8519 Background: Clinical trial outcomes are usually published when statistical protocol objectives have been met, with short median follow-up not exceeding 5 years. Due to treatment innovations, MM survival beyond 10 years has become more common but formal long-term results are seldom reported. Methods: IFM, SWOG and ARK provide an update of their major trials. IFM-90: 1 AT v standard therapy (STD), IFM-94: 2 v 1 AT, IFM-9902: 2AT ± THAL, IFM-9904: 2AT for high-risk MM; SWOG-9321: 1 AT v STD; TT1: 2 AT with interferon, TT2: 2AT ± THAL, TT3: 2AT + THAL + bortezomib. Results: OS clustered in 3 groups with superior outcomes for TT3/TT2/IFM-99 v TT1 v IFM-94/ IFM-90/SWOG-9321 with 5/10/15-yr estimates of 70%/50%/TE v 57%/35%/20% v 43%/25%/15% (p<0.0001). EFS also clustered in 3 groups with superior outcomes for TT3 v TT2 v remainder with estimates of 71%/TE/TE v 50%/35%/TE v 27%/ 15%/10% (p<0.0001). Among phase III trials, added THAL in TT2 increased 10-yr OS/EFS from 40%/25% to 60%/40% (p=0.04/p=0.0005); 10-yr OS was 30% v 8% with 1 v 0 AT in IFM-90 (p=0.005), 31% v 21% with 2 AT v 1 AT in IFM-94 (p=0.08), and 20% for both arms of S9321. On multivariate analysis involving 2962 patients, OS was adversely affected by B2M >=3.5mg/L (p<0.001), LDH >=ULN (p<0.001), hemoglobin <10g/dL (p=0.001) and albumin <3.5g/dL (p=0.02). 2AT (65%) and THAL (21%) both contributed independently to superior OS (p<0.001, p=0.002); among individual trials, IFM-9902 (19%) and TT2/TT3 (33%) both improved OS significantly (both p<0.001). For each of the 3 major OS clusters, 228 patients could be matched on B2M, LDH, hemoglobin and albumin, with 10-yr OS/EFS estimates of 65%/30% for the TT3/TT2/IFM-9902 group significantly exceeding 30%/15% each for the other 2 groups (p=0.001/p=0.001). Conclusions: A 15-yr EFS plateau of 10% with older trials and superior 10-yr EFS/OS estimates of 50%/35% with recent studies emphasize that cure should be a realistic trial objective in contemporary MM therapy, requiring however very long-term follow-up beyond 15 years. [Table: see text]