macroeconomic stability
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2022 ◽  
Vol 51-1 ◽  
pp. 1-21
Author(s):  
Miguel Ángel Tinoco-Zermeño ◽  
Víctor Hugo Torres-Preciado ◽  
Francisco Venegas-Martínez

e objective of this paper is to assess empirically the effects of inflation rates on bank credit using panel data of the 32 Mexican states during 2003-2015. Our research method utilizes static models (pooled OLS, fixed effects, and random effects) and dynamic models (mean group, pooled mean group, and dynamic fixed effects) to analyze the relationship in the short and long runs. e main empirical result indicates that inflation rates exert negative effects on credit in the long run, but those effects tend to be positive in the short run. Concerning originality and findings, few papers study inflation and bank credit under macroeconomic stability, or in the case of Mexico with static and dynamic panel data models. However, one research limitation is the lack of data to apply the methodology before 1999 when inflation rates used to be higher. is would be useful to compare macroeconomic stability with instability.


2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 10-26
Author(s):  
Harris Maduku ◽  
Brian Tavonga Mazorodze

The objective of this paper was to explore the effect of government expenditure growth on macroeconomic stability in Zimbabwe. Public expenditure has grown over time but as per a priori expectations, other macroeconomic variables have not been forth coming. What the country has actually experienced is prolonged macroeconomic instability. The paper contributes to the body of literature in two ways, (1) by creating a macroeconomic instability index and (2) by being the first in the Zimbabwean context to explore this conundrum. To achieve the main objective of the paper, the study used a cointegrated vector error correction model (VECM) and Granger causality with data spanning 1981 to 2019. The study did not find a statistically significant relationship between government expenditure and macroeconomic stability as argued mostly by the Keynesians. However, according to a priori expectations, the relationship turned out to be rightly negative. To buttress the Cointegrated-VECM results, granger causality tests were also conducted where no causality was found from government spending to macroeconomic stability, and vice versa (causality running from instability to government spending). This paper recommends that, Zimbabwe’s policy makers may need to consider proactive government spending or policies, since that helps the economy to successfully avoid possible risks such as macroeconomic instability. When policies are proactive rather than reactive, that helps by seizing untapped opportunities, and the economy justly avoids consequences of reactive governance.


Author(s):  
Noris Fatilla Ismail ◽  
Suraya Ismail

Foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows are a major instrument of economic growth in developing countries. Indonesia is one of the developing countries that has received more FDI with macroeconomic stability. The macroeconomic stability indicator is seen as an important factor in driving economic growth and attracting FDI inflows in Indonesia. Therefore, this study examines the relationship of selected macroeconomic variables toward the FDI in Indonesia over the period 1980-2019. Using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL), the empirical results showed that market size, domestic investment, government spending and foreign exchange rate are key factors influencing long-run FDI inflows. However, financial development revealed no relationship with FDI inflows in Indonesia. Overall findings indicated that macroeconomic variables influence FDI inflows. These findings guided policymakers in formulating new policies to ensure macroeconomic indicators' stability in driving economic growth.


2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Michał Comporek ◽  
Magdalena Kowalska ◽  
Anna Misztal

The paper’s primary aim is to evaluate the influence of macroeconomic stability on transport companies’ sustainable development in the eastern EU from 2008 to 2019. The first part discusses the theoretical problems. The empirical part includes the methodology, results of the research and conclusions. To determine the relationship between variables, we use Pearson’s R and the Ordinary Least Square Method. The contribution to knowledge is using the pentagon of macroeconomic stability to evaluate macroeconomic stabilisation’s influence on transport companies’ sustainable development. The results indicate that macroeconomic stability is one of the essential determinants of the transport companies’ sustainable development. According to Pearson’s R, the highest level of dependence is in Slovenia (0.96), Bulgaria (0.9), and Slovenia (0.83). The lowest is in Latvia (0.69). The OLS regression results indicate that the highest significance is in Slovakia (α1 = 1.994), the lowest is in Lithuania (α1 = 0.691). The states’ economic policies should favour the freedom to conduct business, create appropriate legal regulations, and support ecological investments. It is necessary to act for a stable and fair tax system, ensure access to finance. The issue is contemporary and requires further analysis.


2021 ◽  
pp. 249-270
Author(s):  
Natalia Voshchikova

This article explores the concept of macroeconomic stability originated from the theory of general economic equilibrium (GEE) by L. Walras. Modern macroeconomic models that do not contradict the GEE, a implement the principles of consistency of micro- and macroeconomic analysis, the interrelation of markets, and the effectiveness of market mechanism. Economic fluctuations generated by shocks are in dialectical unity with the state of equilibrium. The aim of macroeconomic policy is to maintain equilibrium (macroeconomic stability) through inflation targeting and effective public debt management. Within the framework of this policy a number of goals are met including the control over inflationary expectations, strengthening confidence in the central bank, and overcoming inflation. However, low inflation rates can produce liquidity traps, thus causing a need to adjust monetary policy and develop its new instruments. At the same time, the global crises of the 21st century, the Great Recession of 2008 and the COVID-19 pandemic, prompts to re-evaluate the contradictions between the theoretical concept of equilibrium and the real state of the economy, as well as measures needed to stabilize it during a recession. The policy of overcoming the crisis in 2020 includes large-scale discretionary fiscal and monetary stimulus according to Keynesian recipes, in the absence of which the loss of jobs, closure of enterprises, and lack of financial stability are inevitable. The gap between theory and reality, as it happened during the Great Depression almost a hundred years ago, once again raises the questions of further development of macroeconomics. The article may be of interest to teachers and students interested in the prospects for the development of scientific knowledge in this area.


2021 ◽  
Vol 144 (5) ◽  
pp. 36-45
Author(s):  
Dmitrii A. Mityaev ◽  

Acceleration of technological and institutional development results in reduced lags between innovations and their installation in the economy and society, which modifies long-wave patterns (but doesn't cancel them). In this regard, the question arises on the possibility of a "Russian economic miracle" on a new financial and digital basis. This is a question about ecosystems (digital platforms — a relatively recent complex financial and production innovation), the prototypes of which, however, have already been in history. Historical studies of protoecosystems and modern ecosystems, addressed by the author, allow us to answer the question: “ecosystem” (convergent) technologies are a factor undermining macroeconomic stability in the interests of a narrow circle of global and local players and (or) a mechanism for changing technological and institutional patterns (?!).


2021 ◽  
pp. 54-58
Author(s):  
A.B. Tapkina ◽  
N.V Sidorov

The scientific article is devoted to the research analysis of modern trends and challenges in the labor market in Russia. The relevance of the problem is due to the fact that due to the Covid19 pandemic, there is a negative impact on the macroeconomic stability and sustainability of economic entities, due to which the dynamics of the demand of organizations for labor is gradually decreasing. The object of the research is the dynamics of the development of the labor market of the Russian economy. The subject is the labor market. Within the framework of the article, the degree of influence of the coronavirus pandemic and gender inequality on the current trends in the labor market in Russia is determined.


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