Stock Market Development and Economic Growth in Nigeria : Application of Granger Causality Test

2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 95-100
Author(s):  
Ogundina John Ayodele ◽  
Ashamu Sikiru Oyerinde
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Stock Market Development

scholarly journals Financial Innovation, Stock Market Development, and Economic Growth: An Application of ARDL Model

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 69 ◽  
Author(s):  
Md. Qamruzzaman ◽  
Jianguo Wei
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Financial Innovation ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Testing Approach

This study aims to explore the relationship between economic growth, financial innovation, and stock market development of Bangladesh for the period 1980–2016. To investigate long-run cointegration, this study used the autoregressive distributed lagged (ARDL) bounds testing approach. In addition, the Granger-causality test is used to identify directional causality between research variables under the error correction term. Study findings from the ARDL bound testing approach confirm the existence of a long-run association between financial innovation, stock market development, and economic growth. Furthermore, the findings from the Granger-causality test support bidirectional causality between financial innovation, economic growth and stock market development, and economic growth both in the long run and short run. These findings support the theory that market-based financial development and financial innovation in the financial system can spur economic development.

scholarly journals IMPACT OF STOCK MARKET DEVELOPMENT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE

Globus ◽  
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
T.M. Aliyev
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Oil Sector

Development of non-oil sector of Azerbaijan was always one of the main priorities of the government. Oil sector of the economy was well developed since Azerbaijan got its independence, but in order to use the oil source more effectively it was determined to diversify the funds into non-oil sector of the economy, which in the end gave huge boost to most industries of the economy and led to increase of foreign direct investment. However, another source of the foreign direct investment and investor attraction – stock markets, were not developed and organized properly up until 1998, which was mainly due to outdated procedures left from USSR, absence of principles, methodology and understanding of how stock market can play huge role in expansion of economy and attraction of foreign investment. Nowadays, Azerbaijan has all possibilities to widen the stock market, enable easy way of increasing number of small businesses, startups and open the doors for them to global economy and lead to speedy expansion of the businesses. This research analyses the possible relationship between stock market development and economic growth, in order to predict possibility of positive impact of stock market on economic growth, overall social economic welfare of the country and business environment. For the purposes of the research, statistical figures of the country`s main economic indexes were collected: gross domestic product value, foreign direct investment value, stock market liquidity and turnover values, which were then analyzed and tested on various levels of cointegration test, Granger Causality test, vector error correction model and etc. All the analysis were done on statistical software Stata 11 based on figures of 1998-2016. The outcome of the Johansen-Julius shows existence of cointegration and by that VECM test proves relationship between stock market and economic growth in long run, while Wald Test confirms correction of this growth in short term by given explanatory variables. Hence, Granger causality test is conducted further, which determines bidirectional relationship between 3 variables: foreign direct investment, GDP and LIQ (stock market liquidity level). Based on the outcome of the analysis, study concludes that expansion of stock market and increase in foreign direct investment will have chain effect which leads to economic growth and social welfare in Azerbaijan.

scholarly journals Applying the vector error correction model (VECM) to analyze the relationship between economic growth and stock market development in Vietnam

2014 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 73-84
Author(s):  
Nhung Thi Phuong Nguyen
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Vector Error Correction Model ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Turnover Ratio ◽  
Vector Error

The paper researchs the cause-effect relationship between economic growth and stock market development in Vietnam by using vector error correction model (VECM). The results prove that there is a long-term relationship between Vietnamese economic growth and its stock market. Besides, the Granger causality test illustrates that there exists a unidirectional relationship which Vietnamese stock maket development will cause Granger - causality to the economic growth. Thanks to its market capitalization size, Vietnamese stock market performs its role in funding for the economy. But there is not enough evidence to conclude that the stock market’s liquidity and turnover ratio can cause Granger causality to its economic growth. The other findings show that there is only a small contribution ratio of the stock market to the economic growth by using variance decomposition of GDP. Finally, the paper also suggests some policies for Vietnamese Government in improving the stock market’s liquidity and turnover ratio to contribute to the economy in the future.

scholarly journals Stock market and economic growth: Evidence from Granger causality test

2018 ◽  
pp. 20-29
Author(s):  
Tan Zhongming ◽  
◽  
Koomson Prince ◽  
Ding Guoping ◽  
Chibsah Rahmatu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test

scholarly journals Stock market development, foreign capital inflows and economic growth in Zimbabwe: A multivariate causality test

2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 313-322
Author(s):  
Kunofiwa Tsaurai ◽  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Capital Inflows ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Foreign Capital Inflows ◽  
Variable Bias

In this study we examine the dynamic nexus between stock market development and economic growth – using time-series data from Zimbabwe. The causal relationship between stock market development and economic growth has been a subject of extensive debate in recent years. In an attempt to address the omission-of-variable bias, which has not been addressed by many previous studies, we have incorporated savings as a third variable in the bivariate setting between stock market development and economic growth – thereby creating a multivariate simulation. The study uses the Johansen–Juselius (Johansen and Juselius, 1990) (maximum likelihood) and a dynamic specification model to examine this linkage. The empirical results reveal that there is a distinct causal flow from stock market development to economic growth – without any feedback in Zimbabwe. The results also show that there is a unidirectional causal flow from savings to economic growth, and from stock market development to savings.

scholarly journals Stock Market Development and Economic Growth in Bangladesh: An Empirical Appraisal

2019 ◽  
pp. 252-258
Author(s):  
Md. Shakhaowat Hossin ◽  
Md. Shafiul Islam
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Policy Formulation ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Test Results ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
The Impact

This article seeks to examine the impact of the Bangladesh’s stock market development on its economic growth from the period of 1989-2012. We have used Johansen Cointegration test to estimate the long-run equilibrium relationship between the variables and the Granger causality test was conducted in order to establish causal relationship, while the model was estimated using the error correction model (ECM). Johansen co-integration test results show that the Bangladesh’s stock market development and economic growth are co-integrated. This indicates that a long run relationship exists between stock market development and economic growth in Bangladesh. The causality test results suggest a unidirectional causality from stock market development to the economic growth. On the other hand, there is no “reverse causation” from economic growth to stock market development. The evidence from this study reveals that the activities in the stock market tend to impact positively on the economy. It is recommended therefore that stock market regulatory authority should therefore address policy issues that are capable of boosting the investors’ confidence through improved policy formulation and creation of awareness.

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