scholarly journals The Incidence of Breast Cancer among Disabled Kansans with Medicare

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 93-100
Author(s):  
Austin R Rogers ◽  
Sue-Min Lai ◽  
John Keighley ◽  
Jessica Jungk

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer disparities by disability status are poorly understood. While previous studies have shown increased odds of late stage at diagnosis, it is unclear whether the incidence of breast cancer varies by disability status. METHODS: To assess cancer incidence and stage at diagnosis among disabled and nondisabled Medicare beneficiaries in Kansas, a retrospective cohort study was conducted using linked Medicare enrollment and Kansas Cancer Registry data from 2007 to 2009. Disability status was determined by the indicator for the original reason for Medicare eligibility. RESULTS: Among the 651,337 Medicare beneficiaries included in the cohort, there were 2,384 cases of breast cancer. The age-adjusted incidence was 313 per 100,000 among female beneficiaries with disabilities and 369 per 100,000 among nondisabled female beneficiaries. The adjusted incidence rate ratio was 0.93 (95% CI 0.73-1.18). When assessing stage at diagnosis, there was no difference in the odds of late stage at diagnosis by disability status (OR = 1.02; 95% CI 0.68-1.50). CONCLUSION: No significant difference in incidence or stage at diagnosis was identified among this cohort. The use of Medicare eligibility to define disability status presented a number of limitations. Future studies should seek alternate definitions of disability to assess disparities in breast cancer incidence, including definitions using Medicare claims data.

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e18800-e18800
Author(s):  
Leah Elson ◽  
Nadeem Bilani ◽  
Hong Liang ◽  
Elizabeth Blessing Elimimian ◽  
Diana Saravia ◽  
...  

e18800 Background: As oncology treatment has evolved to become more individualized, prognostic rationale has also undergone important changes. In breast cancer, disease staging was historically based upon anatomic features of the primary tumor, in combination with involvement of adjacent/distant tissues. However, as the understanding of molecular/genomic involvement became more advanced, staging definitions were redefined to incorporate receptors, histologic grade, and genetic expression. In this analysis, we use autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) forecasting to understand how AJCC updates to prognostic definitions have contributed to stage migration, and to comment on whether better detection, or definitional changes, may be responsible for the increasing incidence in early stage breast cancer. Methods: In this time series forecast, ARIMA models, per stage (early: stage I/II vs. late: stage III/IV) were constructed based on 2004-2016 historic breast cancer incidence rates, as reported by the NCDB. Multiple models were generated, using differing autoregressive parameters; the most predictive model was chosen using the lowest Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) to ensure best fit. Similar methodology has already been published to predict prostate cancer incidence. The best fit models were applied to forecast annual incidence, in the NCDB, in 2017. These data were compared to the real-world data captured in 2017. Statistics were performed using modeling systems in SPSS, version 27. Results: n=1,661,971 cases were included for these models, and 12 years of pre-AJCC updated NCDB breast cancer data were used. Using ARIMA modeling, best fit, stationary averages were identified, with autoregressive and difference terms which contributed to the lowest BIC, and MAPE < 5%, for both models. The best fit models forecasted 2017 incidence, by stage, without AJCC updates to staging criteria, and this data is compared to actual 2017 incidence with current updated AJCC 8th staging criteria (Table). Conclusions: During 2017, the first year of AJCC staging updates, there was an observed decrease in late stage diagnoses, and increase in early stage diagnoses, when compared with incidence rates that were forecasted using the old, anatomic AJCC criteria. Therefore, part of the stage migration noted may be a product of staging semantics, using updated definitions. Confirming appropriate improvement in long-term outcomes, based on new staging would be helpful. It is also important for clinicians and public health officials to bear this in-mind when interpreting epidemiologic data, for allocating resources, as shifts in staging may be a product of guideline changes, and not necessarily screening efficacy or early detection only.[Table: see text]


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kelly A. Hirko ◽  
Amr S. Soliman ◽  
Ahmed Hablas ◽  
Ibrahim A. Seifeldin ◽  
Mohamed Ramadan ◽  
...  

