed with non-traumatic SAH. During a median follow-up of 5.3 years (interquartile range [IQR], 2.7- 6.7), the cumulative incidence of ischemic stroke was 92 per 1,000 patients per year among patients with SAH, and 21 per 1,000 patients per year in those without SAH. In multivariable Cox regression analysis, SAH was associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke (hazard ratio, 2.6; 95% confidence interval, 2.4-2.8) as compared to beneficiaries without SAH. Conclusions: In a large, heterogeneous national cohort of elderly patients, we found that survivors of SAH had more than double the long-term risk of ischemic stroke as compared to those without SAH. SAH survivors should be closely monitored and risk stratified for ischemic stroke.


Neurology ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 90 (4) ◽  
pp. e298-e306 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alison J. Price ◽  
F. Lucy Wright ◽  
Jane Green ◽  
Angela Balkwill ◽  
Sau Wan Kan ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTo compare associations of behavioral and related factors for incident subarachnoid hemorrhage and intracerebral hemorrhage and ischemic stroke.MethodsA total of 712,433 Million Women Study participants without prior stroke, heart disease, or cancer reported behavioral and related factors at baseline (1999–2007) and were followed up by record linkage to national hospital admission and death databases. Cox regression yielded adjusted relative risks (RRs) by type of stroke. Heterogeneity was assessed with χ2 tests. When appropriate, meta-analyses were done of published prospective studies.ResultsAfter 12.9 (SD 2.6) years of follow-up, 8,128 women had an incident ischemic stroke, 2,032 had intracerebral hemorrhage, and 1,536 had subarachnoid hemorrhage. In women with diabetes mellitus, the risk of ischemic stroke was substantially increased (RR 2.01, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.84–2.20), risk of intracerebral hemorrhage was increased slightly (RR 1.31, 95% CI 1.04–1.65), but risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage was reduced (RR 0.43, 95% CI 0.26–0.69) (heterogeneity by stroke type, p < 0.0001). Stroke incidence was greater in women who rated their health as poor/fair compared to those who rated their health as excellent/good (RR 1.36, 95% CI 1.30–1.42). Among 565,850 women who rated their heath as excellent/good, current smokers were at an increased risk of all 3 stroke types, (although greater for subarachnoid hemorrhage [≥15 cigarettes/d vs never smoker, RR 4.75, 95% CI 4.12–5.47] than for intracerebral hemorrhage [RR 2.30, 95% CI 1.94–2.72] or ischemic stroke [RR 2.50, 95% CI 2.29–2.72]; heterogeneity p < 0.0001). Obesity was associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke and a decreased risk of hemorrhagic stroke (heterogeneity p < 0.0001). Meta-analyses confirmed the associations and the heterogeneity across the 3 types of stroke.ConclusionClassic risk factors for stroke have considerably different effects on the 3 main pathologic types of stroke.


Author(s):  
Julia Götte ◽  
Armin Zittermann ◽  
Kavous Hakim-Meibodi ◽  
Masatoshi Hata ◽  
Rene Schramm ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Long-term data on patients over 75 years undergoing mitral valve (MV) repair are scarce. At our high-volume institution, we, therefore, aimed to evaluate mortality, stroke risk, and reoperation rates in these patients. Methods We investigated clinical outcomes in 372 patients undergoing MV repair with (n = 115) or without (n = 257) tricuspid valve repair. The primary endpoint was the probability of survival up to a maximum follow-up of 9 years. Secondary clinical endpoints were stroke and reoperation of the MV during follow-up. Univariate and multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to assess independent predictors of mortality. Mortality was also compared with the age- and sex-adjusted general population. Results During a median follow-up period of 37 months (range: 0.1–108 months), 90 patients died. The following parameters were independently associated with mortality: double valve repair (hazard ratio, confidence interval [HR, 95% CI]: 2.15, 1.37–3.36), advanced age (HR: 1.07, CI: 1.01–1.14 per year), diabetes (HR: 1.97, CI: 1.13–3.43), preoperative New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class (HR: 1.41, CI: 1.01–1.97 per class), and operative creatininemax levels (HR: 1.32, CI: 1.13–1.55 per mg/dL). The risk of stroke in the isolated MV and double valve repair groups at postoperative year 5 was 5.0 and 4.1%, respectively (p = 0.65). The corresponding values for the risk of reoperation were 4.0 and 7.0%, respectively (p = 0.36). Nine-year survival was comparable with the general population (53.2 vs. 53.1%). Conclusion Various independent risk factors for mortality in elderly MV repair patients could be identified, but overall survival rates were similar to those of the general population. Consequently, our data indicates that repairing the MV in elderly patients represents a suitable and safe surgical approach.


