Chapter 9: Higher Inflation Targets, Nominal GDP, Escape Clauses, and Fiscal Policy

2017 ◽  
pp. 147-157
2003 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 646-664 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher Allsopp ◽  
Andrew Watt

This article takes a somewhat unusual line on the Stability and Growth Pact. While the Pact clearly suffers from very considerable defects, in fact many of the problems encountered in the area of fiscal policy originate elsewhere, notably in monetary policy and in the neglected problems of inter-country adjustment in a common currency area. The linkáges between these areas and the Pact, with its asymmetrical form of operation, are discussed, along with reform ideas for the Pact. The authors conclude that a greater focus on national inflation targets - implying stronger coordination with wage trends - rather than the present focus on unattainable deficit targets is an avenue that needs to be explored.


Author(s):  
Brigitte Granville

In considering the components of effective monetary policies to control inflation, the previous chapters have highlighted the decisive role played by credibility and shown how credibility can be established and enhanced through rules-based policy frameworks and independent agencies to implement such regimes. This chapter examines how the same test of credibility, hence supportive public expectations, must also be passed by fiscal policy. For if this fiscal test is failed, even the best designed monetary policy efforts will be unavailing. It also shows how transparent rule-based inflation targets can facilitate resolution of the most intractable fiscal problems. At the time of writing, such problems were most apparent in several of the countries that use the euro. Attempts to address concerns about their solvency by fiscal tightening were having the counterproductive effect of damaging growth, hence further increasing their debt-to-GDP ratios, and all the while raising the likelihood of a social and political backlash against higher taxes and spending cuts.


1995 ◽  
Vol 28 (7) ◽  
pp. 403-408
Author(s):  
Peter J. Stemp ◽  
William M. Scarth

2020 ◽  
pp. 5-29
Author(s):  
Evsey T. Gurvich ◽  
Natalia A. Krasnopeeva

We study the tax-spend nexus for Russian regional budgets. Causal relationship running from taxing to spending is found, thus supporting the concept “tax and spend” suggested by M. Friedman. Next, elasticity of expenditure by revenue is estimated for a panel of 80 regional budgets basing on data for 2000—2017. Estimates are in the range of 0.72 to 0.78 (depending on the econometric technique), which exceeds elasticity for the federal budget more than twice. This evidences that fiscal policy at the sub-federal (as distinct from the federal) level has clear pro-cyclical nature. Besides, the largest sensitivity of expenditure to revenue shocks is found for the item “national economy”, implying marked adverse implications for economic growth. We suggest to mitigate this effect by modifying fiscal rules for sub-federal budgets. They are currently aimed primarily at enhancing fiscal discipline, with less emphasis on countercyclical policy, insulating economy from fiscal shocks.


2013 ◽  
pp. 152-158 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Senchagov

Due to Russia’s exit from the global financial crisis, the fiscal policy of withdrawing windfall spending has exhausted its potential. It is important to refocus public finance to the real economy and the expansion of domestic demand. For this goal there is sufficient, but not realized financial potential. The increase in fiscal spending in these areas is unlikely to lead to higher inflation, given its actual trend in the past decade relative to M2 monetary aggregate, but will directly affect the investment component of many underdeveloped sectors, as well as the volume of domestic production and consumer demand.


2009 ◽  
pp. 9-27 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Kudrin

The article examines the causes of origin and manifestation of the current global financial crisis and the policies adopted in developed countries in 2007—2008 to deal with it. It considers the effects of the financial crisis on Russia’s economy and monetary policy of the Central Bank in the current conditions as well as the main guidelines for the fiscal policy under different energy prices. The measures for fighting the crisis that the Russian government and the Central Bank use to support the real economy are described.


2020 ◽  
pp. 55-85
Author(s):  
Francesco Caprioli ◽  
Marzia Romanelli ◽  
Pietro Tommasino

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