scholarly journals Inequalities in population health loss by multiple deprivation: COVID-19 and pre-pandemic all-cause disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in Scotland

Author(s):  
Grant M. A. Wyper ◽  
Eilidh Fletcher ◽  
Ian Grant ◽  
Oliver Harding ◽  
Maria Teresa de Haro Moro ◽  
...  

Abstract Background COVID-19 has caused almost unprecedented change across health, education, the economy and social interaction. It is widely understood that the existing mechanisms which shape health inequalities have resulted in COVID-19 outcomes following this same, familiar, pattern. Our aim was to estimate inequalities in the population health impact of COVID-19 in Scotland, measured by disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in 2020. Our secondary aim was to scale overall, and inequalities in, COVID-19 DALYs against the level of pre-pandemic inequalities in all-cause DALYs, derived from the Scottish Burden of Disease (SBoD) study. Methods National deaths and daily case data were input into the European Burden of Disease Network consensus model to estimate DALYs. Total Years of Life Lost (YLL) were estimated for each area-based deprivation quintile of the Scottish population. Years Lived with Disability were proportionately distributed to deprivation quintiles, based on YLL estimates. Inequalities were measured by: the range, Relative Index of Inequality (RII), Slope Index of Inequality (SII), and attributable DALYs were estimated by using the least deprived quintile as a reference. Results Marked inequalities were observed across several measures. The SII range was 2048 to 2289 COVID-19 DALYs per 100,000 population. The rate in the most deprived areas was around 58% higher than the mean population rate (RII = 1.16), with 40% of COVID-19 DALYs attributed to differences in area-based deprivation. Overall DALYs due to COVID-19 ranged from 7 to 20% of the annual pre-pandemic impact of inequalities in health loss combined across all causes. Conclusion The substantial population health impact of COVID-19 in Scotland was not shared equally across areas experiencing different levels of deprivation. The extent of inequality due to COVID-19 was similar to averting all annual DALYs due to diabetes. In the wider context of population health loss, overall ill-health and mortality due to COVID-19 was, at most, a fifth of the annual population health loss due to inequalities in multiple deprivation. Implementing effective policy interventions to reduce health inequalities must be at the forefront of plans to recover and improve population health.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Grant Mark Andrew Wyper ◽  
Eilidh Fletcher ◽  
Ian Grant ◽  
Oliver Harding ◽  
Maria Teresa de Haro Moro ◽  
...  

Background: COVID-19 has caused almost unprecedented change across health, education, the economy and social interaction. It is widely understood that the existing mechanisms which shape health inequalities have resulted in COVID-19 outcomes following this same, familiar, pattern. Our aim was to estimate inequalities in the population health impact of COVID-19 in Scotland, measured by disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in 2020. These were scaled against pre-pandemic inequalities in DALYs combined across all causes, derived from the Scottish Burden of Disease (SBoD) study.Methods: National deaths and daily case data were input into the European Burden of Disease Network consensus model to estimate DALYs. Total Years of Life Lost (YLL) were estimated for each area-based deprivation quintile of the Scottish population. Years Lived with Disability were proportionately distributed to deprivation quintiles, based on YLL estimates. Inequalities were measured by: the range, Relative Index of Inequality (RII), Slope Index of Inequality (SII), and attributable DALYs were estimated by using the least deprived quintile as a reference. Overall, and inequalities in, COVID-19 DALYs were scaled against pre-pandemic estimates of inequalities across all causes from the SBoD study.Results: Marked inequalities were observed across several measures. The SII was 2,048–2,289 COVID-19 DALYs per 100,000 population. The RII was 1.16, meaning that the rate in the most deprived areas was around 58% higher than the mean population rate, with 40% of COVID-19 DALYs attributed to differences in area-based deprivation. Overall DALYs due to COVID-19 ranged from 7–20% of the annual pre-pandemic impact of inequalities in health loss combined across all causes.Conclusion: The substantial population health impact of COVID-19 in Scotland was not shared equally across areas experiencing different levels of deprivation. The extent of inequality due to COVID-19 was similar to averting all annual DALYs due to diabetes. In the wider context of population health loss, overall ill-health and mortality due to COVID-19 was, at most, a fifth of the annual population health loss due to inequalities in multiple deprivation. Implementing effective policy interventions to reduce health inequalities must be at the forefront of plans to recover and improve population health.


The Lancet ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 398 ◽  
pp. S94
Author(s):  
Grant M A Wyper ◽  
Eilidh Fletcher ◽  
Ian Grant ◽  
Oliver Harding ◽  
Maria Teresa de Haro Moro ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Grant Mark Andrew Wyper ◽  
Eilidh Fletcher ◽  
Ian Grant ◽  
Gerry McCartney ◽  
Colin Fischbacher ◽  
...  

Background: Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) combine the impact of morbidity and mortality and can enable comprehensive, and comparable, assessments of direct and indirect health harms due to COVID-19. Our aim was to estimate DALYs directly due to COVID-19 in Scotland, during 2020; and contextualise its population impact relative to other causes of disease and injury.Methods: National deaths and daily case data were used. Deaths were based on underlying and contributory causes recorded on death certificates. We calculated DALYs based on the COVID-19 consensus model and methods outlined by the European Burden of Disease Network. DALYs were presented as a range, using a sensitivity based on Years of Life Lost estimates using: cause-specific; and COVID-19 related deaths. All estimates were for 2020.Findings: In 2020, estimates of COVID-19 DALYs in Scotland ranged from 96,500 to 108,200. Direct COVID-19 DALYs were substantial enough to be framed as the second leading cause of disease and injury, with only ischaemic heart disease having a larger impact on population health. Mortality contributed 98% of total DALYs.Interpretation: The direct population health impact of COVID-19 has been very substantial. Despite unprecedented mitigation efforts, COVID-19 developed from a single identified case in early 2020 to a condition with an impact in Scotland second only to ischaemic heart disease. Periodic estimation of DALYs during 2021, and beyond, will provide indications of the impact of DALYs averted due to the national roll-out of the vaccination programme and other continued mitigation efforts, although new variants may pose significant challenges.