Stroke ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 48 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Santosh B Murthy ◽  
Alexander E Merkler ◽  
Gino Gialdini ◽  
Abhinaba Chatterjee ◽  
Costantino Iadecola ◽  
...  

Background: There are few data on the long-term risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) among stroke survivors. We aimed to compare the incidence of VTE amongst patients with ischemic stroke versus those with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). Methods: We identified all adults discharged from nonfederal acute care hospitals in CA, NY, and FL between 2005 and 2012 with previously validated ICD-9-CM codes for ischemic stroke and ICH. Our primary outcome of VTE was defined as pulmonary embolism or deep vein thrombosis. To capture incident cases of VTE, we excluded patients with a VTE prior to or during the index stroke. Kaplan-Meier survival statistics were used to calculate the cumulative rate of incident VTE. Cox regression was used to compare the risk of VTE after stroke while adjusting for demographics, vascular risk factors, and Elixhauser comorbidity index. As there was a violation of the proportional-hazards assumption, we calculated separate hazard ratios (HR) for each year of follow-up. Results: We identified 834,660 patients with stroke, of whom 712,440 (85.3%) had ischemic stroke and 112,220 (14.7%) had ICH. Over a mean follow-up of 2.8 (+/-2.4) years, 19,937 (2.4%) developed VTE. After 7 years, the cumulative rate of VTE was 4.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.5-4.9%) in patients with ICH and 4.4% (95% CI, 4.3-4.5%) in patients with ischemic stroke. In multivariable analysis, VTE risk was higher in the first year after ICH compared to ischemic stroke (HR 1.51; 95% CI, 1.43-1.58). However, following the first year, the hazard of VTE was higher among patients with ischemic stroke versus those with ICH (Figure). Conclusions: The risk of VTE after stroke varies by stroke type and time. Patients with ICH have a higher risk of VTE in the first year after stroke as compared to those with ischemic stroke while patients with ischemic stroke have a higher risk beyond 1 year.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Wen Pan ◽  
Min Zhang ◽  
Zhenping Guo ◽  
Wenfeng Xiao ◽  
Chao You ◽  
...  

<b><i>Backgrounds:</i></b> Previous studies reported inconsistent results regarding associations between apolipoprotein E (<i>APOE</i>) polymorphism and clinical outcomes after ischemic stroke (IS), intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), or subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Thus, the study was designed to make a systematic review and meta-analysis regarding the association between <i>APOE</i> polymorphism and clinical outcome after IS, ICH, and SAH. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> To identify studies eligible for this meta-analysis, we searched for articles published before August 2021 in the databases (PubMed, Web of Science, and Google Scholar). We used STATA 12.0 software to compute hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) regarding <i>APOE</i> polymorphism and clinical outcome after IS, ICH, and SAH. <b><i>Results:</i></b> Meta-analysis showed no significant association between <i>APOE</i> polymorphism and functional outcome after IS with fixed effects models (ε4 carrier vs. non-ε4 carrier: HR, 1.00; 95% CI: 0.83–1.21, <i>I</i><sup>2</sup> = 29.4%, <i>p</i> = 0.183; ε2 carrier vs. non-ε2 carrier: HR, 0.92; 95% CI: 0.72–1.16, <i>I</i><sup>2</sup> = 15.6%, <i>p</i> = 0.307). Meta-analysis showed that ICH patients carrying ε4 allele have increased risk of poor outcome in Caucasian population with fixed effects models (ε4 carrier vs. non-ε4 carrier: HR, 1.75; 95% CI: 1.19–2.57, <i>I</i><sup>2</sup> = 0.0%, <i>p</i> = 0.543). Meta-analysis showed no significant association between <i>APOE</i> polymorphism and functional outcomes after SAH with random effects models (ε4 carrier vs. non-ε4 carrier: HR, 1.51; 95% CI: 0.80–2.84, <i>I</i><sup>2</sup> = 57.1%, <i>p</i> = 0.022). <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> In conclusion, the present study demonstrated <i>APOE</i> ε4 carriers show worse functional outcomes after ICH, but not after IS or SAH. More large-scale studies were critical to explore the association between <i>APOE</i> polymorphism and clinical outcome after IS, ICH, and SAH.


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