PROBABILISTIC APPROACH TO THE STABILITY ANALYSIS OF ROCK PROTECTION FO R EARTH WEIRS. DISCUSSION ON PAPER 9020.

1987 ◽  
Vol 83 (2) ◽  
pp. 481-482
Author(s):  
KVH SMITH ◽  
ME BRAMLEY ◽  
NB WEBBER
2020 ◽  
Vol 195 ◽  
pp. 01003
Author(s):  
Alessia Amabile ◽  
Fabio De Polo ◽  
Alessandro Tarantino

Flooding is a worldwide phenomenon. Over the last few decades the world has experienced a rising number of devastating flood events and the trend in such natural disasters is increasing. Furthermore, escalations in both the probability and magnitude of flood hazards are expected as a result of climate change. Flood defence embankments are one of the major flood defence measures and stability assessment for these structures is therefore a very important process. Traditional deterministic approaches to stability analysis do not allow taking into account and quantifying the uncertainties in soil characterisation. For this reason they may not be sufficient to capture the failure of flood embankments. The paper presents a probabilistic approach for the stability analysis of flood embankments taking into account the probabilistic distribution of soil hydro-mechanical properties. The approach is validated against the failure case study of the Adige river embankment in Italy, by comparing the probability of failure of two sections, within and outside the failure segment respectively.


1986 ◽  
Vol 1 (20) ◽  
pp. 139
Author(s):  
Leon C. Geustyn ◽  
Gideon De F. Retief

A probabilistic approach to the lateral stability of a pipeline on the sea-bed is considered. The uncertainties involved in the deterministic approach, due to the stochastic nature of variables, inaccuracy of models and statistical error are discussed. Variables representing these uncertainties are identified and their statistical properties investigated. Procedures for computing the probability of stability failure are developed using both analytical and Monte Carlo simulation techniques. Example calculations are presented indicating typical applications. It is concluded that the probabilistic procedure, as presented here, can serve as a valuable tool in the stability analysis of ocean pipelines.


2005 ◽  
Vol 38 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-30 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manel Velasco ◽  
Pau Martí ◽  
Ricard Villà ◽  
Josep M. Fuertes ◽  
Jordi Ayza ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 49-60
Author(s):  
Simon Heru Prassetyo ◽  
Ganda Marihot Simangunsong ◽  
Ridho Kresna Wattimena ◽  
Made Astawa Rai ◽  
Irwandy Arif ◽  
...  

This paper focuses on the stability analysis of the Nanjung Water Diversion Twin Tunnels using convergence measurement. The Nanjung Tunnel is horseshoe-shaped in cross-section, 10.2 m x 9.2 m in dimension, and 230 m in length. The location of the tunnel is in Curug Jompong, Margaasih Subdistrict, Bandung. Convergence monitoring was done for 144 days between February 18 and July 11, 2019. The results of the convergence measurement were recorded and plotted into the curves of convergence vs. day and convergence vs. distance from tunnel face. From these plots, the continuity of the convergence and the convergence rate in the tunnel roof and wall were then analyzed. The convergence rates from each tunnel were also compared to empirical values to determine the level of tunnel stability. In general, the trend of convergence rate shows that the Nanjung Tunnel is stable without any indication of instability. Although there was a spike in the convergence rate at several STA in the measured span, that spike was not replicated by the convergence rate in the other measured spans and it was not continuous. The stability of the Nanjung Tunnel is also confirmed from the critical strain analysis, in which most of the STA measured have strain magnitudes located below the critical strain line and are less than 1%.


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