Follow-up after emergency laparotomy suggests high 1- and 5-year mortality with risk stratified by ASA

Author(s):  
K Nicoll ◽  
J Lucocq ◽  
T Khalil ◽  
M Khalil ◽  
H Watson ◽  
...  

Introduction We investigated all-cause mortality following emergency laparotomy at 1 and 5 years. We aimed to establish a basis from which to advise patients and relatives on long-term mortality. Methods Local data from a historical audit of emergency laparotomies from 2010 to 2012 were combined with National Emergency Laparotomy Audit (NELA) data from 2017 to 2020. Covariates collected included deprivation status, preoperative blood work, baseline renal function, age, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) grade, operative time, anaesthetic time and gender. Associations between covariates and survival were determined using multivariate logistic regression and Kaplan–Meier analysis. We used patients undergoing laparoscopic cholecystectomy between 2015 and 2020 as controls. Results ASA grade was the best discriminator of long-term outcome following laparotomy (n=894) but was not a predictor of survival following cholecystectomy (n=1,834), with mortality being significantly greater in the laparotomy group. Following cholecystectomy, 95% confidence intervals for survival at 5 years were 98–99%. Following laparotomy these intervals were: ASA grade 1, 79–96%; ASA grade 2, 69–82%; ASA grade 3, 44–58%; ASA grade 4, 33–48%; and ASA grade 5, 4–51%. The majority of deaths (%) occurred after 30 days. Conclusions Emergency laparotomy is associated with a significantly increased risk of death in the following 5 years. The risk is strongly correlated to ASA. Thirty-day mortality estimation is not a good basis on which to advise patients and carers on long-term outcomes. ASA score can be used to predict long-term outcomes and to guide patient counsel.

2021 ◽  
Vol 108 (Supplement_7) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nourelhuda Darwish ◽  
Elsammoual Mohammed ◽  
Ibrahim Warrag ◽  
AdeelAbbas Dhahri ◽  
Bogdan Ivanov

Abstract Aim NELA is a project that was introduced in the UK since 2013, aiming to improve quality of care for patients undergoing emergency laparotomy.  NELA mortality risk calculator”was launched in 2017, which estimates the risk of death within 30 days of emergency laparotomy.  Our aim is to determine the short-term (30-day) and long-term (12 months) outcome in patients undergoing emergency laparotomy surgery and compare this with the estimated scores that were documented in the NELA website. Methods This is retrospective study involving patients who underwent emergency laparotomy surgery in the year of 2019. The primary outcome is to determine short-term (30-day) mortality. Results A total of 135 patients were included. The overall 30-day mortality was 8.8% (12/135). 55.77% (78/135) had NELA mortality score of < 5%. Only 1 out of these (1.28%) died within 30 days. (4/78,5.12%) died in 6 to 12 months period of this group. 9 patients (11.53%) had NELA score > 30%, of which 6 (66.66%) died within 30 days and 1 died within 6 months. 26.96% (48/135) had NELA scores 55 to 30%, 5 of them (10.41%) died within 30 days while 7 (14.58%) died within 6-12 months.  Patients with NELA scores more than 5% who survived the operation had higher chance of 30-day complications (25.58%, 11/43), when compared to those with scores less than 5% (11.68%, 9/77). Conclusion NELA mortality score has high accuracy especially if it was >30%. In addition, high NELA scores are associated with increased risk of post operative complications.


2018 ◽  
Vol 49 (5) ◽  
pp. 750-753 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joanna Moncrieff ◽  
Sandra Steingard

AbstractNew studies of long-term outcomes claim to show that taking antipsychotics on a continuous and indefinite basis is the best approach for people diagnosed with a first episode of psychosis or schizophrenia. A 10-year follow-up of a trial of quetiapine maintenance, for example, found a higher proportion of people with a poor composite outcome in the group initially randomised to placebo. However, most people classified as showing poor outcome were rated as having a mild score on a single psychotic symptom; there were no differences in overall symptoms, positive or negative symptoms or level of functioning. Moreover, 16% of participants did not have a follow-up interview and data from the end of the original trial were used instead. A study using a Finnish database suggested that mortality and readmission were higher in people who did not start long-term antipsychotic treatment or who discontinued it as compared with long-term continuous users. However, the analysis did not control for important confounders and is likely to reflect the fact that people who do not comply with treatment are at higher risk of death due to underlying health risks and behaviours. The analysis showed a slightly higher risk of readmission among non-users of antipsychotics compared with long-term users and a more substantial increased risk among people who discontinued treatment. However, follow-up ceased at the first readmission and therefore eventual, long-term outcome was not assessed. Speed of reduction and whether it was done with or without clinical support were also not distinguished.