2019 ◽  
Vol 29 (Supplement_4) ◽  
Author(s):  
S T Thomsen ◽  
W de Boer ◽  
S M Pires ◽  
B Devleesschauwer ◽  
S Fagt ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Sufficient intake of fish and limited red meat intake is commonly encouraged by national dietary guidelines to prevent various lifestyle diseases. One way to fulfill these guidelines would be to substitute red meat by fish. However, quantitative evidence of the public health gain of such substitution is lacking. Moreover, contaminants in these foods may compromise nutritional benefits. We aimed to estimate the health impact of substituting red meat by fish in the Danish diet in a risk-benefit assessment (RBA). Our study can support policy makers in defining evidence-based public health strategies. Methods We quantified the health impact of substituting red meat by fish among Danish adults in terms of Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALY) using data from a national dietary survey and food monitoring. We investigated the use of probabilistic methods to model variability in individual substitution behaviors and to assess health impact distributions in RBA of food. Results Health impact of the substitution varied largely by the type of fish consumed and by age and sex of the consumer. We estimated that 134 (95% uncertainty interval: 102; 169) DALYs/100,000 could be averted per year if a mix of lean and fatty fish is consumed in the Danish recommended amounts and intake of red meat decreased among Danish adults. The highest benefit was estimated for women in the childbearing age and for men above 50 years of age. However, a small fraction of women were assigned an overall health loss due to methylmercury exposure during pregnancy and the associated adverse effects in unborn children. Conclusions Our study estimated an overall health gain of substituting red meat by fish in the general Danish adult population, while providing insight in the variability in health impact at the level of individual consumers. Our approach can be applied in other RBAs and the results support the need for targeted public health strategies to ensure consumer health and safety. Key messages The health impact of substituting red meat by fish in Danish adults was quantified in terms of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), while accounting for variability between individuals. We estimated that young women and men above 50 years of age will experience the largest health gain while a small fraction of the women were assigned a health loss due to chemical exposure.


Author(s):  
Rajesh Sharma

Abstract Background This study presents an up-to-date, comprehensive and comparative examination of breast cancer’s temporal patterns in females in Asia in last three decades. Methods The estimates of incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted-life-years and risk factors of breast cancer in females in 49 Asian countries were retrieved from Global Burden of Disease 2019 study. Results In Asia, female breast cancer incidence grew from 245 045[226 259–265 260] in 1990 to 914 878[815 789–1025 502] in 2019 with age-standardized incidence rate rising from 21.2/100 000[19.6–22.9] to 35.9/100 000[32.0–40.2] between 1990 and 2019. The death counts more than doubled from 136 665[126 094–148 380] to 337 822[301 454–375 251]. The age-standardized mortality rate rose marginally between 1990 and 2019 (1990: 12.1[11.0–13.1]; 2019: 13.4[12.0–14.9]). In 2019, age-standardized incidence rate varied from 17.2/100 000[13.95–21.4] in Mongolia to 122.5[92.1–160.7] in Lebanon and the age-standardized mortality rate varied 4-fold from 8.0/100 000 [7.2–8.8] in South Korea to 51.9[39.0–69.8] in Pakistan. High body mass index (5.6%), high fasting plasma glucose (5.6%) and secondhand smoke (3.5%) were the main contributory risk factors to all-age disability-adjusted-life-years due to breast cancer in Asia. Conclusion With growing incidence, escalating dietary and behavioural risk factors and lower survival rates due to late-disease presentation in low- and medium-income countries of Asia, breast cancer has become a significant public health threat. Its rising burden calls for increasing breast cancer awareness, preventive measures, early-stage detection and cost-effective therapeutics in Asia.


2020 ◽  
pp. 095646242095298
Author(s):  
Augusto Cesar Lara de Sousa ◽  
Tatiana de Araujo Eleuterio ◽  
José Victor Afonso Coutinho ◽  
Raphael Mendonça Guimarães

To describe the trends of HIV/AIDS metrics related to the burden of disease for Brazil between 1990 and 2017 we conducted a timeseries analysis for HIV/AIDS indicators by extracting data from the Global Burden of Disease study. We calculated traditional prevalence, incidence and mortality rates, the number of years lost by HIV-related deaths (YLL) and disability (YLD), and disability-adjusted life years (DALY). We estimated time series models and assessed the impact of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) on the same indicators. In the set of disability-adjusted life years (DALY), the highest weight of its magnitude was due to YLL. There was a decline, especially after 1996, of DALY, mortality and YLL for HIV/AIDS. However, YLD, incidence, and prevalence increased over the same period. Also, the analysis of interrupted time series showed that the introduction of HAART into health policy had a significant impact on indicators, especially for DALY and YLL. We need to assess the quality of life of people living with HIV, especially among older adults. In addition, we need to focus on primary prevention, emphasizing methods to avoid infection and public policies should reflect this.


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