scholarly journals Financial fragmentation and the monetary transmission mechanism in the euro area: a smooth transition VAR approach

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (5) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hans-Helmut Kotz ◽  
Willi Semmler ◽  
Ibrahim Tahri
Keyword(s):  
Euro Area ◽  
Multivariate Time Series ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Smooth Transition ◽  
Monetary Transmission ◽  
Monetary Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Time Series Approach ◽  
Lending Rates ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
The Impact

Abstract This paper investigates the effect of financial fragmentation on the monetary transmission mechanism in different Euro area economies, categorized into two groups: countries considered as “core” economies and countries characterized as “peripheral” economies. We analyze the effects of financial fragmentation on the monetary transmission mechanism through the traditional interest rate channel. To gauge the impact of changes in policy rates on the behavior of real variables such as aggregate output and employment we use a Smooth Transition VAR (VSTAR) model. Employing a nonlinear multivariate time series approach helps us capture the regime-dependent dynamics of the variables under study. The results obtained show that money market rates targeted by the central bank do not completely pass through to banks’ lending rates to firms, particularly in a financially fragmented environment. This finding supports the hypothesis of an impairment of the monetary transmission mechanism as a result of financial fragmentation. Given this impairment in some sectors and regions an accompanying credit volume policy might have been appropriate.

scholarly journals ALUR TRANSMISI DAN EFEKTIFITAS KEBIJAKAN MONETER GANDA DI INDONESIA

2012 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 283-315
Author(s):  
Ascarya Ascarya
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Monetary Transmission ◽  
Monetary Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Monetary System ◽  
Data Form ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
The Interest Rate

This study aims to investigate transmission mechanism of dual monetary system from conventional and Islamic policy rates to inflation and output using Granger and VAR methods on monthly Indonesian banking data form January 2003 to December 2009. The result shows that conventional transmission mechanismsfrom conventional policy rate are all linked tooutput and inflation, while Islamic policy rate are not linked to output and inflation.In addition, the interest rate, credit and conventional interbank rate shocks give negative and permanent impacts to inflation and output, while PLS, financing and Islamic interbank PLS, as well as SBIS(Central Bank Shariah Certificate) as Islamic policy rate shocks give positive and permanent impacts to inflation and output. SBI (Central Bank Certificate) as conventional policy givespositive impact to inflation and negative impact to output.Keywords: Monetary transmission mechanism, Interest rate pass through, Conventional Banking, Islamic BankingJEL Classification: E43, E52, G21, G28

The Channels of Transmission of Monetary Policy

2021 ◽  
pp. 45-88
Author(s):  
Juan Antonio Morales ◽  
Paul Reding
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Asset Price ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Monetary Transmission ◽  
Monetary Transmission Mechanism ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Transmission Of Monetary Policy

This chapter explores the monetary transmission mechanism (MTM) in low financial development countries (LFDCs). It successively discusses the interest rate, asset price, bank credit, balance sheet, expectations, and real balance channels. For each channel, conceptual aspects about how it operates, how it transmits monetary policy impulses to the economy’s financial and real spheres, are first presented. Next, the impact of the specificities of LFDCs on the channel’s strength and reliability are examined and the available empirical evidence is surveyed. The chapter concludes with a global assessment of the effectiveness of the monetary transmission mechanism in LFDCs. Evidence points to a transmission mechanism that is effective although not very strong, and possibly also more uncertain than in advanced and emerging market countries.

scholarly journals TRANSMISSION CHANNEL AND EFFECTIVENESS OF DUAL MONETARY POLICY IN INDONESIA

2012 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 269-298 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ascarya Ascarya
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
The Other ◽  
Monetary Transmission ◽  
Transmission Channel ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
Monetary Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Monetary System ◽  
Pass Through

This paper investigates the transmission mechanism of dual monetary system from conventional and Islamic policy rates to inflation and output. We apply Granger Causality and VAR methods on monthly data of Indonesian banking, during the period of January 2003 to December 2009. The result shows that conventional policy rate is transmitted to output and inflation, while Islamic policy rate are not. In addition, the shock of conventional interest rate, credit and interbank rate give a negative and permanent impacts on inflation and output, except for SBI (Certificate of Bank Indonesia) with positive impact to inflation  though negatively affect the output. On the other hand, the shock of PLS, financing and Islamic interbank PLS, as well as SBIS (Central Bank Shariah Certificate) give positive and permanent impacts on inflation and output. Keywords: Monetary transmission mechanism, Interest rate pass through, Conventional Banking, Islamic BankingJEL Classification: E43, E52, G21, G28

scholarly journals Structural VARs and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Low-Income African Countries†

2019 ◽  
Vol 28 (4) ◽  
pp. 455-478
Author(s):  
Bin Grace Li ◽  
Christopher Adam ◽  
Andrew Berg ◽  
Peter Montiel ◽  
Stephen O’Connell
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Low Income ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Low Income Countries ◽  
Monetary Transmission ◽  
Finite Sample ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Monetary Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Structural Vars ◽  
The Impact

AbstractStructural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) methods suggest the monetary transmission mechanism may be weak and unreliable in many low-income African countries. But are structural VARs identified via short-run restrictions capable of detecting a transmission mechanism when one exists, under research conditions typical of low-income countries (LICs)? Using a small DSGE as our data-generating process, we assess the impact on VAR-based inference of short data samples, measurement error, high-frequency supply shocks, and other features of the LIC environment. The impact of these features on finite-sample bias appears to be relatively modest when identification is valid—a strong caveat, especially in LICs. Nonetheless many of these features undermine the precision of estimated impulse responses to monetary policy shocks, and cumulatively they suggest that statistically and economically insignificant results can be expected even when the underlying transmission mechanism is strong. These data features not only undermine the efficacy of the SVAR methodology for research and policy-making, but are also severe enough to motivate a continued search for monetary policy rules that are robust to these limitations.

Identifying the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Sub-Saharan Africa

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bin Grace Li ◽  
Christopher Adam ◽  
Andrew Berg ◽  
Peter Montiel ◽  
Stephen O’Connell
Keyword(s):  
Low Income ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
Low Income Countries ◽  
Monetary Transmission ◽  
Finite Sample ◽  
Monetary Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Structural Vars ◽  
The Impact

VAR methods suggest that the monetary transmission mechanism may be weak and unreliable in low-income countries. But are structural VARs identified via short-run restrictions capable of detecting a transmission mechanism where one exists, under research conditions typical of these countries? Using small DSGEs as data-generating processes, the chapter assesses the impact on VAR-based inference of short data samples, measurement error, high-frequency supply shocks, and other features of the LIC environment. The impact of these features on finite-sample bias appears to be relatively modest when identification is valid—a strong caveat, especially in low-income countries. However, many of these features undermine the precision of estimated impulse responses to monetary policy shocks, and cumulatively they suggest that ‘insignificant’ results can be expected even when the underlying transmission mechanism is strong.

scholarly journals The Monetary Transmission Mechanism: An Empirical Framework

1995 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 11-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
John B Taylor
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Rational Expectations ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Monetary Transmission ◽  
Market Prices ◽  
Policy Rules ◽  
Monetary Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
The Impact

This paper provides an overview of the monetary transmission mechanism describing the impact of changes in monetary policy on real GDP. Changes in financial market prices--including long-term interest rates and exchange rates--are the main vehicle for the transmission of policy. The framework incorporates rational expectations and policy rules. It is empirical and appears to fit the facts well.

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