2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 378-378
Author(s):  
Gaya Spolverato ◽  
Yuhree Kim ◽  
Georgios A Margonis ◽  
Martin Makary ◽  
Christopher Lee Wolfgang ◽  
...  

378 Background: Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) may be indicative of the immune response around the time of surgery. We sought to determine whether NLR or PLR were associated with outcomes of patients undergoing surgery for a hepatopancreatico-biliary (HPB) malignancy. Methods: Between 2010-2011, 289 patients who underwent an HPB procedure for a malignant indication were identified. Clinicopathological characteristics, NLR and PLR, as well as short- and long-term outcomes were analyzed. High NLR and PLR were classified using a cut-off value of 3 and 150, respectively, based on ROC analysis. Results: Median patient age was 63 years and 52.3% were female. The majority of tumors were pancreatic in origin (67.2%), while a subset were primary (10.3%) or secondary (22.5%) liver tumors. Patients with low vs. high NLR and PLR had similar baseline characteristics with regard to performance status and tumor stage (all P>0.05). Operative interventions included pancreaticoduodenectomy (55.0%), ≤hemi-hepatectomy (29.1%), or extended hepatectomy (2.4%). Within 90-days of surgery, 143 patients experienced a complication for a morbidity of 49.5% (pancreas: 54.9% vs. liver: 40.0%). Patients with either an elevated NLR (OR=1.72) or PLR (OR=2.15) were at higher risk of a postoperative complication (both P<0.05). Among patients with a pancreatic, primary or secondary liver tumor, 3-year survival was 38.6%, 43.0%, and 65.0%, respectively. While elevated NLR was not associated with long-term outcome (HR=1.36)(P=0.14), patients with an elevated PLR had a higher risk of death (HR=2.14)(P=0.01). Conclusions: Patients with a high NLR or PLR had an increased risk of a perioperative complication. Elevated PLR was also a predictor of worse survival among patients with HPB malignancy undergoing resection.


2007 ◽  
Vol 25 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 520-520 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. Wapnir ◽  
J. Dignam ◽  
T. B. Julian ◽  
S. Land ◽  
E. P. Mamounas ◽  
...  

520 Background: DCIS patients treated with lumpectomy have a very favorable outcome but are at risk for IBTR. Local control is improved by radiotherapy (RT) and adjuvant tamoxifen (TAM). Local failures, specifically invasive IBTRs (I-IBTR), may impact on long-term outcome. We present long-term outcome results from a cohort of DCIS patients from two NSABP randomized trials. Patients and Methods: A total of 2,615 women with primary DCIS from NSABP B-17 and B-24 (randomized from 1985 to 1994) were included. Median follow-up was > 12 yrs. In B-17 treatment was lumpectomy (LO, 403) or lumpectomy with whole breast irradiation (LRT, 410). In B-24 patients received LRT (901) or LRT plus TAM [901]. Hazard ratio and cumulative incidence of IBTR were examined by treatment. Mortality hazard was evaluated in relation to prior IBTR. Results: IBTR was a first failure in 465 patients (243 invasive, 222 noninvasive). The 12 year cumulative incidence of all IBTRs was 32.9% for LO, 15.8% LRT, and 12.5% LRT+TAM. RT significantly reduced I-IBTR (LRT/LO hazard ratio (HR) = 0.39; 95% confidence interval (CI) =0.26 to 0.59). TAM conferred additional benefit on I-IBTR (LRT+TAM/LRT HR=0.68; 95% CI= 0.48 to 0.97). Overall mortality was low. Women with I-IBTR had a two-fold greater mortality risk relative to those without I-IBTR (HR=2.08; 95% CI = 1.46 to 2.98). The effect was greater for LRT patients (HR=3.04; 95% CI= 1.92 to 4.84) than for LO patients (HR=1.17; 95% CI = 0.57 to 2.39). For LRT+TAM patients, the effect was similar to that for LRT patients HR=1.91; 95% CI= 0.76 to 4.78). Conclusions: As in cases of I- IBTR after an invasive index tumor, the occurrence of an I-IBTR with a DCIS index tumor, particularly after RT, confers increased risk for subsequent mortality. No significant financial relationships to disclose.


