Early predictors of prolonged overall survival (OS) in patients (pts) on first-line chemotherapy (CT) for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC): An ARCAD study with individual patient data (IPD) on 10,962 pts.

2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 3538-3538 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dirkje Willemien Sommeijer ◽  
Qian Shi ◽  
Everardo D. Saad ◽  
Elisabeth Coart ◽  
Marc E. Buyse ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Metastatic Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Individual Patient Data ◽  
Patient Data ◽  
First Line ◽  
Early Predictors ◽  
Line Chemotherapy

scholarly journals Individual Patient Data Analysis of Progression-Free Survival Versus Overall Survival As a First-Line End Point for Metastatic Colorectal Cancer in Modern Randomized Trials: Findings From the Analysis and Research in Cancers of the Digestive System Database

2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 22-28 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qian Shi ◽  
Aimery de Gramont ◽  
Axel Grothey ◽  
John Zalcberg ◽  
Benoist Chibaudel ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Metastatic Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Individual Patient Data ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Patient Data ◽  
Biologic Agents ◽  
First Line ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
End Point

Purpose Progression-free survival (PFS) has previously been established as a surrogate for overall survival (OS) for first-line metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). Because mCRC treatment has advanced in the last decade with extended OS, this surrogacy requires re-examination. Methods Individual patient data from 16,762 patients were available from 22 first-line mCRC studies conducted from 1997 to 2006; 12 of those studies tested antiangiogenic and/or anti–epidermal growth factor receptor agents. The relationship between PFS (first event of progression or death) and OS was evaluated by using R2 statistics (the closer the value is to 1, the stronger the correlation) from weighted least squares regression of trial-specific hazard ratios estimated by using Cox and Copula models. Results Forty-four percent of patients received a regimen that included biologic agents. Median first-line PFS was 8.3 months, and median OS was 18.2 months. The correlation between PFS and OS was modest (R2, 0.45 to 0.69). Analyses limited to trials that tested treatments with biologic agents, nonstrategy trials, or superiority trials did not improve surrogacy. Conclusion In modern mCRC trials, in which survival after the first progression exceeds time to first progression, a positive but modest correlation was observed between OS and PFS at both the patient and trial levels. This finding demonstrates the substantial variability in OS introduced by the number of lines of therapy and types of effective subsequent treatments and the associated challenge to the use of OS as an end point to assess the benefit attributable to a single line of therapy. PFS remains an appropriate primary end point for first-line mCRC trials to detect the direct treatment effect of new agents.

scholarly journals Bevacizumab-based first-line chemotherapy in elderly patients with metastatic colorectal cancer: an individual patient data based meta-analysis

Oncotarget ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (12) ◽  
pp. 10272-10283 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christine Koch ◽  
Anna M. Schwing ◽  
Eva Herrmann ◽  
Markus Borner ◽  
Eduardo Diaz-Rubio ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Elderly Patients ◽  
Metastatic Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Individual Patient Data ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Patient Data ◽  
First Line ◽  
Line Chemotherapy

Surrogate End Points for Median Overall Survival in Metastatic Colorectal Cancer: Literature-Based Analysis From 39 Randomized Controlled Trials of First-Line Chemotherapy

2007 ◽  
Vol 25 (29) ◽  
pp. 4562-4568 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patricia A. Tang ◽  
Søren M. Bentzen ◽  
Eric X. Chen ◽  
Lillian L. Siu
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Randomized Controlled Trials ◽  
Metastatic Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Controlled Trials ◽  
First Line ◽  
End Points ◽  
Randomized Controlled ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Line Chemotherapy

Purpose Our aims were to determine the correlations between progression-free survival (PFS), time to progression (TTP), and response rate (RR) with overall survival (OS) in the first-line treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer (MCRC), and to identify a potential surrogate for OS. Methods Randomized trials of first-line chemotherapy in MCRC were identified, and statistical analyses were undertaken to evaluate the correlations between the end points. Results Thirty-nine randomized controlled trials were identified containing a total of 87 treatment arms. Among trials, the nonparametric Spearman rank correlation coefficient (rs) between differences (Δ) in surrogate end points (ΔPFS, ΔTTP, and ΔRR) and ΔOS were 0.74 (95% CI, 0.47 to 0.88), 0.52 (95% CI, 0.004 to 0.81), 0.39 (95% CI, 0.08 to 0.63), respectively. The rs for ΔPFS was not significantly different from the rs ΔTTP (P = .28). Linear regression analysis was performed using hazard ratios for PFS and OS. There was a strong relationship between hazard ratios for PFS and OS; the slope of the regression line was 0.54 ± 0.10, indicating that a novel therapy producing a 10% risk reduction for PFS will yield an estimated 5.4% ± 1% risk reduction for OS. Conclusion In first-line chemotherapy trials for MCRC, improvements in PFS are strongly associated with improvements in OS. In this patient population, PFS may be an appropriate surrogate for OS. As a clinical end point, PFS offers increased statistical power at a given time of analysis and a significant lead time advantage compared with OS.

Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Treatment to progression or Not?

2006 ◽  
Vol 24 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 13511-13511
Author(s):  
B. Melosky ◽  
C. Lohrisch ◽  
C. Kollmansberger ◽  
S. Gill ◽  
H. Kennecke ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Metastatic Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Hazard Ratio ◽  
Second Line ◽  
First Line ◽  
First Line Therapy ◽  
Line Therapy ◽  
Number Of Cycles ◽  
Line Chemotherapy

13511 Background: Treatment until progression or planned interruption of first line chemotherapy is common in the therapy for metastatic colorectal cancer and are upon the discretion of the oncologist. A retrospective analysis was performed to determine the impact of these differing therapeutic strategies on overall survival. Methods: Eligible patients were treated between 2002 to 2004 in British Columbia. All patients received chemotherapy with both FOLFOX and FOLFIRI, either first or second line. Records were retrospectively reviewed for treatment interruption, efficacy and toxicity. Overall survival was the primary endpoint. Results: 101 patients were identified. Twenty-three patients who progressed before receiving 8 cycles of chemotherapy and 9 patients who stopped their chemotherapy due to toxicity were excluded. The remaining patients were analyzed for survival. Twenty-three patients were treated to progression of whom 6 received first line FOLFIRI and 17 received first line FOLFOX. The mean number of cycles of first line therapy was was 11.5. Forty six patients received a planned break. Of these, 21pateints received first line FOLFIRI and 25 patients received first line FOLFOX. Mean number of cycles of first line therapy was 9.7. Median survival of patients treated to progression was 16 months compared to 22 months for patients with planned break of therapy (p=0.003). The Hazard ratio was 2.3 (p=0.01) in favor of patients who had a planned break. Uni-variate and multivariate analysis showed no significance of sex, age, site (colon versus rectal), sequence and ECOG status as predictive factors. Conclusion: In this study, patients who were treated until progression with first line chemotherapy with either FOLFOX or FOLFIRI had an inferior survival. Possible explanations for the detrimental hazard ratio for patients treated to progression are decreasing reserve for second line therapy when first line therapy is prolonged and increasing resistance to 5-FU based therapy with prolonged exposure. As this is a retrospective, observational study, other variables not captured by the modeled covariates that may have influenced results. This data suggests that treating to best response and then allowing a break does not detrimentally affect survival. No significant financial relationships to disclose.

scholarly journals Effect of First-Line Chemotherapy Combined With Cetuximab or Bevacizumab on Overall Survival in Patients With KRAS Wild-Type Advanced or Metastatic Colorectal Cancer

JAMA ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 317 (23) ◽  
pp. 2392 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alan P. Venook ◽  
Donna Niedzwiecki ◽  
Heinz-Josef Lenz ◽  
Federico Innocenti ◽  
Briant Fruth ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Metastatic Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Wild Type ◽  
First Line ◽  
Line Chemotherapy

Effect of subsequent chemotherapy on overall survival in first-line chemotherapy with targeted agents for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer: Systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized control trials.

2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 782-782
Author(s):  
Daisuke Sakai ◽  
Toshihiro Kudo ◽  
Aya Kato ◽  
Toshinori Sueda ◽  
Hidekazu Takahashi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Clinical Trials ◽  
Metastatic Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Randomized Clinical Trials ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Cytotoxic Agents ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
First Line ◽  
Line Chemotherapy

782 Background: One of recent standard first line chemotherapies for metastatic colorectal cancer is doublet of cytotoxic agents, fluorouracil and oxaliplatin or irinotecan, in combination with target agent, bevacizumab, or anti-EGFR antibody as cetuximab or panitumumab for KRAS or RAS wild type (WT). In this decade, nevertheless progression free survival (PFS) of clinical trials was little improved, overall survival (OS) had been increased. Methods: We analyzed data from 14 recently published phase III randomized clinical trials in mCRC to correlate the percentage of patients receiving subsequent chemotherapy with the reported OS. Results: Median PFS and OS were 10.3 and 25.0 months, respectively. In all comer trials, median OS is significantly correlated with the percentage of patients who received subsequent chemotherapy after first line chemotherapy of their disease [regression coefficient (R2) = 0.85 p = 0.0018]. In trials with KRAS WT, a correlation between OS and the rate of subsequent therapy was modest [r2 = 0.605, p = 0.0637]. Median PFS and RR were not correlated with median OS. Conclusions: Our results support the strategy of making salvage chemotherapy available to all patients with advanced CRC to maximize OS. In addition, our findings suggest that, with the availability of effective salvage options, PFS might no longer be regarded as the appropriate surrogate end point of OS by which to assess the efficacy of a palliative first-line treatment in CRC.

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