The Case for Using Mean Seismic Hazard
Keyword(s):
The Mean
◽
Complete probabilistic seismic hazard analyses incorporate epistemic uncertainties in assumptions, models, and parameters, and lead to a distribution of annual frequency of exceedance versus ground motion amplitude (the “seismic hazard”). For decision making, if a single representation of the seismic hazard is required, it is always preferable to use the mean of this distribution, rather than some other representation, such as a particular fractile. Use of the mean is consistent with modern interpretations of probability and with precedents of safety goals and cost-benefit analysis.
Keyword(s):
2004 ◽
Vol 11
(5)
◽
pp. 307-312
◽
Keyword(s):
2009 ◽
Vol 11
(02)
◽
pp. 245-265
◽
2021 ◽
pp. 278-282
Keyword(s):
2016 ◽
Vol 20
(10)
◽
pp. 4093-4115
◽
Keyword(s):