Existence and positivity of the limit in processes with a branching structure

1999 ◽  
Vol 36 (1) ◽  
pp. 132-138
Author(s):  
M. P. Quine ◽  
W. Szczotka

We define a stochastic process {Xn} based on partial sums of a sequence of integer-valued random variables (K0,K1,…). The process can be represented as an urn model, which is a natural generalization of a gambling model used in the first published exposition of the criticality theorem of the classical branching process. A special case of the process is also of interest in the context of a self-annihilating branching process. Our main result is that when (K1,K2,…) are independent and identically distributed, with mean a ∊ (1,∞), there exist constants {cn} with cn+1/cn → a as n → ∞ such that Xn/cn converges almost surely to a finite random variable which is positive on the event {Xn ↛ 0}. The result is extended to the case of exchangeable summands.

1999 ◽  
Vol 36 (01) ◽  
pp. 132-138
Author(s):  
M. P. Quine ◽  
W. Szczotka

We define a stochastic process {X n } based on partial sums of a sequence of integer-valued random variables (K 0,K 1,…). The process can be represented as an urn model, which is a natural generalization of a gambling model used in the first published exposition of the criticality theorem of the classical branching process. A special case of the process is also of interest in the context of a self-annihilating branching process. Our main result is that when (K 1,K 2,…) are independent and identically distributed, with mean a ∊ (1,∞), there exist constants {c n } with c n+1/c n → a as n → ∞ such that X n /c n converges almost surely to a finite random variable which is positive on the event {X n ↛ 0}. The result is extended to the case of exchangeable summands.


1977 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 75-88 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lajos Takács

In 1952 Pollaczek discovered a remarkable formula for the Laplace-Stieltjes transforms of the distributions of the ordered partial sums for a sequence of independent and identically distributed real random variables. In this paper Pollaczek's result is proved in a simple way and is extended for a semi-Markov sequence of real random variables.


2016 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-41 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roman Frič ◽  
Martin Papčo

Abstract The influence of “Grundbegriffe” by A. N. Kolmogorov (published in 1933) on education in the area of probability and its impact on research in stochastics cannot be overestimated. We would like to point out three aspects of the classical probability theory “calling for” an upgrade: (i) classical random events are black-and-white (Boolean); (ii) classical random variables do not model quantum phenomena; (iii) basic maps (probability measures and observables { dual maps to random variables) have very different “mathematical nature”. Accordingly, we propose an upgraded probability theory based on Łukasiewicz operations (multivalued logic) on events, elementary category theory, and covering the classical probability theory as a special case. The upgrade can be compared to replacing calculations with integers by calculations with rational (and real) numbers. Namely, to avoid the three objections, we embed the classical (Boolean) random events (represented by the f0; 1g-valued indicator functions of sets) into upgraded random events (represented by measurable {0; 1}-valued functions), the minimal domain of probability containing “fractions” of classical random events, and we upgrade the notions of probability measure and random variable.


2006 ◽  
Vol 43 (1) ◽  
pp. 79-114
Author(s):  
Han-Ying Liang ◽  
Jong-Il Baek ◽  
Josef Steinebach

Let X1, X2,… be independent, but not necessarily identically distributed random variables in the domain of attraction of a stable law with index 0<a<2. This paper uses Mn=max 1?i?n|Xi| to establish a self-normalized law of the iterated logarithm (LIL) for partial sums. Similarly self-normalized increments of partial sums are studied as well. In particular, the results of self-normalized sums of Horváth and Shao[9]under independent and identically distributed random variables are extended and complemented. As applications, some corresponding results for self-normalized weighted sums of iid random variables are also concluded.


1969 ◽  
Vol 10 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 219-230
Author(s):  
C. R. Heathcote

Let X1, X2,…be independent and identically distributed non-lattice random variables with zero, varianceσ2<∞, and partial sums Sn = X1+X2+…+X.


2014 ◽  
Vol 23 (5) ◽  
pp. 670-685 ◽  
Author(s):  
MARGARET ARCHIBALD ◽  
ARNOLD KNOPFMACHER

We consider samples of n geometric random variables with parameter 0 < p < 1, and study the largest missing value, that is, the highest value of such a random variable, less than the maximum, that does not appear in the sample. Asymptotic expressions for the mean and variance for this quantity are presented. We also consider samples with the property that the largest missing value and the largest value which does appear differ by exactly one, and call this the LMV property. We find the probability that a sample of n variables has the LMV property, as well as the mean for the average largest value in samples with this property. The simpler special case of p = 1/2 has previously been studied, and verifying that the results of the present paper coincide with those previously found for p = 1/2 leads to some interesting identities.


1970 ◽  
Vol 7 (01) ◽  
pp. 89-98
Author(s):  
John Lamperti

In the first part of this paper, we will consider a class of Markov chains on the non-negative integers which resemble the Galton-Watson branching process, but with one major difference. If there are k individuals in the nth “generation”, and are independent random variables representing their respective numbers of offspring, then the (n + 1)th generation will contain max individuals rather than as in the branching case. Equivalently, the transition matrices Pij of the chains we will study are to be of the form where F(.) is the probability distribution function of a non-negative, integervalued random variable. The right-hand side of (1) is thus the probability that the maximum of i independent random variables distributed by F has the value j. Such a chain will be called a “maximal branching process”.


1986 ◽  
Vol 23 (02) ◽  
pp. 332-340
Author(s):  
Chern-Ching Chao ◽  
John Slivka

For each positive integer n, let Sn be the nth partial sum of a sequence of i.i.d. random variables which assume the values +1 and −1 with respective probabilities p and 1 – p, having mean μ= 2p − 1. The exact distribution of the random variable , where sup Ø= 0, is given for the case that λ &gt; 0 and μ+ λ= k/(k + 2) for any non-negative integer k. Tables to the 99.99 percentile of some of these distributions, as well as a limiting distribution, are given for the special case of a symmetric simple random walk (p = 1/2).


1989 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 191-198 ◽  
Author(s):  
Colin M. Ramsay

AbstractWe consider a risk generating claims for a period of N consecutive years (after which it expires), N being an integer valued random variable. Let Xk denote the total claims generated in the kth year, k ≥ 1. The Xk's are assumed to be independent and identically distributed random variables, and are paid at the end of the year. The aggregate discounted claims generated by the risk until it expires is defined as where υ is the discount factor. An integral equation similar to that given by Panjer (1981) is developed for the pdf of SN(υ). This is accomplished by assuming that N belongs to a new class of discrete distributions called annuity distributions. The probabilities in annuity distributions satisfy the following recursion:where an is the present value of an n-year immediate annuity.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Serkan Eryilmaz

The study of stress-strength reliability in a time-dependent context needs to model at least one of the stress or strength quantities as dynamic. We study the stress-strength reliability for the case in which the strength of the system is decreasing in time and the stress remains fixed over time; that is, the strength of the system is modeled as a stochastic process and the stress is considered to be a usual random variable. We present stochastic ordering results among the lifetimes of the systems which have the same strength but are subjected to different stresses. Multicomponent form of the aforementioned stress-strength interference is also considered. We illustrate the results for the special case when the strength is modeled by a Weibull process.


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