Background. This study was undertaken to evaluate trends in breast cancer incidence in Egypt from 1999 to 2008 and to make projections for breast cancer occurrence for the years 2009–2015.Patients and Methods. We utilized joinpoint regression and average annual percent change (AAPC) measures with 95% confidence intervals (CI) to describe the trends in breast cancer incidence rates from the Gharbiah Cancer Registry by age and stage at diagnosis and to estimate expected breast cancer caseloads for 2009–2015.Results. From 1999 to 2008, the AAPC in breast cancer incidence rates in Gharbiah significantly increased among women 50 years and older and among localized tumors (AAPC %, 95% CI, 3.1% to 8.0%). Our results predict a significant increase in breast cancer caseloads from 2009 to 2015 among women aged 30–39 (AAPC %, 95% CI, 0.9% to 1.1%) and among women aged 40–49 years (AAPC %, 95% CI, 1.0% to 2.6%).Conclusion. These results have important implications for allocating limited resources, managing treatment needs, and exploring the consequences of prior interventions and/or changing risk factors in Egypt and other developing countries at the same stages of demographic and health transitions.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ines Mesa-Eguiagaray ◽  
Sarah H Wild ◽  
Philip S. Rosenberg ◽  
Sheila M Bird ◽  
David H Brewster ◽  
...  

AbstractBackgroundStrategies for breast cancer prevention are informed by assessing whether incidence differs by tumour biology. We describe temporal trends of breast cancer incidence by molecular subtypes in Scotland.MethodsPopulation-based cancer registry data on 72,217 women diagnosed with incident primary breast cancer from 1997 to 2016 were analysed. Age-standardised rates (ASR) and age-specific incidence were estimated by tumour subtype after imputing the 8% of missing oestrogen receptor (ER) status. Joinpoint regression and age- period- cohort models were used to assess whether significant differences were observed in incidence trends by ER status.ResultsER positive tumour incidence steadily increased particularly for women of screening age 50 to 69 years from 1997 till around 2011 (1.6%/year, 95%CI: 1.2 to 2.1). ER negative incidence decreased among all ages at a consistent rate of −0.7%/year (95%CI: −1.5, 0) from around 2000-2016. Compared to the 1941-1959 central birth cohort, women born 1912-1940 had lower incidence rate ratios (IRR) for ER+ tumours and women born 1960- 1986 had higher IRR for ER- tumours.ConclusionsWe show evidence of aetiologic heterogeneity of breast cancer. Future incidence and survival reporting should be monitored by molecular subtypes.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 10548-10548
Author(s):  
Tamar Perri ◽  
Shani Naor-Ravel ◽  
Perry Eliassi-Revivo ◽  
Dror Lifshitz ◽  
Eitan Friedman ◽  
...  

10548 Background: Uncertainty exists with regard to the role of bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy in altering the risk of breast cancer in BRCA-mutation carriers. Methods: Included were 1645 healthy Jewish Israeli BRCA1/2 -mutation carriers from a single center without prophylactic mastectomy. Carriers with and without risk-reducing bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy (RRBSO) were matched according to BRCA-mutation type (BRCA1 vs. BRCA2) and year of birth (±1 year). Hormonal and reproductive variables were compared and incidence of breast cancer recorded. Association between RRBSO and breast cancer was studied. Results: Seventy-seven and 50 matched-pairs had BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation respectively. Fifty-two carriers had breast cancer, 21 in RRBSO-group and 31 in no- RRBSO group, with no statistically significant difference. When analysing each mutation group separately, stratified by age at surgery, no association between RRBSO and breast cancer incidence was found among BRCA1-mutation carriers. However, in BRCA2 mutation carriers, RRBSO was associated with a statistically significant decreased overall incidence of breast cancer, HR = 0.2 (confidence interval 0.44-0.913, p = 0.038). Breast cancer incidence was lower after 5, 10,15 and 20 years in BRCA2-mutation carriers with RRBSO compared to no-RRBSO. Age at menarche, age at surgery, parity and oral contraceptive use were not significant risk factors for breast cancer. Hormone replacement therapy was used by 62 mutation carriers, 52 in the RRBSO group and 10 in the no-RRBSO group, and its use did not alter breast cancer risk (p = 0.463). Conclusions: According to our findings, RRBSO is associated with a reduced risk of breast cancer only in BRCA2 mutation carriers, regardless of HRT use.


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