Healthcare ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (8) ◽  
pp. 994
Author(s):  
Hanne Lademann ◽  
Karl Abshagen ◽  
Anna Janning ◽  
Jan Däbritz ◽  
Dirk Olbertz

Therapeutic hypothermia (THT) is the recommended treatment for neuroprotection in (near) term newborns that experience perinatal asphyxia with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy. The benefit of THT in preterm newborns is unknown. This pilot study aims to investigate long-term outcomes of late preterm asphyctic infants with and without THT compared to term infants. The single-center, retrospective analysis examined medical charts of infants with perinatal asphyxia born between 2008 and 2015. Long-term outcome was assessed using the Bayley Scales of Infant Development 2 at the age of (corrected) 24 months. Term (n = 31) and preterm (n = 8) infants with THT showed no differences regarding their long-term outcomes of psychomotor development (Psychomotor Developmental Index 101 ± 16 vs. 105 ± 11, p = 0.570), whereas preterm infants had a better mental outcome (Mental Developmental Index 105 ± 13 vs. 93 ± 18, p = 0.048). Preterm infants with and without (n = 69) THT showed a similar mental and psychomotor development (Mental Developmental Index 105 ± 13 vs. 96 ± 20, p = 0.527; Psychomotor Developmental Index 105 ± 11 vs. 105 ± 15, p = 0.927). The study highlights the importance of studying THT in asphyctic preterm infants. However, this study shows limitations and should not be used as a basis for decision-making in the clinical context. Results of a multicenter trial of THT for preterm infants (ID No.: CN-01540535) have to be awaited.


2010 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 145-149 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kyung Sun Song ◽  
Ji Hoon Phi ◽  
Byung-Kyu Cho ◽  
Kyu-Chang Wang ◽  
Ji Yeoun Lee ◽  
...  

Object Glioblastoma is the most common primary malignant brain tumor; however, glioblastoma in children is less common than in adults, and little is known about its clinical outcome in children. The authors evaluated the long-term outcome of glioblastoma in children. Methods Twenty-seven children were confirmed to have harbored a glioblastoma between 1985 and 2007. The clinical features and treatment outcomes were reviewed retrospectively. All patients underwent resection; complete resection was performed in 12 patients (44%), subtotal resection in 12 patients (44%), and biopsy in 3 patients (11%). Twenty-four patients (89%) had radiation therapy, and 14 (52%) patients received chemotherapy plus radiation therapy. Among the latter, 5 patients had radiation therapy concurrent with temozolomide chemotherapy. Four patients with small-size recurrent glioblastoma received stereotactic radiosurgery. Results The median overall survival (OS) was 43 months, and the median progression-free survival was 12 months. The OS rate was 67% at 1 year, 52% at 2 years, and 40% at 5 years. The median OS was significantly associated with tumor location (52 months for superficially located tumors vs 7 months for deeply located tumors; p = 0.017) and extent of removal (106 months for completely resected tumors vs 11 months for incompletely resected tumors; p < 0.0001). Conclusions The prognosis of glioblastoma is better in children than in adults. Radical resection followed by concurrent chemoradiation therapy may be the initial treatment of choice.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan-Xia Yu ◽  
Yuan Yang ◽  
Yan-Bing Wu ◽  
Xiao-Juan Wang ◽  
Li-Li Xu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Medical thoracoscopy (MT) is recommended in patients with undiagnosed exudative pleural effusion and offers a degree of diagnostic sensitivity for pleural malignancy. However, not all patients who undergo MT receive an exact diagnosis. Our previous investigation from 2014 summarized the long-term outcomes of these patients with nonspecific pleurisy (NSP); now, we offer updated data with the goal of refining our conclusions. Methods Between July 2005 and August 2018, MT with pleural biopsies were performed in a total of 1,254 patients with undiagnosed pleural effusions. One hundred fifty-four patients diagnosed with NSP with available follow-up data were included in the present study, and their medical records were reviewed. Results A total of 154 patients were included in this study with a mean follow-up duration of 61.5 ± 43.7 months (range: 1–180 months). No specific diagnosis was established in 67 (43.5%) of the patients. Nineteen patients (12.3%) were subsequently diagnosed with pleural malignancies. Sixty-eight patients (44.2%) were diagnosed with benign diseases. Findings of pleural nodules or plaques during MT and the recurrence of pleural effusion were associated with malignant disease. Conclusions Although most NSP patients received a diagnosis of a benign disease, malignant disease was still a possibility, especially in those patients with nodules or plaques as noted on the MT and a recurrence of pleural effusion. One year of clinical follow-up for NSP patients is likely sufficient. These updated results further confirm our previous study’s conclusions.


