Using Extrapolation Techniques of Big Data to Improve the Effectiveness of Sales Forecasting – Empirical Evidence on the Egyptian Passengers Automobile Market.

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 91-95
Author(s):  
Wael Kortam ◽  
Amr Soliman

Sales forecasting is the tactical and strategic trigger for a significant number of crucial functional and management activities. Extrapolation techniques will be used as mathematical tools for demand forecasting, where extrapolation methods estimates or generate values beyond the range of the original set of data. A triangulated approach of experimental essences was applied to data analysis composed of ARIMA, exponential smoothing and grey model GM(1,1). This research is an endeavor to demonstrate the robustness of certain extrapolation models and procedures with a view to word improving the effectiveness of sales forecast in terms of relevance and accuracy. The forecasted sales for both brands is both reserved and yet relatively optimistic. Thus, manifesting the high risk/high return profile of the Egyptian passenger automobile market.

2021 ◽  
pp. 53-74
Author(s):  
Andrea Cappelli ◽  
Iacopo Cavallini

It is possible to exploit potentials of Big Data in the shipbuilding industry in order to increase efficiency and company performance. Big Data analysis will probably have a great impact on strengthening the competitiveness in the whole sector, providing various types of benefits and effective support to the decision-making system. Academics maintain that analysis methods and algorithms can offer spe-cific guidelines to managers and practitioners in order to satisfy their information needs. Even though it is recognized that the techniques for Big Data analysis are relevant, only a few studies provide practical guidelines on how to apply these techniques in specific industries like shipbuilding. This preliminary study aims to develop a conceptual framework of Big Data anal-ysis based on the value chain approach. By using a deductive methodology, the framework is built taking into consideration four phases of the value chain in the shipbuilding industry - i.e. pre-production, design, production, and post-production. For its relevance, the study considers the pre-production phase, trying to classify data sources, analysis methods, and algorithms for the main activities of this node and also providing various suggestions to shipbuilding managers and practitioners. The researchers develop the framework by considering secondary data collected from the literature analysis. Our results can successfully support decision making in shipbuilding companies, making processes and operations more cost-effective and helping companies be more competitive. Specifically, in the pre-production node this will lead to real-time demand forecasting and a more reliable estimation of initial production costs.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (Suppl 3) ◽  
pp. A701-A701
Author(s):  
Sarah Kolitz ◽  
Yoonjeong Cha ◽  
Sailaja Battula ◽  
Rebecca Kusko ◽  
Benjamin Zeskind ◽  
...  

BackgroundUveal melanoma is a rare variant of melanoma associated with monosomy 3, present high risk for metastatic disease, and has been resistant to all therapeutic approaches. We sought to use a novel advanced big data approach to identify potential new immunotherapy targets for the treatment of uveal melanoma.MethodsComprehensive multiplatform analysis of 80 primary uveal melanoma specimens in the TCGA gene expression database were evaluated. There were four previously reported [Robertson et al, Cancer Cell, 2017] molecularly distinct subsets consisting of two high-risk, largely disomy 3 (N=38 after data QC) and two low-risk, largely monosomy 3 (N=40) patterns predictive of metastatic progression. RNA sequencing data for these subsets were analyzed at Immuneering to obtain differential expression signatures associated with prognosis. QC was performed, including principal component analysis to identify outlier samples, and gene expression changes were determined by limma-voom analysis and organized by magnitude of change and statistical significance, using Benjamini-Hochberg multiple hypothesis correction. Pathway enrichments were conducted by GSEA. Prognosis-associated genomic signatures were evaluated using an advanced big data platform to identify relevant biological perturbations in each subgroup using two- and four- subset analyses.ResultsLarge differences in gene expression were identified in high-risk vs. low-risk uveal melanoma samples. Volcano plots identified several independent genes differentially expressed in good vs. poor risk uveal melanoma. The most positively enriched gene expression pathways associated with poor prognosis related to innate and adaptive immune processes. This included genes associated with MHC expression, antigen processing and presentation, regulation of T cell responses, leukocyte chemotaxis, antigen binding and type I interferon responses. Transcriptomic perturbation analysis identified several associations of which the top included genes associated with overexpression of interferon-gamma and interferon-beta 1, and interferon-gamma ligand stimulation. Another major family identified was RAB31, which coordinate small GTPases involved in intracellular membrane trafficking. Prognosis-associated immune perturbations were far more highly enriched among a subset of patients, indicating differing underlying biology in a patient subset that could be relevant for treatment.ConclusionsOur data identified numerous potential therapeutic targets, many associated with tumor-immune system interactions in high-risk uveal melanoma samples. Advanced big data analysis platforms may be leveraged to identify therapeutic targets in challenging human diseases and our data has provided new directions for immunotherapy drug development in uveal melanoma.Trial RegistrationN/AEthics ApprovalN/AConsentN/AReferencesN/A


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xu Peng ◽  
Xiang Li ◽  
Xiao Yang

PurposeIn order to more accurately predict the dynamics of the e-commerce market and increase the comprehensive value of the circular e-commerce industry, proposes to use Grey system theory to analyze the circular economy of the e-commerce market.Design/methodology/approachConstruct a Grey system theory model, analyze the big data of e-commerce and circular economy of the e-commerce market and predict the development potential of China's e-commerce market.FindingsThe results show that the Grey system theory model can play an important role in the data analysis of circular economy of the e-commerce market.Originality/valueUse Grey model to analyze e-commerce data, discover e-commerce market rules and problems and then optimize e-commerce market.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 01-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kristy F. Tiampo ◽  
Javad Kazemian ◽  
Hadi Ghofrani ◽  
Yelena Kropivnitskaya ◽  
Gero Michel

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