scholarly journals Catastrophe Economics: The National Flood Insurance Program

2010 ◽  
Vol 24 (4) ◽  
pp. 165-186 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erwann O Michel-Kerjan

Hurricane Betsy, which hit Louisiana September 9, 1965, was one of the most intense, deadly, and costly storms ever to make landfall in the United States: it killed 76 people in Louisiana and caused $1.5 billion in damage—equal to nearly $10 billion in 2010 dollars. In 1965, no flood insurance was available, so victims had to rely on friends and family, charities, or federal relief. After that catastrophe, the U.S. government established a new program in 1968—the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP)—to make flood insurance widely available. Now, after more than 40 years of operation, the NFIP is today one of the longest standing government-run disaster insurance programs in the world. In this paper, I present an overview of the 40 years of operation of the National Flood Insurance Program, starting with how and why it was created and how it has evolved to now cover $1.23 trillion in assets. I analyze the financial balance of the NFIP between 1969 and 2008. Excluding the 2005 hurricane season (which included Hurricane Katrina) as an outlier, policyholders have paid nearly $11 billion more in premiums than they have received in claim reimbursements over that period. However, the program has spent an average of 40 percent of all collected premiums on administrative expenses, more than three quarters of which were paid to private insurance intermediaries who sell and manage flood insurance policies on behalf of the federal government but do not bear any risk. I present challenges the NFIP faces today and propose ways those challenges might be overcome through innovative modifications.

2014 ◽  
Vol 01 (01) ◽  
pp. 1450001 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carolyn Kousky ◽  
Howard Kunreuther

There is often tension between setting insurance premiums that reflect risk and dealing with equity/affordability issues. The National Flood Insurance Program in the United States recently moved toward elimination of certain premium discounts, but this raised issues with respect to the affordability of coverage for homeowners in flood-prone areas. Ultimately, Congress reversed course and reinstated discounted rates for certain classes of policyholders. We examine the tension between risk-based rates and affordability through a case study of Ocean County, New Jersey, an area heavily damaged by Hurricane Sandy. We argue that the NFIP must address affordability, but that this should not be done through discounted premiums. Instead, we propose a means-tested voucher program coupled with a loan program for investments in hazard mitigation.


2017 ◽  
Vol 04 (02) ◽  
pp. 1750001 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carolyn Kousky ◽  
Brett Lingle ◽  
Leonard Shabman

Despite the availability of flood insurance in the US through the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), many homeowners at risk of floods are not insured. The program went deeply into debt after Hurricane Katrina in 2005 and Congress adopted multiple reforms to NFIP rate setting in 2012 and 2014. In response to the ongoing concern about the cost of NFIP policies, as well as multiple misunderstandings about NFIP rates, we simulate NFIP premiums for a sample of homes by constructing a premium calculator based on FEMA rating tables. These simulations highlight several aspects of NFIP rating in need of more attention. First, there are many implicit and explicit cross-subsidies in NFIP pricing, potentially distorting risk information and incentives. Second, NFIP rating is complicated, which can make it difficult for homeowners and untrained agents to evaluate options. Finally, the premiums we present offer insight into the ongoing debate about affordability of flood insurance by highlighting where policies cost the most. FEMA is actively exploring rate reform, which may address some of these concerns.


Author(s):  
Okmyung Bin ◽  
John Bishop ◽  
Carolyn Kousky

AbstractThis study examines possible redistributional effects of the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), using a nationwide database of flood insurance policies and claims between 2001 and 2013 from the Federal Emergency Management Agency. Applying methods from the tax and transfer progressivity literature, we use the departure from per capita income proportionality at the zip code level as our measure of progressivity. Our findings indicate that premiums as a percentage of coverage purchased are regressive: premium shares are larger than income shares for lower-income zip codes. Payouts, however, also as a percentage of coverage purchased, are progressive, meaning lower-income zip codes receive a larger portion of claims paid. Overall net premiums (premiums – payouts) divided by coverage are also regressive. Our findings are driven by certain aspects of the current rate structure of the NFIP, as well as how income is related to risk. We discuss potential policies to provide assistance to lower-income households in purchasing flood insurance.


Author(s):  
Christina Lindemer ◽  
Jeffrey Gangai ◽  
Christopher Mack ◽  
Elena Drei-Horgan ◽  
Darryl Hatheway

Flood Insurance Studies (FISs) produced by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) per the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) regulations and guidelines adopt storm-induced erosion criteria often called the “540 rule”. The methods used in the erosion analysis have been in place since the 1980s. The method requires dunes to be classified as fully eroded, or “removed”, when their cross-sectional reservoir is smaller than 540 square feet. Since the rule’s first application, additional data and recent evidence have become available leading FEMA to identify this approach as an area of the program in need of updating and improvement. Experts involved in conducting coastal hazard analyses for FEMA studies recommend exploring opportunities to improve FEMA guidelines for erosion criterion and revise NFIP regulations and guidance, as needed, to ensure that storm-related erosion hazards are appropriately evaluated and mapped along US coastlines.


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