Cephalalgia ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 38 (6) ◽  
pp. 1159-1166 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matti Sillanpää ◽  
Maiju M Saarinen

Purpose To examine prevalence, course, and long-term outcome of childhood migraine and other headaches. Method Using questionnaires, 1185 children were followed for recurrent headaches at ages seven, 14 and 32 years, respectively. Results At age seven years, 4.0% of the 1185 children (girls 3.7%, boys 4.3%) had migraine and 24% (25%/23%) had nonmigrainous headache. In adulthood, 16% (22%/8%) had migraine and 60% (64%/54%) nonmigrainous headache. Childhood migraine persisted into adulthood in 65% of females and 21% of males, and nonmigrainous headache in 62% and 59%, respectively. After childhood, 17% of females and 7% of males started to have episodes of migraine. No recurrent headache during the follow-up was reported by 11% (6%/16%). In a multivariate analysis, compared with no childhood headache, childhood migraine increased the risk of adulthood migraine by 3.36-fold (95% CI 1.94–5.82) and that of nonmigrainous headache by 1.72-fold (1.14–2.60). Discussion and conclusions Headaches are generally as common in preschool girls as boys. From early school years, headaches steadily increase up to young adulthood, but among boys the prevalence levels off after adolescence. About two thirds of children experienced changes in their headache status during a 25-year follow-up. Any kind of recurrent headache at school entry predicts an increased risk of headache in young adulthood. Special attention should be paid to girls and particularly those girls who have recurrent headache when they start school.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (11) ◽  
pp. 1314-1319 ◽  
Author(s):  
Suruchi Gupta ◽  
Teresa Pollack ◽  
Candice Fulkerson ◽  
Kathleen Schmidt ◽  
Diana Johnson Oakes ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective To characterize the types of hyperglycemia that occur up to 1 year following liver transplant and to clarify the nomenclature for posttransplant hyperglycemia. Design We analyzed 1-year glycemic follow-up data in 164 patients who underwent liver transplant and who had been enrolled in a randomized controlled trial comparing moderate to intensive insulin therapy to determine if patients had preexisting known diabetes, transient hyperglycemia, persistent hyperglycemia, or new-onset diabetes after transplantation (NODAT). Results Of 119 patients with posttransplant hyperglycemia following hospital discharge, 49 had preexisting diabetes, 5 had insufficient data for analysis, 48 had transient hyperglycemia (16 resolved within 30 days and 32 resolved between 30 days and 1 year), 13 remained persistently hyperglycemic out to 1 year and most likely had preexisting diabetes that had not been diagnosed or insulin resistance/insulinopenia prior to transplant, and 4 had NODAT (i.e., patients with transient hyperglycemia after transplant that resolved but then later truly developed sustained hyperglycemia, meeting criteria for diabetes). Conclusions Distinct categories of patients with hyperglycemia following organ transplant include known preexisting diabetes, persistent hyperglycemia (most likely unknown preexisting diabetes or insulin resistance/insulinopenia), transient hyperglycemia, and NODAT. Those with preexisting diabetes for many years prior to transplant may well have very different long-term outcomes compared with those with true NODAT. Therefore, it would be prudent to classify patients more carefully. Long-term outcome studies are needed to determine if patients with true NODAT have the same poor prognosis as patients with preexisting diabetes (diagnosed and undiagnosed) undergoing transplant.


Parasitology ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Bernard C. Meyer

Abstract This paper describes chronic features of neuroangiostrongyliasis (NAS), a long-term outcome of the disease that has not been adequately described. Current and past literature is predominantly limited to acute manifestations of NAS, and mention of chronic, ongoing clinical symptoms is usually limited to brief notes in a discussion of severe cases. This study investigated the long-term outcomes in ten individuals who were diagnosed with acute neuroangiostrongyliasis in Hawaii between 2009 and 2017. The study demonstrates a significant number of persons in Hawaii sustain residual symptoms for many years, including troublesome sensory paresthesia (abnormal spontaneous sensations of skin experienced as ‘burning, pricking, pins and needles’; also described as allodynia or hyperesthesia) and extremity muscle pains. As a consequence, employment and economic hardships, domestic relocations, and psychological impairments affecting personal relationships occurred. The study summarizes common features of chronic disease, sensory paresthesia and hyperesthesia, diffuse muscular pain, insomnia, and accompanying emotional distress; highlights the frequently unsuccessful endeavours of individuals struggling to find effective treatment; proposes pathogenic mechanisms responsible for prolonged illness including possible reasons for differences in disease presentation in Hawaii compared to Southeast Asia.


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